1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. LBSU @ CSUF
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Long Beach State Beach at Cal State Fullerton Titans

Titan Gym · at Fullerton · Conference game
#297LBSULong Beach St
@
#312CSUFFullerton
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LBSUThis seasonCSUF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CSUF 78–74 · win probability CSUF 62%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CSUF has more of the edges

LBSU 1, CSUF 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CSUFBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LBSU 30.7, CSUF 37.8. Allowed: LBSU 42.3, CSUF 35.3
CSUFBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LBSU 18.0%, CSUF 15.3%. Forced: LBSU 17.5%, CSUF 19.4%
LBSUSmall
LBSU offense vs CSUF defense
Offense 285th of 366 against a defense 344th, on the model’s ratings
CSUFSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LBSU 8%, CSUF 39%. Transfers in: LBSU 5, CSUF 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
CSUFSmall
Three-pointers
LBSU hits 32.7% and allows 34.4%; CSUF hits 34.2% and allows 34.0%. Threes are 34.8% and 43.1% of their shots
CSUFSmall
Home court
CSUF at home. This season: CSUF 0-0 at home, LBSU 0-0 away
Even
CSUF offense vs LBSU defense
Offense 272nd of 366 against a defense 300th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LBSU 26.2%, CSUF 24.6%. Defensive: LBSU 72.2%, CSUF 71.7%
Context
Tempo
About 74 possessions: LBSU plays 71.7 a game (46th fastest), CSUF 75.5 (3rd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
LBSU has played the 152nd-hardest schedule, CSUF the 164th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: LBSU 50.6 and allows 53.7; CSUF 51.4 and allows 54.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CSUF -3.5—
Total—152.4—
Projected score—LBSU 74.4 · CSUF 78

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCSUF -2.0—
1H total71.2—
1H projected scoreLBSU 34.6 · CSUF 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Long Beach St has the better starters

Position by position: Long Beach St 2, Fullerton 0, even 3
Long Beach StBetterFullerton
G J. Payne TR6.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 40
Even
G C. Williams9.4 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.1 ast Score 39
G Y. Sissoko TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast Score 32
LBSUSmall
G B. Nunn5 pts · 2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
G C. Jones3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. White2.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
F G. Brcic TR4.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 39
No call
G T. Jenkins TR0 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
C N. Amenhauser TR5.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 57
LBSUBig
F K. De Luna4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 7
Long Beach StBetterFullerton
LBSU offense285th of 366 · -8.8
LBSUSmall
CSUF defense344th of 366 · -9.2
LBSU defense300th of 366 · -7.7
Even
CSUF offense272nd of 366 · -8.3
Backcourt-2.0 · 3 players
LBSUBig
Backcourt-6.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
LBSUSmall
Frontcourt-2.1 · 1 player
Bench-1.9 · 2 players
CSUFSmall
Bench-0.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestLBSU betterCSUF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Long Beach St
Guards
J. Payne22 min · TRY. Sissoko11 min · TRC. Jones10 minJ. TenganNewJ. GrayNewM. AdamsNew
Forwards
G. Brcic17 min · TRK. Smith8 min · TRJ. Chaikovsky6 minB. WrightNewH. LauNewM. VanlaninghamNew
Centers
N. Amenhauser12 min · TR
Fullerton
Guards
C. Williams27 minB. Nunn19 minD. White13 minT. Jenkins3 min · TRM. Quinlan2 minD. McConnellNew
Forwards
K. De Luna18 minR. ReynoldsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LBSUCSUF
Scoring
73.2 #219Points per game80.3 #60
1.02 #303Points per possession1.07 #208
71.7 #46Pace (possessions)75.5 #3
Shooting
50.6 #207Effective FG%51.4 #180
32.7 #2453-point %34.2 #162
34.8 #2803-point attempt rate43.1 #108
30.7 #287Free throw rate37.8 #107
Possessions
18.0 #271Turnover rate15.3 #82
26.2 #315Offensive rebound rate24.6 #345
12.3 #264Assists per game15.0 #85
Defense
79.0 #297Points allowed82.2 #342
1.10 #220Points allowed per possession1.08 #181
53.7 #290Opponent effective FG%54.3 #307
34.4 #212Opponent 3-point %34.0 #185
17.5 #119Turnovers forced19.4 #34
72.2 #60Defensive rebound rate71.7 #80
6.5 #173Steals per game7.9 #45
2.9 #250Blocks per game2.8 #258
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Long Beach St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ Hawai'i84–75
  • Lvs UC Davis70–76
  • W@ Bakersfield88–87
  • L@ Cal Poly92–102
  • Lvs CSU Northridge76–78

A week or more of rest.

Fullerton

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hawai'i63–78
  • Wvs UC Davis82–70
  • W@ CSU Northridge90–77
  • Wvs UC San Diego75–71
  • Lvs Hawai'i85–87

A week or more of rest.