Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CSUF -1.5✓ CSUF covered by 10.5
CSUF -1.5✓ CSUF covered by 10.5Closing total155.5Under by 3.5
 UCD | This season | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| 17-13 | Record | 15-15 |
| 17-12 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 17-12 | O/U | 13-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCD 80–78 CSUF · ✗ UCD (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 26 | 44 | 70 |
| CSUF | 38 | 44 | 82 |
1st half: UCD 26, CSUF 38 (CSUF by 12). The model had UCD by 1.4 and a total of 73.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UCD | CSUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-64 36% | Field goals | 20-56 36% |
| 7-29 24% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 38-45 84% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 52 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 6 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 29 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 37 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 36 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 25 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 21 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Niko Rocak F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chase Rawlins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Stokes, Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil, Nils Cooper
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 31 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Joshua Ward G | 29 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Landon Seaman F | 24 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 24 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Christian Williams G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bailey Nunn G | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Davis White, Yesan Warren, Karan Kolappa, Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker, Kidus Tilahun
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -1.5
3 → CSUF
CloseCSUF -1.5
3 pts toward CSUF
Total
Open159.5
▼ 4
Close155.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCD +105 · CSUF -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -1.5 · closed CSUF -1.5 · moved 3 toward CSUFmodel UCD -2
model UCD -2
Opened 159.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 4 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSUF -1.5 | UCD -2.1 | UCD +3.6 | L CSUF covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 158.1 | Over 2.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCD 80.1 · CSUF 78 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -1.4 | CSUF -12.0 |
| 1H total | 73.9 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | UCD 37.6 · CSUF 36.3 | UCD 26 · CSUF 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| CSUF | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UCD 6–4 CSUFUCD leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UCD 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | UCD 92 @ CSUF 93 | CSUF -1.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | CSUF 69 @ UCD 74 | UCD -3.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UCD 65 @ CSUF 49 | CSUF +6.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | CSUF 53 @ UCD 63 | UCD -8.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | CSUF 58 @ UCD 71 | UCD -6.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Davis
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs CSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCR | W 74-66 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUN | L 78-94 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUB | W 80-72 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsUCSB | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 7 | vsCP | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 12 | @UCSD | L 51-68 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vs LBSU | W 71-54 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 19 | @CSUF | L 92-93 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 21 | @UCR | W 78-73 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 26 | vsHAW | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 5 | @LBSU | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @UCI | L 69-79 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 11 | vsUCSB | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−1.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
−12.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
+2.5
5
vsUCSB
UCSBW 85-75
+13.5
7
vsCP
CPW 67-58
+3.5
12
@UCSD
UCSDL 51-68
−11.5
14
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-54
+12.5
19
@CSUF
CSUFL 92-93
+0.5
21
@UCR
UCRW 78-73
+2.5
26
vsHAW
HAWL 73-77
−2.5
5
@LBSU
LBSUW 76-70
+4.5
7
@UCI
UCIL 69-79
−2.5
11
vsUCSB
UCSBW 79-73
+10.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−9.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
+8.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
−0.5
5
vsUCSB
UCSBW 85-75
+12.5
7
vsCP
CPW 67-58
−44.5
12
@UCSD
UCSDL 51-68
−31.5
14
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-54
−24.5
19
@CSUF
CSUFL 92-93
+28.5
21
@UCR
UCRW 78-73
+1.5
26
vsHAW
HAWL 73-77
+3.5
5
@LBSU
LBSUW 76-70
−3.5
7
@UCI
UCIL 69-79
+3.5
11
vsUCSB
UCSBW 79-73
+12.5
over 17under 12avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fullerton
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-16
45% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vsCP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSB | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vsUCI | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @UCSD | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsCSUN | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @UCD | L 69-74 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @UCR | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vsLBSU | W 71-61 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @CP | W 93-78 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 31 | @UCSB | L 69-83 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsUCR | W 78-72 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 7 | vsCSUB | W 82-66 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 12 | @LBSU | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 14 | @UCI | L 65-86 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 19 | vsUCD | W 93-92 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 21 | @CSUB | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vsHAW | L 85-87 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | vsUCSD | W 75-71 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 7 | @CSUN | W 90-77 | +5.5 | W +18.5 | 170.5 | U 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+14.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−18.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
+30.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
+5.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−1.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−12.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+6.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
+13.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−5.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
+0.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-66
+6.5
12
@LBSU
LBSUW 86-82
+6.5
14
@UCI
UCIL 65-86
−13.5
19
vsUCD
UCDW 93-92
−0.5
21
@CSUB
CSUBW 88-80
+2.5
28
vsHAW
HAWL 85-87
+1.5
5
vsUCSD
UCSDW 75-71
+6.5
7
@CSUN
CSUNW 90-77
+18.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+23.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−10.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
−7.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
−8.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−23.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−4.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−28.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
−2.5
31
@UCSB
UCSBL 69-83
−1.5
5
vsUCR
UCRW 78-72
−6.5
7
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-66
−9.5
12
@LBSU
LBSUW 86-82
+11.5
14
@UCI
UCIL 65-86
−3.5
19
vsUCD
UCDW 93-92
+28.5
21
@CSUB
CSUBW 88-80
+7.5
28
vsHAW
HAWL 85-87
+13.5
5
vsUCSD
UCSDW 75-71
−10.5
7
@CSUN
CSUNW 90-77
−3.5
over 13under 16avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Davis
17-13 overall · 12-9 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Barbara79–73
- L@ UC Irvine69–79
- W@ Long Beach St76–70
- Lvs Hawai'i73–77
- W@ UC Riverside78–73
1 day since their last game.
Fullerton
15-15 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ CSU Northridge90–77
- Wvs UC San Diego75–71
- Lvs Hawai'i85–87
- W@ Bakersfield88–80
- Wvs UC Davis93–92
5 days since their last game.