Wisdom Gym · at Tarleton St · Conference game
Closing line
UVU -5.5✓ UVU covered by 0.5
UVU -5.5✓ UVU covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 31.5
| UVU | This season | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | Record | 6-4 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 9-1 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVU 75–72 TAR · ✓ UVU (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 43 | 48 | 91 |
| TAR | 40 | 45 | 85 |
1st half: UVU 43, TAR 40 (UVU by 3). The model had UVU by 2.0 and a total of 68.8 (actual 83).
Team stats
| UVU | TAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-53 55% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 27-36 75% | Free throws | 28-32 88% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 24 | Fouls | 26 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt G | 36 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jackson Holcombe G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Noah Taitz G | 24 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Hendricks G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Isaac Davis F | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Housley G | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Welling F | 25 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Isaac Hawkins F | 13 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
Did not play: AJ Riggs, Jaxson Roberts, AJ Dixon, Tyler Weaver, Tyler Medaris, Joul Karram
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Hicks G | 40 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Johnson G | 32 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 12-21 | 3-5 |
| Cam McDowell G | 32 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-3 |
| Kade Douglas G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damion Porter Jr., Cameron Thomas, Jaden Jinks, AJ Dent, Matyas Vrabel, Andy Sigiscar, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Ocypher Owens, Joseph Martinez
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVU -5.5
ModelUVU -3.2
Model edgeTAR +2.3
L UVU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
UVU 75.1 · TAR 71.9
UVU 91 · TAR 85
Win probability
UVU 61%
1st half
Spread
UVU -2.0
UVU -3.0
Total
68.8
83 points
Projected score
UVU 35.4 · TAR 33.4
UVU 43 · TAR 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVU -4.5
1 → UVU
CloseUVU -5.5
1 pt toward UVU
Total
Open150.5
▼ 6
Close144.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
UVU -250 · TAR +205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVU -4.5 · closed UVU -5.5 · moved 1 toward UVUmodel UVU -3
model UVU -3
Opened 150.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 6 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| TAR | 6-4 60% | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UVU 6–2 TARUVU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UVU has won the last 3 meetings · UVU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | UVU 71 @ TAR 66 | TAR +6.5 | TAR W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TAR 56 @ UVU 81 | UVU -14.5 | UVU W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | UVU 63 @ TAR 60 | TAR -6.5 | UVU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | TAR 72 @ UVU 61 | UVU -3.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | TAR 58 vs UVU 72 | UVU -6.5 | UVU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah Valley
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BOIS | L 77-101 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @ FRES | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UCI | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDST | W 75-52 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs SAM | W 89-45 | -7.5 | W +36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ SDSU | L 66-77 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ BGSU | W 82-71 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 10 | vs IDST | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCSB | W 68-53 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 17 | vs WEB | W 90-74 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vs CBU | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
−11.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−5.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+4.5
25
vsSDST
SDSTW 75-52
+21.5
26
vsSAM
SAMW 89-45
+36.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−2.5
6
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-71
+9.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-69
−5.5
13
vsUCSB
UCSBW 68-53
+9.5
17
vsWEB
WEBW 90-74
+0.5
29
vsCBU
CBUW 73-66
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BOIS
BOISL 77-101
+26.5
15
@FRES
FRESL 74-75
−7.5
19
vsUCI
UCIW 79-72
+1.5
25
vsSDST
SDSTW 75-52
−24.5
26
vsSAM
SAMW 89-45
−14.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 66-77
−1.5
6
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-71
+8.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-69
+0.5
13
vsUCSB
UCSBW 68-53
−25.5
17
vsWEB
WEBW 90-74
+15.5
29
vsCBU
CBUW 73-66
−9.5
over 5under 6avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tarleton St
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
9-1
90% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +7.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @ UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
over 6under 4avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah Valley
8-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CA Baptist73–66
- Wvs Weber St90–74
- Wvs Santa Barbara68–53
- Wvs Idaho St73–69
- W@ Bowling Green82–71
3 days since their last game.
Tarleton St
6-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UT Arlington69–63
- Wvs Florida A&M78–54
- W@ Miss Valley St88–64
- L@ Cincinnati58–76
- W@ Rice90–74
3 days since their last game.