1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. IDST @ UTU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Idaho State Bengals at Utah Tech Trailblazers

Burns Arena · at Utah Tech · Conference game
#344IDSTIdaho St
@
#268UTUUtah Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IDSTThis seasonUTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTU 79–71 · win probability UTU 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTU has more of the edges

IDST 1, UTU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IDSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IDST 32.8%, UTU 28.1%. Defensive: IDST 72.1%, UTU 65.5%
UTUBig
Three-pointers
IDST hits 33.6% and allows 34.5%; UTU hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%. Threes are 41.9% and 38.2% of their shots
UTUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: IDST 51.9 and allows 54.5; UTU 53.3 and allows 50.9
UTUSmall
UTU offense vs IDST defense
Offense 251st of 366 against a defense 349th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
IDST has played the 295th-hardest schedule, UTU the 210th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: IDST plays 67.3 a game (266th fastest), UTU 69.9 (124th). Faster games mean more points
UTUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IDST 17.1%, UTU 17.8%. Forced: IDST 14.6%, UTU 16.8%
UTUSmall
Home court
UTU at home. This season: UTU 0-0 at home, IDST 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IDST 6%, UTU 24%. Transfers in: IDST 1, UTU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IDST 38.0, UTU 30.6. Allowed: IDST 38.0, UTU 33.0
Even
IDST offense vs UTU defense
Offense 324th of 366 against a defense 295th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTU -7.7—
Total—150.1—
Projected score—IDST 71.2 · UTU 78.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTU -4.5—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreIDST 32.9 · UTU 37.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Idaho St 0, Utah Tech 0, even 5
Idaho StBetterUtah Tech
G L. Birley0.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G R. Sunderland TR4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 4
G E. Harel TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Dupre TR3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 1
G A. Goffe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G M. Brown TR3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
G J. Dorsey NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F E. Potter17.1 pts · 7.9 reb · 2 ast Score 94
F Q. Patterson0.9 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Ariyibi2.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
Idaho StBetterUtah Tech
IDST offense324th of 366 · -10.6
Even
UTU defense295th of 366 · -7.4
IDST defense349th of 366 · -9.6
UTUSmall
UTU offense251st of 366 · -7.6
Backcourt-0.3 · 4 players
IDSTBig
Backcourt-8.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.3 · 1 player
UTUBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestIDST betterUTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Idaho St
Guards
L. Birley4 minE. Harel1 min · TRA. GoffeNewJ. DorseyNewM. MorrisNewT. VirgilNew
Forwards
Q. Patterson7 minM. JohnsonNewI. PalmerNewK. DeMuynckNewM. JohnsonNewB. LowenbachNew
Utah Tech
Guards
R. Sunderland27 min · TRA. Dupre16 min · TRM. Brown14 min · TRB. Harker3 minP. Vandermyde1 minP. RagkosNew
Forwards
E. Potter32 minS. Ariyibi10 minD. Grant2 minJ. ClarkNew
Centers
K. LemkeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IDSTUTU
Scoring
73.6 #213Points per game74.7 #171
1.10 #135Points per possession1.08 #193
67.3 #266Pace (possessions)69.9 #124
Shooting
51.9 #151Effective FG%53.3 #90
33.6 #1923-point %35.0 #113
41.9 #1373-point attempt rate38.2 #207
38.0 #104Free throw rate30.6 #290
Possessions
17.1 #213Turnover rate17.8 #256
32.8 #94Offensive rebound rate28.1 #261
11.8 #302Assists per game14.4 #121
Defense
77.6 #255Points allowed77.0 #243
1.14 #314Points allowed per possession1.09 #211
54.5 #315Opponent effective FG%50.9 #151
34.5 #220Opponent 3-point %30.7 #29
14.6 #316Turnovers forced16.8 #166
72.1 #63Defensive rebound rate65.5 #326
5.2 #322Steals per game6.9 #135
4.0 #78Blocks per game3.0 #216
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Idaho St

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland St78–85
  • Wvs N Arizona73–65
  • L@ Sacramento St65–83
  • Lvs Weber St73–83
  • Wvs Montana St91–76

A week or more of rest.

Utah Tech

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs CA Baptist72–86
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn80–74
  • Lvs Utah Valley101–104
  • L@ Southern Utah67–81
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–81

A week or more of rest.