Burns Arena · at Utah Tech · Conference game
#313WEBWeber St
@
#268UTUUtah Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Weber St and Utah Tech
WEBThis seasonUTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTU 79–73 · win probability UTU 69%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTU has more of the edges

WEB 3, UTU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WEBBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, UTU 28.1%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, UTU 65.5%
UTUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; UTU 53.3 and allows 50.9
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, UTU the 210th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTUSmall
UTU offense vs WEB defense
Offense 251st of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
UTUSmall
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; UTU hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%. Threes are 32.8% and 38.2% of their shots
WEBSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, UTU 30.6. Allowed: WEB 36.4, UTU 33.0
WEBSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, UTU 17.8%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, UTU 16.8%
UTUSmall
Home court
UTU at home. This season: UTU 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, UTU 24%. Transfers in: WEB 2, UTU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), UTU 69.9 (124th). Faster games mean more points
Even
WEB offense vs UTU defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 295th, on the model’s ratings

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTU -5.5—
Total—152.4—
Projected score—WEB 73.4 · UTU 79

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadUTU -3.2—
1H total71.2—
1H projected scoreWEB 34 · UTU 37.2—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Weber St 0, Utah Tech 0, even 5
Weber StBetterUtah Tech
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
Even
G R. Sunderland TR4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 4
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Dupre TR3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 1
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G M. Brown TR3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F E. Potter17.1 pts · 7.9 reb · 2 ast Score 94
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Ariyibi2.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
Weber StBetterUtah Tech
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
Even
UTU defense295th of 366 · -7.4
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
UTUSmall
UTU offense251st of 366 · -7.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
WEBBig
Backcourt-8.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
UTUBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWEB betterUTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
Utah Tech
Guards
R. Sunderland27 min · TRA. Dupre16 min · TRM. Brown14 min · TRB. Harker3 minP. Vandermyde1 minP. RagkosNew
Forwards
E. Potter32 minS. Ariyibi10 minD. Grant2 minJ. ClarkNew
Centers
K. LemkeNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBUTU
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game74.7 #171
1.11 #112Points per possession1.08 #193
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)69.9 #124
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%53.3 #90
34.5 #1433-point %35.0 #113
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate38.2 #207
39.1 #76Free throw rate30.6 #290
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate17.8 #256
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate28.1 #261
12.6 #241Assists per game14.4 #121
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed77.0 #243
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.09 #211
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%50.9 #151
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %30.7 #29
16.3 #204Turnovers forced16.8 #166
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate65.5 #326
6.9 #133Steals per game6.9 #135
1.5 #360Blocks per game3.0 #216

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

Utah Tech

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs CA Baptist72–86
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn80–74
  • Lvs Utah Valley101–104
  • L@ Southern Utah67–81
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–81

A week or more of rest.