1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Dec 14
  3. DEN @ UTU
NCAAB · Mon, Dec 14

Denver Pioneers at Utah Tech Trailblazers

Burns Arena · at Utah Tech
#263DENDenver
@
#268UTUUtah Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DENThis seasonUTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTU 79–77 · win probability UTU 58%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 155.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTU has more of the edges

DEN 1, UTU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTUBig
Three-pointers
DEN hits 36.8% and allows 36.7%; UTU hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%. Threes are 38.6% and 38.2% of their shots
DENBig
DEN offense vs UTU defense
Offense 184th of 366 against a defense 295th, on the model’s ratings
UTUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEN 53.6 and allows 56.0; UTU 53.3 and allows 50.9
UTUSmall
UTU offense vs DEN defense
Offense 251st of 366 against a defense 337th, on the model’s ratings
UTUSmall
Home court
UTU at home. This season: UTU 0-0 at home, DEN 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEN 29.8%, UTU 28.1%. Defensive: DEN 67.2%, UTU 65.5%
Context
Schedule so far
DEN has played the 249th-hardest schedule, UTU the 210th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEN 14.2%, UTU 17.8%. Forced: DEN 13.0%, UTU 16.8%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: DEN plays 69.4 a game (151st fastest), UTU 69.9 (124th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEN 34.1, UTU 30.6. Allowed: DEN 36.8, UTU 33.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEN 27%, UTU 24%. Transfers in: DEN 6, UTU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTU -2.4—
Total—155.4—
Projected score—DEN 76.5 · UTU 78.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTU -1.3—
1H total72.7—
1H projected scoreDEN 35.7 · UTU 37—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Denver has the better starters

Position by position: Denver 2, Utah Tech 1, even 2
DenverBetterUtah Tech
G C. Johnson19.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 73
DENBig
G R. Sunderland TR4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 4
G K. Martin TR5.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 24
DENSmall
G A. Dupre TR3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 1
G C. Hyland TR5 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 20
Even
G M. Brown TR3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
F J. Rogers TR5.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 27
UTUBig
F E. Potter17.1 pts · 7.9 reb · 2 ast Score 94
F S. Wysocki5.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 14
Even
F S. Ariyibi2.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
DenverBetterUtah Tech
DEN offense184th of 366 · -5.7
DENSmall
UTU defense295th of 366 · -7.4
DEN defense337th of 366 · -8.9
UTUSmall
UTU offense251st of 366 · -7.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
DENBig
Backcourt-8.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
UTUBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
Bench-2.4 · 3 players
UTUSmall
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestDEN betterUTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Denver
Guards
C. Johnson36 minK. Martin16 min · TRC. Hyland15 min · TRT. Cady11 min · TRL. ThreattNewJ. NelsonNew
Forwards
J. Rogers27 min · TRS. Wysocki19 minS. Mahoney5 min · TRH. BatesNewC. DimmockNewO. Wickstrom StumerNew
Centers
B. Mbengue9 min · TR
Utah Tech
Guards
R. Sunderland27 min · TRA. Dupre16 min · TRM. Brown14 min · TRB. Harker3 minP. Vandermyde1 minP. RagkosNew
Forwards
E. Potter32 minS. Ariyibi10 minD. Grant2 minJ. ClarkNew
Centers
K. LemkeNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DENUTU
Scoring
80.3 #61Points per game74.7 #171
1.16 #53Points per possession1.08 #193
69.4 #151Pace (possessions)69.9 #124
Shooting
53.6 #79Effective FG%53.3 #90
36.8 #323-point %35.0 #113
38.6 #1993-point attempt rate38.2 #207
34.1 #203Free throw rate30.6 #290
Possessions
14.2 #30Turnover rate17.8 #256
29.8 #213Offensive rebound rate28.1 #261
11.2 #327Assists per game14.4 #121
Defense
84.0 #357Points allowed77.0 #243
1.21 #360Points allowed per possession1.09 #211
56.0 #344Opponent effective FG%50.9 #151
36.7 #338Opponent 3-point %30.7 #29
13.0 #355Turnovers forced16.8 #166
67.2 #291Defensive rebound rate65.5 #326
4.5 #356Steals per game6.9 #135
1.9 #348Blocks per game3.0 #216
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Denver

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Dakota67–83
  • L@ Oral Roberts80–102
  • Wvs St Thomas82–80
  • Wvs South Dakota90–70
  • L@ Omaha76–83

A week or more of rest.

Utah Tech

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs CA Baptist72–86
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn80–74
  • Lvs Utah Valley101–104
  • L@ Southern Utah67–81
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–81

A week or more of rest.