1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. CSUF @ BYU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Cal State Fullerton Titans at BYU Cougars

Marriott Center · at BYU
#312CSUFFullerton
@
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CSUFThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 93–65 · win probability BYU 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 157.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

CSUF 1, BYU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BYUBig
BYU offense vs CSUF defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 344th, on the model’s ratings
BYUBig
CSUF offense vs BYU defense
Offense 272nd of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
CSUF has played the 164th-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BYUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CSUF 51.4 and allows 54.3; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
BYUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CSUF 24.6%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: CSUF 71.7%, BYU 70.3%
CSUFSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CSUF 15.3%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: CSUF 19.4%, BYU 16.4%
BYUSmall
Home court
BYU at home. This season: BYU 0-0 at home, CSUF 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: CSUF plays 75.5 a game (3rd fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
CSUF hits 34.2% and allows 34.0%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 43.1% and 39.8% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CSUF 37.8, BYU 34.4. Allowed: CSUF 35.3, BYU 28.9
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CSUF 39%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: CSUF 1, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BYU -28.7—
Total—157.9—
Projected score—CSUF 64.6 · BYU 93.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -16.9—
1H total73.8—
1H projected scoreCSUF 28.4 · BYU 45.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

BYU has the better starters

Position by position: Fullerton 0, BYU 3, even 2
FullertonBetterBYU
G C. Williams9.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 39
BYUBig
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
G B. Nunn5 pts · 2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
BYUBig
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
G D. White2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
BYUBig
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
G T. Jenkins TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
F K. De Luna4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 7
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
FullertonBetterBYU
CSUF offense272nd of 366 · -8.3
BYUBig
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
CSUF defense344th of 366 · -9.2
BYUBig
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players
BYUBig
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 1 player
BYUBig
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestCSUF betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Fullerton
Guards
C. Williams27 minB. Nunn19 minD. White13 minT. Jenkins3 min · TRM. Quinlan2 minD. McConnellNew
Forwards
K. De Luna18 minR. ReynoldsNew
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CSUFBYU
Scoring
80.3 #60Points per game83.5 #22
1.07 #208Points per possession1.18 #32
75.5 #3Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
51.4 #180Effective FG%54.4 #54
34.2 #1623-point %34.5 #145
43.1 #1083-point attempt rate39.8 #177
37.8 #107Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
15.3 #82Turnover rate15.2 #78
24.6 #345Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
15.0 #85Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
82.2 #342Points allowed75.4 #202
1.08 #181Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
54.3 #307Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
34.0 #185Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
19.4 #34Turnovers forced16.4 #194
71.7 #80Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
7.9 #45Steals per game7.2 #109
2.8 #258Blocks per game4.4 #40
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Fullerton

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hawai'i63–78
  • Wvs UC Davis82–70
  • W@ CSU Northridge90–77
  • Wvs UC San Diego75–71
  • Lvs Hawai'i85–87

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.