1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 10
  3. CSUF @ IDST
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 10

Cal State Fullerton Titans at Idaho State Bengals

Reed Gym · at Idaho St
#312CSUFFullerton
@
#344IDSTIdaho St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CSUFThis seasonIDST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CSUF 77–76 · win probability CSUF 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CSUF has more of the edges

CSUF 3, IDST 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CSUFBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CSUF 15.3%, IDST 17.1%. Forced: CSUF 19.4%, IDST 14.6%
IDSTBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CSUF 24.6%, IDST 32.8%. Defensive: CSUF 71.7%, IDST 72.1%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: CSUF plays 75.5 a game (3rd fastest), IDST 67.3 (266th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
CSUF has played the 164th-hardest schedule, IDST the 295th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CSUFSmall
CSUF offense vs IDST defense
Offense 272nd of 366 against a defense 349th, on the model’s ratings
CSUFSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CSUF 39%, IDST 6%. Transfers in: CSUF 1, IDST 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
IDSTSmall
Home court
IDST at home. This season: IDST 0-0 at home, CSUF 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CSUF 37.8, IDST 38.0. Allowed: CSUF 35.3, IDST 38.0
Even
Three-pointers
CSUF hits 34.2% and allows 34.0%; IDST hits 33.6% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 43.1% and 41.9% of their shots
Even
IDST offense vs CSUF defense
Offense 324th of 366 against a defense 344th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: CSUF 51.4 and allows 54.3; IDST 51.9 and allows 54.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CSUF -0.4—
Total—152.6—
Projected score—CSUF 76.5 · IDST 76.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCSUF -0.4—
1H total71.3—
1H projected scoreCSUF 35.9 · IDST 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Fullerton 0, Idaho St 0, even 5
FullertonBetterIdaho St
G C. Williams9.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 39
No call
G L. Birley0.5 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G B. Nunn5 pts · 2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
No call
G E. Harel TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G D. White2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
No call
G A. Goffe NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
G T. Jenkins TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Dorsey NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F K. De Luna4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 7
No call
F Q. Patterson0.9 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
FullertonBetterIdaho St
CSUF offense272nd of 366 · -8.3
CSUFSmall
IDST defense349th of 366 · -9.6
CSUF defense344th of 366 · -9.2
Even
IDST offense324th of 366 · -10.6
Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players
IDSTBig
Backcourt-0.3 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.3 · 1 player
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestCSUF betterIDST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Fullerton
Guards
C. Williams27 minB. Nunn19 minD. White13 minT. Jenkins3 min · TRM. Quinlan2 minD. McConnellNew
Forwards
K. De Luna18 minR. ReynoldsNew
Idaho St
Guards
L. Birley4 minE. Harel1 min · TRA. GoffeNewJ. DorseyNewM. MorrisNewT. VirgilNew
Forwards
Q. Patterson7 minM. JohnsonNewI. PalmerNewK. DeMuynckNewM. JohnsonNewB. LowenbachNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CSUFIDST
Scoring
80.3 #60Points per game73.6 #213
1.07 #208Points per possession1.10 #135
75.5 #3Pace (possessions)67.3 #266
Shooting
51.4 #180Effective FG%51.9 #151
34.2 #1623-point %33.6 #192
43.1 #1083-point attempt rate41.9 #137
37.8 #107Free throw rate38.0 #104
Possessions
15.3 #82Turnover rate17.1 #213
24.6 #345Offensive rebound rate32.8 #94
15.0 #85Assists per game11.8 #302
Defense
82.2 #342Points allowed77.6 #255
1.08 #181Points allowed per possession1.14 #314
54.3 #307Opponent effective FG%54.5 #315
34.0 #185Opponent 3-point %34.5 #220
19.4 #34Turnovers forced14.6 #316
71.7 #80Defensive rebound rate72.1 #63
7.9 #45Steals per game5.2 #322
2.8 #258Blocks per game4.0 #78
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Fullerton

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hawai'i63–78
  • Wvs UC Davis82–70
  • W@ CSU Northridge90–77
  • Wvs UC San Diego75–71
  • Lvs Hawai'i85–87

A week or more of rest.

Idaho St

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland St78–85
  • Wvs N Arizona73–65
  • L@ Sacramento St65–83
  • Lvs Weber St73–83
  • Wvs Montana St91–76

A week or more of rest.