University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCSB -3.5✓ UCD covered by 13.5
UCSB -3.5✓ UCD covered by 13.5Closing total147.5Over by 12.5
| UCSB | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 13-7 | Record | 11-9 |
| 8-12 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSB 75–74 UCD · ✗ UCSB (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 32 | 43 | 75 |
| UCD | 40 | 45 | 85 |
1st half: UCSB 32, UCD 40 (UCD by 8). The model had UCSB by 0.5 and a total of 69.8 (actual 72).
Team stats
| UCSB | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 26-50 52% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 10-18 56% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 32 14 off | Rebounds | 26 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| UCSB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney G | 40 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 5-18 | 3-9 |
| Zion Sensley G | 38 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Colin Smith F | 37 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| CJ Shaw G | 37 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Hosana Kitenge F | 22 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| ZZ Clark G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Michael Simcoe F | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Evans Kipruto C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Haughy, Luke Zuffelato, John Simcoe, Bryce Bedgood, Marvin McGhee IV, Jason Fontenet II, Isaac Shingange, Miro Little, Koat Keat Tong
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Rocak F | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 30 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 29 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Nils Cooper G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Abdullah Amzil, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Ylan Esso-Essis, Cyril Franklin Jr., Chase Rawlins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSB -2.5
1 → UCSB
CloseUCSB -3.5
1 pt toward UCSB
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UCSB -166 · UCD +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSB -2.5 · closed UCSB -3.5 · moved 1 toward UCSBmodel UCSB -0.5
model UCSB -0.5
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSB -3.5 | UCSB -0.6 | UCD +2.9 | W UCD covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 149.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UCSB 74.8 · UCD 74.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSB -0.5 | UCD -8.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | UCSB 35.1 · UCD 34.6 | UCSB 32 · UCD 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSB | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| UCD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCSB 3–5 UCDUCD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCD has won the last 5 meetings · UCSB 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025-26 | UCD 93 @ UCSB 86 | UCSB -4.5 | UCD W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UCD 64 @ UCSB 60 | UCSB -8.5 | UCD W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | UCSB 60 @ UCD 71 | UCD +2.5 | UCD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UCD 79 @ UCSB 69 | UCSB -3.5 | UCD W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | UCSB 62 @ UCD 76 | UCD +2.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Barbara
20 games played
Straight up
13-7
65% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SJSU | W 85-74 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ SAC | W 92-87 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs LMU | L 74-78 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 22 | @ NEV | L 64-77 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEH | W 72-70 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs SEA | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 4 | vs LBSU | W 84-77 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUB | W 109-84 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 13 | vs UVU | L 53-68 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | @ GB | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | vs PORT | W 79-61 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUF | L 84-95 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUN | L 65-74 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsUCD | L 86-93 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 15 | @CSUB | W 75-69 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs HAW | W 77-62 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs CP | W 107-67 | -8.5 | W +31.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 24 | @LBSU | W 74-71 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 29 | @ UCSD | W 62-48 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | vsCSUF | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+1.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
−2.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
−7.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−7.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−8.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+5.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
−6.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+12.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−9.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−10.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
+8.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
−14.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−6.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
−11.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−1.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
+17.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+31.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
−1.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
+18.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSJSU
SJSUW 85-74
+12.5
11
@SAC
SACW 92-87
+17.5
17
vsLMU
LMUL 74-78
+6.5
22
@NEV
NEVL 64-77
−6.5
28
vsLEH
LEHW 72-70
−4.5
29
vsSEA
SEAW 74-71
+2.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 84-77
+19.5
6
vsCSUB
CSUBW 109-84
+47.5
13
vsUVU
UVUL 53-68
−25.5
17
@GB
GBL 64-67
−9.5
22
vsPORT
PORTW 79-61
−7.5
1
@CSUF
CSUFL 84-95
+23.5
3
@CSUN
CSUNL 65-74
−17.5
8
vsUCD
UCDL 86-93
+31.5
15
@CSUB
CSUBW 75-69
−0.5
17
vsHAW
HAWW 77-62
−4.5
22
vsCP
CPW 107-67
+14.5
24
@LBSU
LBSUW 74-71
+0.5
29
@UCSD
UCSDW 62-48
−35.5
31
vsCSUF
CSUFW 83-69
−1.5
over 10under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs NDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vsSAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vsSEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsCSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 3 | vsCSUB | L 79-81 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | @UCSB | W 93-86 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @CP | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUF | W 74-69 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCI | W 75-72 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | vsUCSD | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCR | W 74-66 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 29 | @CSUN | L 78-94 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUB | W 80-72 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
−11.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+11.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
+1.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
+6.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
−4.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−1.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
−12.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
3
vsCSUB
CSUBL 79-81
+8.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBW 93-86
+31.5
10
@CP
CPL 78-84
−6.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 74-69
−23.5
17
vsUCI
UCIW 75-72
−1.5
22
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+1.5
24
vsUCR
UCRW 74-66
−9.5
29
@CSUN
CSUNL 78-94
+8.5
31
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-72
−0.5
over 11under 8avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Barbara
13-7 overall · 8-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fullerton83–69
- W@ UC San Diego62–48
- W@ Long Beach St74–71
- Wvs Cal Poly107–67
- Wvs Hawai'i77–62
5 days since their last game.
UC Davis
11-9 overall · 6-5 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bakersfield80–72
- L@ CSU Northridge78–94
- Wvs UC Riverside74–66
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- Wvs UC Irvine75–72
5 days since their last game.