1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Dec 14
  3. WIN @ WYO
NCAAB · Mon, Dec 14

Winthrop Eagles at Wyoming Cowboys

Arena-Auditorium · at Wyoming
#205WINWinthrop
@
#122WYOWyoming
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WINThis seasonWYO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WYO 82–72 · win probability WYO 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WYO has more of the edges

WIN 2, WYO 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WYOBig
WYO offense vs WIN defense
Offense 124th of 366 against a defense 298th, on the model’s ratings
WINBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: WIN 44.0, WYO 35.5. Allowed: WIN 39.0, WYO 47.9
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WIN plays 72.0 a game (35th fastest), WYO 67.6 (252nd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
WIN has played the 206th-hardest schedule, WYO the 105th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WYOSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WIN 13%, WYO 45%. Transfers in: WIN 5, WYO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
WYOSmall
Home court
WYO at home. This season: WYO 0-0 at home, WIN 0-0 away
WINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WIN 14.7%, WYO 16.3%. Forced: WIN 16.6%, WYO 16.8%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WIN 49.7 and allows 51.5; WYO 51.8 and allows 52.0
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WIN 34.1%, WYO 34.0%. Defensive: WIN 72.3%, WYO 72.0%
Even
Three-pointers
WIN hits 33.2% and allows 32.9%; WYO hits 33.0% and allows 32.8%. Threes are 44.1% and 43.0% of their shots
Even
WIN offense vs WYO defense
Offense 135th of 366 against a defense 130th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WYO -10.2—
Total—154.3—
Projected score—WIN 72 · WYO 82.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWYO -6.0—
1H total72.1—
1H projected scoreWIN 33.1 · WYO 39—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wyoming has the better starters

Position by position: Winthrop 1, Wyoming 4, even 0
WinthropBetterWyoming
G M. Davis TR9.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.9 ast Score 12
WYOBig
G C. Jefferson TR12.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48
G S. Sims TR9.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 30
WYOBig
G K. Bennett10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
G A. Smith TR7.6 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 60
WYOSmall
G N. Meyer12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 83
G S. Hendawy5.2 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast Score 30
WINSmall
F R. Sondors TR10.4 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
F G. Natsvlishvili TR7.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 43
WYOSmall
F G. Gores7.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 65
WinthropBetterWyoming
WIN offense135th of 366 · -3.9
Even
WYO defense130th of 366 · -2.4
WIN defense298th of 366 · -7.6
WYOBig
WYO offense124th of 366 · -3.3
Backcourt-5.8 · 4 players
WYOBig
Backcourt+1.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
WINSmall
Frontcourt-2.2 · 2 players
Bench-1.7 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWIN betterWYO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Winthrop
Guards
M. Davis26 min · TRS. Sims25 min · TRA. Smith18 min · TRS. Hendawy16 minK. Fisher11 min · TRH. Harrison2 min
Forwards
G. Natsvlishvili20 min · TRT. Hamilton7 minT. HarrisNewJ. CwikNew
Wyoming
Guards
C. Jefferson31 min · TRK. Bennett28 minN. Meyer28 minU. Rojas17 minP. Gerrits10 min · TRM. De MartinNew
Forwards
R. Sondors29 min · TRG. Gores18 minM. Curtis9 min · TRM. MoraNewN. SummersNewC. PohlNew
Centers
L. RufNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WINWYO
Scoring
81.5 #40Points per game76.2 #137
1.13 #79Points per possession1.13 #92
72.0 #35Pace (possessions)67.6 #252
Shooting
49.7 #250Effective FG%51.8 #154
33.2 #2173-point %33.0 #234
44.1 #883-point attempt rate43.0 #116
44.0 #10Free throw rate35.5 #166
Possessions
14.7 #52Turnover rate16.3 #155
34.1 #63Offensive rebound rate34.0 #66
13.6 #177Assists per game14.1 #141
Defense
77.7 #261Points allowed72.9 #131
1.08 #154Points allowed per possession1.08 #169
51.5 #182Opponent effective FG%52.0 #211
32.9 #113Opponent 3-point %32.8 #108
16.6 #174Turnovers forced16.8 #164
72.3 #55Defensive rebound rate72.0 #66
6.6 #161Steals per game6.6 #169
2.7 #281Blocks per game2.4 #318
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Winthrop

20-11 in 2025-26 overall · 15-4 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs High Point76–91
  • Wvs Presbyterian73–71
  • Wvs Charleston So86–81
  • Wvs Presbyterian74–70
  • L@ Charleston So84–86

A week or more of rest.

Wyoming

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Wichita St70–74
  • Lvs UNLV70–73
  • W@ San José St88–78
  • Wvs Nevada83–73
  • Wvs Air Force66–62

A week or more of rest.