The Thunderdome · at Santa Barbara · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -8.5✓ UCSB covered by 5.5
UCSB -8.5✓ UCSB covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Under by 1.5
 CSUF | This season | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| 8-12 | Record | 12-7 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 7-12 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUF 75–82 UCSB · ✓ UCSB (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 29 | 40 | 69 |
| UCSB | 38 | 45 | 83 |
1st half: CSUF 29, UCSB 38 (UCSB by 9). The model had UCSB by 4.1 and a total of 73.2 (actual 67).
Team stats
| CSUF | UCSB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 11-33 33% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 21 |
| 10 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Williams G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Joshua Ward G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Davis White G | 25 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Cofield G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bailey Nunn G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Landon Seaman F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 14 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 8-9 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Cam Smith, Nicholas Khatchikian, Matthew Quinlan, Ben Winker, Karan Kolappa, Yesan Warren, Kidus Tilahun, Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miro Little G | 27 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Colin Smith F | 24 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-5 | 2-2 |
| Aidan Mahaney G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Zion Sensley G | 23 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Shaw G | 26 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Marvin McGhee IV G | 26 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| ZZ Clark G | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Koat Keat Tong F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Zuffelato G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, John Simcoe, Bryce Bedgood, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange, Evans Kipruto
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -8.5
no move
CloseUCSB -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CSUF +320 · UCSB -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -8.5 · unchangedmodel UCSB -7
model UCSB -7
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -8.5 | UCSB -7.1 | CSUF +1.4 | L UCSB covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 156.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CSUF 74.7 · UCSB 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -4.1 | UCSB -9.0 |
| 1H total | 73.2 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | CSUF 34.6 · UCSB 38.6 | CSUF 29 · UCSB 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUF | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| UCSB | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CSUF 6–4 UCSBCSUF leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CSUF 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | UCSB 84 @ CSUF 95 | CSUF +3.5 | CSUF W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUF 56 @ UCSB 86 | UCSB -14.5 | UCSB W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UCSB 83 @ CSUF 75 | CSUF +8.5 | CSUF W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UCSB 70 @ CSUF 79 | CSUF +2.5 | CSUF W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | CSUF 73 @ UCSB 69 | UCSB -6.5 | CSUF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fullerton
20 games played
Straight up
8-12
40% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | vs CP | L 91-94 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | @ HAW | L 59-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DEN | W 105-86 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 165.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 21 | @ OKST | L 89-94 | +19.5 | W +14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 28 | @ SMU | L 63-110 | +21.5 | L −25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vsUCSB | W 95-84 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCI | L 64-86 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | @ UCSD | W 88-71 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | vs CSUN | W 86-79 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 173.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 15 | @ UCD | L 69-74 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCR | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 22 | vs LBSU | W 71-61 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @CP | W 93-78 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
−4.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+22.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+14.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
−25.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+14.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−18.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
+30.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
+5.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−1.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−12.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
+6.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
+13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
4
vsCP
CPL 91-94
+7.5
13
@DEN
DENW 105-86
+25.5
21
@OKST
OKSTL 89-94
+6.5
28
@SMU
SMUL 63-110
+2.5
1
vsUCSB
UCSBW 95-84
+23.5
3
vsUCI
UCIL 64-86
−10.5
8
@UCSD
UCSDW 88-71
−7.5
10
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-79
−8.5
15
@UCD
UCDL 69-74
−23.5
17
@UCR
UCRL 72-81
−4.5
22
vsLBSU
LBSUW 71-61
−28.5
24
@CP
CPW 93-78
−2.5
over 9under 10avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Barbara
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vsLBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vsPORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsHAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vsCP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @LBSU | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @UCSD | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
−1.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
+18.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
+0.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
−35.5
over 10under 9avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fullerton
8-12 overall · 5-5 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cal Poly93–78
- Wvs Long Beach St71–61
- L@ UC Riverside72–81
- L@ UC Davis69–74
- Wvs CSU Northridge86–79
A week or more of rest.
Santa Barbara
12-7 overall · 7-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC San Diego62–48
- W@ Long Beach St74–71
- Wvs Cal Poly107–67
- Wvs Hawai'i77–62
- W@ Bakersfield75–69
2 days since their last game.