University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCD -3.5✓ UCD covered by 1.5
Closing total166.5Under by 23.5
| This season | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | Record | 7-7 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 78–84 UCD · ✓ UCD (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 24 | 45 | 69 |
| UCD | 32 | 42 | 74 |
1st half: CSUF 24, UCD 32 (UCD by 8). The model had UCD by 3.3 and a total of 76.1 (actual 56).
Team stats
| CSUF | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 24-52 46% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 19-32 59% | Free throws | 21-31 68% |
| 32 12 off | Rebounds | 43 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 25 | Fouls | 22 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 37 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 7-16 | 3-8 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 35 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 21 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Christian Williams G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 16 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Seaman F | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Davis White G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yesan Warren, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker, Kidus Tilahun
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 28 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 28 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Niko Rocak F | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Nils Cooper G | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 15 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 31 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Stokes, Chase Rawlins, Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -3.5
no move
CloseUCD -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open168.5
▼ 2
Close166.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUF +130 · UCD -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -3.5 · unchangedmodel UCD -5.5
model UCD -5.5
Opened 168.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCD -3.5 | UCD -5.7 | UCD +2.2 | W UCD covered |
| Total | 166.5 | 162.6 | Under 3.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CSUF 78.4 · UCD 84.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -3.3 | UCD -8.0 |
| 1H total | 76.1 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | CSUF 36.4 · UCD 39.7 | CSUF 24 · UCD 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | |
| 4-6 40% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUF 3–5 UCDUCD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCD has won the last 5 meetings · CSUF 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UCD 65 @ CSUF 49 | CSUF +6.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CSUF 53 @ UCD 63 | UCD -8.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | CSUF 58 @ UCD 71 | UCD -6.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | UCD 67 @ CSUF 65 | CSUF +1.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | CSUF 79 @ UCD 83 | UCD -5.5 | CSUF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vs | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
WYO
L 82-92
+5.5
10
@
CAL
L 65-93
−5.5
15
vs
PAC
L 73-85
−5.5
21
@
PORT
L 85-103
−11.5
22
vs
STMN
W 88-80
+19.5
23
vs
UNCO
L 93-97
+4.5
29
vs
PEPP
W 83-69
+12.5
4
vs
CP
L 91-94
−4.5
13
@
DEN
W 105-86
+22.5
21
@
OKST
L 89-94
+14.5
28
@
SMU
L 63-110
−25.5
1
vs
UCSB
W 95-84
+14.5
3
vs
UCI
L 64-86
−18.5
8
@
UCSD
W 88-71
+30.5
10
vs
CSUN
W 86-79
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
WYO
L 82-92
+19.5
10
@
CAL
L 65-93
−4.5
15
vs
PAC
L 73-85
−1.5
21
@
PORT
L 85-103
+23.5
22
vs
STMN
W 88-80
+5.5
23
vs
UNCO
L 93-97
+25.5
29
vs
PEPP
W 83-69
−9.5
4
vs
CP
L 91-94
+7.5
13
@
DEN
W 105-86
+25.5
21
@
OKST
L 89-94
+6.5
28
@
SMU
L 63-110
+2.5
1
vs
UCSB
W 95-84
+23.5
3
vs
UCI
L 64-86
−10.5
8
@
UCSD
W 88-71
−7.5
10
vs
CSUN
W 86-79
−8.5
over 9under 6avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
NDSU
W 80-68
+10.5
9
@
PORT
L 63-67
−2.5
14
vs
SAC
W 77-73
−0.5
18
@
NEV
W 75-71
+16.5
21
@
COLO
L 79-95
−1.5
24
vs
UL
W 77-56
+11.5
13
@
ORE
L 62-104
−28.5
17
vs
SEA
L 78-79
+1.5
21
@
IDST
W 93-83
+15.5
1
vs
CSUN
W 89-80
+5.5
3
vs
CSUB
L 79-81
−11.5
8
@
UCSB
W 93-86
+11.5
10
@
CP
L 78-84
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
NDSU
W 80-68
+5.5
9
@
PORT
L 63-67
−21.5
14
vs
SAC
W 77-73
−1.5
18
@
NEV
W 75-71
+2.5
21
@
COLO
L 79-95
+21.5
24
vs
UL
W 77-56
−3.5
13
@
ORE
L 62-104
+19.5
17
vs
SEA
L 78-79
+13.5
21
@
IDST
W 93-83
+32.5
1
vs
CSUN
W 89-80
+6.5
3
vs
CSUB
L 79-81
+8.5
8
@
UCSB
W 93-86
+31.5
10
@
CP
L 78-84
−6.5
over 9under 4avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
6-10 overall · 3-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge86–79
- W@ UC San Diego88–71
- Lvs UC Irvine64–86
- Wvs Santa Barbara95–84
- L@ SMU63–110
5 days since their last game.
UC Davis
7-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cal Poly78–84
- W@ Santa Barbara93–86
- Lvs Bakersfield79–81
- Wvs CSU Northridge89–80
- W@ Idaho St93–83
5 days since their last game.