University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCD -9.5✓ UCR covered by 1.5
UCD -9.5✓ UCR covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 9.5
 UCR | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 9-8 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCR 72–80 UCD · ✓ UCD (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 25 | 41 | 66 |
| UCD | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: UCR 25, UCD 36 (UCD by 11). The model had UCD by 4.9 and a total of 71.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UCR | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 25-50 50% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 10-19 53% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 32 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| BJ Kolly F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ben Waller G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Henderson G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 6-20 | 4-15 |
| Osiris Grady F | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Jones G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Amaury McKinney, EJ Spillman, Gavin Haase, Dylan Godfrey, Daniel Tobiloba, Denzel Hines, Parker Strauss
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla G | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Nils Cooper G | 34 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Niko Rocak F | 28 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 26 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abdullah Amzil, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Ylan Esso-Essis, Cyril Franklin Jr., Chase Rawlins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -7.5
2 → UCD
CloseUCD -9.5
2 pts toward UCD
Total
Open153.5
▼ 4
Close149.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCR +380 · UCD -500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -7.5 · closed UCD -9.5 · moved 2 toward UCDmodel UCD -8.5
model UCD -8.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 4 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCD -9.5 | UCD -8.4 | UCR +1.1 | W UCR covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.5 | Over 2.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UCR 71.6 · UCD 80 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -4.9 | UCD -11.0 |
| 1H total | 71.0 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | UCR 33 · UCD 37.9 | UCR 25 · UCD 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UCD | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCR 5–3 UCDUCR leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCR 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UCR 74 @ UCD 75 | UCD -1.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UCD 58 @ UCR 60 | UCR -5.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UCR 67 @ UCD 61 | UCD -6.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | UCD 83 @ UCR 63 | UCR -1.5 | UCD W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | UCD 52 vs UCR 68 | UCR -2.5 | UCR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Riverside
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ STMN | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCLA | L 65-97 | +24.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vs HAW | L 45-88 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUB | L 66-67 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs UCSD | L 66-69 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | @ LBSU | L 73-88 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs CSUF | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vsUCI | L 66-80 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+0.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
−7.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−34.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
+2.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
+7.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
−9.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
+12.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 66-80
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+17.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
+13.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−16.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
−14.5
10
vsUCSD
UCSDL 66-69
−14.5
15
@LBSU
LBSUL 73-88
+19.5
17
vsCSUF
CSUFW 81-72
−4.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 66-80
+3.5
over 10under 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs CSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vsUCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
over 10under 6avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Riverside
5-13 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Irvine66–80
- Wvs Fullerton81–72
- L@ Long Beach St73–88
- Lvs UC San Diego66–69
- L@ Bakersfield66–67
2 days since their last game.
UC Davis
9-8 overall · 4-4 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- Wvs UC Irvine75–72
- Wvs Fullerton74–69
- L@ Cal Poly78–84
- W@ Santa Barbara93–86
2 days since their last game.