Wisdom Gym · at Tarleton St · Conference game
Closing line
TAR -1.5✓ UTU covered by 9.5
TAR -1.5✓ UTU covered by 9.5Closing total140.5Over by 11.5
 UTU | This season | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-12 | Record | 10-13 |
| 15-10 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 11-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTU 73–77 TAR · ✗ TAR (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTU | 32 | 48 | 80 |
| TAR | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: UTU 32, TAR 32 (tied). The model had TAR by 2.2 and a total of 70.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UTU | TAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 26-61 43% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 37 11 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jusaun Holt G | 36 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Potter F | 34 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Noah Bolanga G | 33 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| Britton Berrett G | 33 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Tanner Davis G | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Trujillo G | 30 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 7-13 | 5-9 |
| Samuel Ariyibi F | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Dario Domingos F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Boston Harker, Preston Vandermyde, Madiba Owona, Hunter Schenck, Dallin Grant, Marvel Allen
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell G | 37 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 30 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Kade Douglas G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddy Hicks G | 27 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-1 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Thomas G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Damion Porter Jr. G | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, AJ Dent, Dior Johnson, Matyas Vrabel, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Joseph Martinez, Leroy Kelly IV, Cam McDowell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTAR -1.5
ModelTAR -3.9
Model edgeTAR +2.4
L UTU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model149.7
Model edgeOver 9.2
W Over
Projected score
UTU 72.9 · TAR 76.8
UTU 80 · TAR 72
Win probability
TAR 63%
1st half
Spread
TAR -2.2
tied
Total
70.0
64 points
Projected score
UTU 33.9 · TAR 36.1
UTU 32 · TAR 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTAR -2.5
1 → UTU
CloseTAR -1.5
1 pt toward UTU
Total
Open142.5
▼ 2
Close140.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTU +105 · TAR -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TAR -2.5 · closed TAR -1.5 · moved 1 toward UTUmodel TAR -4
model TAR -4
Opened 142.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| TAR | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UTU 3–6 TARTAR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UTU has won the last 2 meetings · UTU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | UTU 65 @ TAR 59 | TAR -1.5 | UTU W |
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | TAR 71 @ UTU 75 | UTU -3.5 | UTU W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UTU 54 @ TAR 61 | TAR -5.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | TAR 54 @ UTU 58 | UTU -1.5 | UTU W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | TAR 85 @ UTU 74 | UTU +4.5 | TAR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Tech
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SDAK | W 81-79 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ ARIZ | L 67-93 | +33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 9 | @ ASU | L 66-81 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | vs MAN | L 75-79 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | vs MVSU | W 81-75 | -26.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 15 | @ HAW | L 62-68 | +16.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs PRST | L 63-68 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCR | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | @ SCU | L 80-90 | +20.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | @ WEB | W 82-80 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ CREI | L 69-92 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs SUU | W 80-66 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 1 | @ ACU | W 79-64 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ CBU | L 72-84 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVU | L 76-92 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 15 | vs UTA | L 52-56 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 17 | vsTAR | W 75-71 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @CBU | L 64-73 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vsSUU | W 102-91 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 29 | @ACU | W 76-70 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | @TAR | W 65-59 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | vsUTA | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 12 | vsUVU | W 81-77 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 14 | vsCBU | W 70-65 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 19 | @UTA | L 50-63 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
+3.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
+7.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−2.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−6.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
−20.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
+10.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−3.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+2.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+10.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+7.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
−3.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-66
+6.5
1
@ACU
ACUW 79-64
+20.5
8
@CBU
CBUL 72-84
−4.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 76-92
−2.5
15
vsUTA
UTAL 52-56
−5.5
17
vsTAR
TARW 75-71
+0.5
21
@CBU
CBUL 64-73
−0.5
24
vsSUU
SUUW 102-91
+4.5
29
@ACU
ACUW 76-70
+9.5
31
@TAR
TARW 65-59
+7.5
5
vsUTA
UTAW 87-84
+1.5
12
vsUVU
UVUW 81-77
+13.5
14
vsCBU
CBUW 70-65
+7.5
19
@UTA
UTAL 50-63
−8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
−4.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
−2.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−5.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−4.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
+10.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
−19.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−15.5
29
vsUCR
UCRW 77-69
+0.5
3
@SCU
SCUL 80-90
+25.5
20
@WEB
WEBW 82-80
+9.5
22
@CREI
CREIL 69-92
+13.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-66
−2.5
1
@ACU
ACUW 79-64
+3.5
8
@CBU
CBUL 72-84
+11.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 76-92
+18.5
15
vsUTA
UTAL 52-56
−33.5
17
vsTAR
TARW 75-71
−4.5
21
@CBU
CBUL 64-73
−6.5
24
vsSUU
SUUW 102-91
+43.5
29
@ACU
ACUW 76-70
+0.5
31
@TAR
TARW 65-59
−25.5
5
vsUTA
UTAW 87-84
+31.5
12
vsUVU
UVUW 81-77
+9.5
14
vsCBU
CBUW 70-65
−8.5
19
@UTA
UTAL 50-63
−27.5
over 12under 13avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tarleton St
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsUVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsCBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vsACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | @UTU | L 71-75 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @UTA | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsUVU | L 55-83 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTU | L 59-65 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | @CBU | L 55-56 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | @SUU | W 62-59 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 14 | @ACU | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsACU | W 65-62 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsSUU | W 78-74 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−0.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−3.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−21.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
+9.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
+1.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−10.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
+4.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
−0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−4.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−7.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−16.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−25.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
−27.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
−28.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−2.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
−7.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
+7.5
over 11under 12avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Tech
13-12 overall · 9-5 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UT Arlington50–63
- Wvs CA Baptist70–65
- Wvs Utah Valley81–77
- Wvs UT Arlington87–84
- W@ Tarleton St65–59
2 days since their last game.
Tarleton St
10-13 overall · 5-9 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Utah78–74
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn65–62
- L@ Abilene Chrstn59–73
- W@ Southern Utah62–59
- L@ CA Baptist55–56
2 days since their last game.