The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -4.5✓ UCD covered by 11.5
UCSB -4.5✓ UCD covered by 11.5Closing total147.5Over by 31.5
 UCD | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 7-6 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 4-9 |
| 8-3 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 74–77 UCSB · ✗ UCSB (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 43 | 50 | 93 |
| UCSB | 47 | 39 | 86 |
1st half: UCD 43, UCSB 47 (UCSB by 4). The model had UCSB by 1.4 and a total of 70.6 (actual 90).
Team stats
| UCD | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 29-53 55% |
| 13-32 41% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 20-24 83% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 26 4 off |
| 16 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 36 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Nils Cooper G | 27 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 24 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Niko Rocak F | 23 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 25 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 23 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Chase Rawlins, Omer Suljanovic, Abdullah Amzil, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Ylan Esso-Essis, Cyril Franklin Jr.
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 36 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Zion Sensley G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Miro Little G | 24 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Colin Smith F | 22 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 33 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| ZZ Clark G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, Luke Zuffelato, Jason Fontenet II, Bryce Bedgood, Isaac Shingange
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -3.5
1 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -4.5
1 pt toward UCSB
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UCD +164 · UCSB -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -3.5 · closed UCSB -4.5 · moved 1 toward UCSBmodel UCSB -2.5
model UCSB -2.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -4.5 | UCSB -2.6 | UCD +1.9 | W UCD covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.8 | Over 3.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UCD 74.1 · UCSB 76.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -1.4 | UCSB -4.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | UCD 34.6 · UCSB 36 | UCD 43 · UCSB 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 5-5 50% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
| UCSB | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
UCD 4–3 UCSBUCD leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UCD has won the last 4 meetings · UCD 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UCD 64 @ UCSB 60 | UCSB -8.5 | UCD W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | UCSB 60 @ UCD 71 | UCD +2.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UCD 79 @ UCSB 69 | UCSB -3.5 | UCD W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | UCSB 62 @ UCD 76 | UCD +2.5 | UCD W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | UCSB 89 @ UCD 86 | UCD +2.5 | UCSB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs CSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
over 8under 3avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
4-9
31% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vsSEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vsPORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 9avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
over 7under 6avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
6-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bakersfield79–81
- Wvs CSU Northridge89–80
- W@ Idaho St93–83
- Lvs Seattle U78–79
- L@ Oregon62–104
5 days since their last game.
Santa Barbara
7-6 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge65–74
- L@ Fullerton84–95
- Wvs Portland79–61
- L@ Green Bay64–67
- Lvs Utah Valley53–68
5 days since their last game.