1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. PRST @ UCR
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Portland State Vikings at UC Riverside Highlanders

SRC Arena · at UC Riverside
#274PRSTPortland St
@
#281UCRUC Riverside
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRSTThis seasonUCR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UCR 74–72 · win probability UCR 55%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRST has more of the edges

PRST 4, UCR 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
PRST has played the 322nd-hardest schedule, UCR the 182nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
PRSTBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRST 16.9%, UCR 19.0%. Forced: PRST 18.0%, UCR 15.5%
PRSTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRST 50.5 and allows 48.8; UCR 48.9 and allows 52.7
PRSTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRST 30.0%, UCR 27.8%. Defensive: PRST 73.6%, UCR 70.0%
PRSTSmall
Three-pointers
PRST hits 32.6% and allows 32.3%; UCR hits 31.6% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 34.4% and 38.3% of their shots
UCRSmall
Home court
UCR at home. This season: UCR 0-0 at home, PRST 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: PRST plays 69.6 a game (140th fastest), UCR 71.0 (74th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRST 6%, UCR 21%. Transfers in: PRST 4, UCR 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
UCR offense vs PRST defense
Offense 265th of 366 against a defense 244th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRST 37.1, UCR 35.0. Allowed: PRST 42.8, UCR 40.9
Even
PRST offense vs UCR defense
Offense 284th of 366 against a defense 296th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UCR -1.5—
Total—146.3—
Projected score—PRST 72.4 · UCR 73.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUCR -0.7—
1H total68.4—
1H projected scorePRST 33.8 · UCR 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Portland St has the better starters

Position by position: Portland St 1, UC Riverside 0, even 4
Portland StBetterUC Riverside
G E. Skytt TR3.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
Even
G D. Perteete6.2 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.4 ast Score 31
G K. Johnson TR1.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 39
Even
G J. Evans TR5.8 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 25
G C. Ness0.6 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Waller4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 37
F B. Barron0.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Malcolm TR5.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 87
C K. Ibekwe TR3.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
PRSTSmall
F D. Washington TR2.7 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 0
Portland StBetterUC Riverside
PRST offense284th of 366 · -8.8
Even
UCR defense296th of 366 · -7.4
PRST defense244th of 366 · -6.4
Even
UCR offense265th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-2.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
PRSTSmall
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
Even
Bench+0.3 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestPRST betterUCR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Portland St
Guards
E. Skytt12 min · TRK. Johnson10 min · TRC. Ness4 minN. PollardNewT. FrankNewD. JohnsonNew
Forwards
B. Barron4 minC. Chukwu3 minL. Kearney3 min · TRJ. RandolphNewA. PusateriNewF. CoratoNew
Centers
K. Ibekwe9 min · TR
UC Riverside
Guards
D. Perteete28 minJ. Evans15 min · TRB. Waller14 minD. Malcolm14 min · TRT. Duckett7 min · TRE. ReaganNew
Forwards
D. Washington11 min · TRT. Parrish-TillmanNewA. McKinneyNewJ. MajokNew
Centers
A. Oyeadier2 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRSTUCR
Scoring
73.9 #199Points per game71.6 #258
1.06 #220Points per possession1.01 #317
69.6 #140Pace (possessions)71.0 #74
Shooting
50.5 #211Effective FG%48.9 #291
32.6 #2503-point %31.6 #301
34.4 #2873-point attempt rate38.3 #203
37.1 #126Free throw rate35.0 #177
Possessions
16.9 #200Turnover rate19.0 #321
30.0 #199Offensive rebound rate27.8 #275
13.4 #186Assists per game12.3 #262
Defense
71.2 #80Points allowed79.1 #303
1.02 #45Points allowed per possession1.11 #256
48.8 #56Opponent effective FG%52.7 #252
32.3 #77Opponent 3-point %33.5 #159
18.0 #94Turnovers forced15.5 #250
73.6 #23Defensive rebound rate70.0 #159
7.2 #104Steals per game5.1 #325
3.8 #108Blocks per game4.1 #67
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Portland St

17-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana72–75
  • Wvs Idaho St85–78
  • Wvs Weber St84–60
  • L@ Montana68–74
  • L@ Montana St69–84

A week or more of rest.

UC Riverside

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-15 in conference · Big West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Hawai'i74–93
  • Wvs CSU Northridge95–84
  • L@ Santa Barbara59–70
  • Lvs UC Davis73–78
  • Wvs Bakersfield93–65

A week or more of rest.