University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCD -3.5✓ UCD covered by 5.5
Closing total162.5Over by 6.5
| This season | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 5-5 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 78–83 UCD · ✓ UCD (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 33 | 47 | 80 |
| UCD | 38 | 51 | 89 |
1st half: CSUN 33, UCD 38 (UCD by 5). The model had UCD by 3.1 and a total of 75.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| CSUN | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 30-59 51% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 15-30 50% |
| 16-26 62% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 24 |
| 10 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes II G | 35 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Joshua O'Garro G | 34 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Josiah Davis G | 32 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Davius Loury F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 26 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Grady Lewis F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Robert Thibiant, Greg Gazarian, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan, Quinton Webb
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Chappell F | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 32 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 9-15 | 5-10 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 23 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 6-10 | 5-6 |
| Niko Rocak F | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Nils Cooper G | 21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 19 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Abdullah Amzil F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -4.5
1 → CSUN
CloseUCD -3.5
1 pt toward CSUN
Total
Open166.5
▼ 4
Close162.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +150 · UCD -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -4.5 · closed UCD -3.5 · moved 1 toward CSUNmodel UCD -5.5
model UCD -5.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 4 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCD -3.5 | UCD -5.4 | UCD +1.9 | W UCD covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 160.9 | Under 1.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUN 77.7 · UCD 83.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -3.1 | UCD -5.0 |
| 1H total | 75.3 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | CSUN 36.1 · UCD 39.2 | CSUN 33 · UCD 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUN 2–6 UCDUCD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSUN has won the last 2 meetings · CSUN 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CSUN 65 @ UCD 62 | UCD +3.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UCD 61 @ CSUN 73 | CSUN -8.5 | CSUN W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UCD 66 @ CSUN 65 | CSUN +1.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | CSUN 75 @ UCD 95 | UCD -4.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | CSUN 62 @ UCD 73 | UCD -11.5 | CSUN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 27 | @ | L 80-88 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+1.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
−17.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+13.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−12.5
28
vs
IDST
L 50-82
−30.5
4
vs
CSUB
W 87-66
+15.5
6
@
UCI
L 71-85
−6.5
10
vs
FRES
W 89-87
−1.5
13
@
DEL
W 88-66
+23.5
22
vs
SAC
W 100-88
+3.5
27
@
STAN
L 80-88
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
UNI
L 57-86
−10.5
9
@
UND
W 93-85
+19.5
11
@
NDSU
L 68-90
+1.5
16
vs
TROY
W 94-85
+21.5
26
vs
IDHO
L 64-78
−17.5
28
vs
IDST
L 50-82
−16.5
4
vs
CSUB
W 87-66
−2.5
6
@
UCI
L 71-85
+3.5
10
vs
FRES
W 89-87
+14.5
13
@
DEL
W 88-66
+9.5
22
vs
SAC
W 100-88
+23.5
27
@
STAN
L 80-88
+7.5
over 8under 4avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
NDSU
W 80-68
+10.5
9
@
PORT
L 63-67
−2.5
14
vs
SAC
W 77-73
−0.5
18
@
NEV
W 75-71
+16.5
21
@
COLO
L 79-95
−1.5
24
vs
UL
W 77-56
+11.5
13
@
ORE
L 62-104
−28.5
17
vs
SEA
L 78-79
+1.5
21
@
IDST
W 93-83
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
NDSU
W 80-68
+5.5
9
@
PORT
L 63-67
−21.5
14
vs
SAC
W 77-73
−1.5
18
@
NEV
W 75-71
+2.5
21
@
COLO
L 79-95
+21.5
24
vs
UL
W 77-56
−3.5
13
@
ORE
L 62-104
+19.5
17
vs
SEA
L 78-79
+13.5
21
@
IDST
W 93-83
+32.5
over 6under 3avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
6-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stanford80–88
- Wvs Sacramento St100–88
- W@ Delaware88–66
- Wvs Fresno St89–87
- L@ UC Irvine71–85
5 days since their last game.
UC Davis
5-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Idaho St93–83
- Lvs Seattle U78–79
- L@ Oregon62–104
- L@ Hawai'i69–75
- Wvs Louisiana77–56
A week or more of rest.