Bryant Bulldogs at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 13, 6:00 PM ETJersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Bryant and Rutgers
BRY	This season	RUTG
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RUTG 86–61 · win probability RUTG 99%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 147.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

BRY 0, RUTG 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

RUTGBig

BRY offense vs RUTG defense

Offense 306th of 366 against a defense 65th, on the model’s ratings

RUTGBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BRY 20.2%, RUTG 14.9%. Forced: BRY 14.6%, RUTG 17.1%

Context

Schedule so far

BRY has played the 261st-hardest schedule, RUTG the 50th. A record against a soft schedule means less

RUTGBig

RUTG offense vs BRY defense

Offense 58th of 366 against a defense 254th, on the model’s ratings

RUTGBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: BRY 29.4, RUTG 36.3. Allowed: BRY 33.5, RUTG 31.7

RUTGSmall

Three-pointers

BRY hits 30.0% and allows 36.3%; RUTG hits 32.4% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 47.9% and 34.2% of their shots

RUTGSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BRY 29%, RUTG 58%. Transfers in: BRY 3, RUTG 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

RUTGSmall

Home court

RUTG at home. This season: RUTG 0-0 at home, BRY 0-0 away

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: BRY plays 65.2 a game (338th fastest), RUTG 67.5 (254th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BRY 27.7%, RUTG 29.7%. Defensive: BRY 69.0%, RUTG 67.2%

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: BRY 46.9 and allows 52.7; RUTG 47.2 and allows 53.0

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	RUTG -25.7	—
Total	—	147.1	—
Projected score	—	BRY 60.7 · RUTG 86.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RUTG -15.2	—
1H total	68.8	—
1H projected score	BRY 26.8 · RUTG 42	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BRY LLWLL	11-18	38%	5-13	—
RUTG WWWLL	17-17	50%	8-9	—

Venue/role: BRY away; RUTG home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BRY OUUOO	13-16	45%	7-22
RUTG OUOUU	19-15	56%	14-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BRY	3-7 30%	3-7 30%	7-3 70%
RUTG	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Bryant

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	@ MASS	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ MRST	L74–82LO
Nov 29	vs IONA	L63–69WU

Rutgers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	vs HOU	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs SHU	W88–50WU
Dec 1	@ IU	L59–82LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BRY 0–1 RUTGRUTG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BRY 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 12, 2023-24	BRY 57 @ RUTG 66	RUTG -15.5	BRY W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Bryant

29 games played

Straight up

7-22

24% wins

Against the spread

11-18

38% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-16

45% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2224%

L L W L L L L W L L L L W L L W L L L W L W L L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

11-1838%

L L W L W W W W L W L L W L L W L L L W L W L L L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-1645%

U U O U U U U O O U O U U U U O O U U O U O O O O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SIE	L 66-82	+13.5	L −2.5	148.5	U 148
Nov 7	@GT	L 45-74	+15.5	L −13.5	138.5	U 119
Nov 12	vsDART	W 82-75	-1.5	W +5.5	151.5	O 157
Nov 16	@VAL	L 50-68	+6.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 118
Nov 19	@VT	L 61-78	+24.5	W +7.5	151.5	U 139
Nov 23	@CONN	L 49-72	+36.5	W +13.5	147.5	U 121
Nov 29	@HARV	L 53-56	+7.5	W +4.5	137.5	U 109
Dec 2	vsSTO	W 77-65	-6.5	W +5.5	134.5	O 142
Dec 5	@BRWN	L 56-75	+6.5	L −12.5	130.5	O 131
Dec 10	@IONA	L 63-69	+8.5	W +2.5	146.5	U 132
Dec 13	vsMRST	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	131.5	O 156
Dec 22	@HPU	L 47-93	+19.5	L −26.5	153.5	U 140
Jan 3	@ME	W 56-51	-1.5	W +3.5	125.5	U 107
Jan 8	vsUML	L 63-77	-2.5	L −16.5	143.5	U 140
Jan 10	@UALB	L 46-71	+3.5	L −21.5	136.5	U 117
Jan 15	vsUMBC	W 79-74	+1.5	W +6.5	135.5	O 153
Jan 19	@NJIT	L 55-79	+1.5	L −22.5	132.5	O 134
Jan 24	vsUVM	L 52-62	+8.5	L −1.5	133.5	U 114
Jan 29	@BING	L 60-63	-2.5	L −5.5	130.5	U 123
Jan 31	vsUNH	W 92-84	-1.5	W +6.5	131.5	O 176
Feb 5	vsUALB	L 63-65	-1.5	L −3.5	133.5	U 128
Feb 7	vsME	W 73-67	-2.5	W +3.5	128.5	O 140
Feb 12	@UML	L 69-88	+4.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 157
Feb 14	@UVM	L 63-90	+13.5	L −13.5	133.5	O 153
Feb 19	vsBING	L 67-79	-4.5	L −16.5	134.5	O 146
Feb 26	@UMBC	L 58-70	+11.5	L −0.5	138.5	U 128
Feb 28	vsNJIT	W 69-52	+1.5	W +18.5	138.5	U 121
Mar 3	@UNH	L 83-88	+2.5	L −2.5	135.5	O 171
Mar 7	@UVM	L 57-77	+11.5	L −8.5	130.5	O 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 66-82

−2.5

L 45-74

−13.5

DART

W 82-75

+5.5

VAL

L 50-68

−11.5

L 61-78

+7.5

CONN

L 49-72

+13.5

HARV

L 53-56

+4.5

STO

W 77-65

+5.5

BRWN

L 56-75

−12.5

IONA

L 63-69

+2.5

MRST

L 74-82

−6.5

HPU

L 47-93

−26.5

W 56-51

+3.5

UML

L 63-77

−16.5

UALB

L 46-71

−21.5

UMBC

W 79-74

+6.5

NJIT

L 55-79

−22.5

UVM

L 52-62

−1.5

BING

L 60-63

−5.5

UNH

W 92-84

+6.5

UALB

L 63-65

−3.5

W 73-67

+3.5

UML

L 69-88

−14.5

UVM

L 63-90

−13.5

BING

L 67-79

−16.5

UMBC

L 58-70

−0.5

NJIT

W 69-52

+18.5

UNH

L 83-88

−2.5

UVM

L 57-77

−8.5

covered 11didn’t cover 18avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 66-82

−0.5

L 45-74

−19.5

DART

W 82-75

+5.5

VAL

L 50-68

−25.5

L 61-78

−12.5

CONN

L 49-72

−26.5

HARV

L 53-56

−28.5

STO

W 77-65

+7.5

BRWN

L 56-75

+0.5

IONA

L 63-69

−14.5

MRST

L 74-82

+24.5

HPU

L 47-93

−13.5

W 56-51

−18.5

UML

L 63-77

−3.5

UALB

L 46-71

−19.5

UMBC

W 79-74

+17.5

NJIT

L 55-79

+1.5

UVM

L 52-62

−19.5

BING

L 60-63

−7.5

UNH

W 92-84

+44.5

UALB

L 63-65

−5.5

W 73-67

+11.5

UML

L 69-88

+15.5

UVM

L 63-90

+19.5

BING

L 67-79

+11.5

UMBC

L 58-70

−10.5

NJIT

W 69-52

−17.5

UNH

L 83-88

+35.5

UVM

L 57-77

+3.5

over 13under 16avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rutgers

34 games played

Straight up

14-20

41% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-15

56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-2041%

W W W W L L L W L L L W W L W L W L L L L L L L W W L L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

17-1750%

W L L L L L W W L L L L L W W L W W W L W W L W W W L L W W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1556%

U O O O U O U U U O O U U O O U O O U U O O O O U O O O U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsRID	W 81-53	-18.5	W +9.5	139.5	U 134
Nov 10	vsME	W 72-60	-18.5	L −6.5	130.5	O 132
Nov 14	vsLEH	W 84-72	-18.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsAMER	W 80-71	-16.5	L −7.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 21	vsCCSU	L 54-67	-15.5	L −28.5	137.5	U 121
Nov 24	vsTENN	L 60-85	+14.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 145
Nov 25	vsND	L 63-68	+6.5	W +1.5	140.5	U 131
Nov 27	vsUNLV	W 80-65	+4.5	W +19.5	153.5	U 145
Dec 2	vsPUR	L 65-81	+13.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 146
Dec 6	@MICH	L 60-101	+25.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 161
Dec 13	@HALL	L 59-81	+13.5	L −8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 20	vsPENN	W 70-69	-11.5	L −10.5	150.5	U 139
Dec 29	vsDSU	W 65-50	-20.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 115
Jan 2	vsOSU	L 73-80	+9.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Jan 5	vsORE	W 88-85	+4.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 173
Jan 8	@ILL	L 55-81	+22.5	L −3.5	149.5	U 136
Jan 11	vsNU	W 77-75	+4.5	W +6.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 17	@WIS	L 87-96	+15.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 183
Jan 20	@IOWA	L 62-68	+17.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 130
Jan 23	vsIU	L 59-82	+7.5	L −15.5	147.5	U 141
Jan 27	vsMSU	L 79-88	+14.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 167
Jan 31	@USC	L 75-78	+11.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 3	@UCLA	L 66-98	+13.5	L −18.5	142.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsNEB	L 68-80	+12.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 148
Feb 15	vsMD	W 68-57	-2.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 125
Feb 18	@PSU	W 85-72	+4.5	W +17.5	148.5	O 157
Feb 21	@MINN	L 61-80	+8.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 141
Feb 24	vsWASH	L 72-79	+4.5	L −2.5	139.5	O 151
Mar 1	@MD	W 69-65	+4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 134
Mar 5	@MSU	L 87-91	+20.5	W +16.5	141.5	O 178
Mar 8	vsPSU	W 74-62	-4.5	W +7.5	149.5	U 136
Mar 11	vsMINN	W 72-67	+6.5	W +11.5	135.5	O 139
Mar 12	vsUCLA	L 59-72	+10.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 131
Apr 2	vsCREI	L 69-82	+4.5	L −8.5	151.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RID

W 81-53

+9.5

W 72-60

−6.5

LEH

W 84-72

−6.5

AMER

W 80-71

−7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−28.5

TENN

L 60-85

−10.5

L 63-68

+1.5

UNLV

W 80-65

+19.5

PUR

L 65-81

−2.5

MICH

L 60-101

−15.5

HALL

L 59-81

−8.5

PENN

W 70-69

−10.5

DSU

W 65-50

−5.5

OSU

L 73-80

+2.5

ORE

W 88-85

+7.5

ILL

L 55-81

−3.5

W 77-75

+6.5

WIS

L 87-96

+6.5

IOWA

L 62-68

+11.5

L 59-82

−15.5

MSU

L 79-88

+5.5

USC

L 75-78

+8.5

UCLA

L 66-98

−18.5

NEB

L 68-80

+0.5

W 68-57

+8.5

PSU

W 85-72

+17.5

MINN

L 61-80

−10.5

WASH

L 72-79

−2.5

W 69-65

+8.5

MSU

L 87-91

+16.5

PSU

W 74-62

+7.5

MINN

W 72-67

+11.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−2.5

CREI

L 69-82

−8.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RID

W 81-53

−5.5

W 72-60

+1.5

LEH

W 84-72

+19.5

AMER

W 80-71

+7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−16.5

TENN

L 60-85

+3.5

L 63-68

−9.5

UNLV

W 80-65

−8.5

PUR

L 65-81

−0.5

MICH

L 60-101

+7.5

HALL

L 59-81

+3.5

PENN

W 70-69

−11.5

DSU

W 65-50

−20.5

OSU

L 73-80

+1.5

ORE

W 88-85

+33.5

ILL

L 55-81

−13.5

W 77-75

+7.5

WIS

L 87-96

+33.5

IOWA

L 62-68

−10.5

L 59-82

−6.5

MSU

L 79-88

+28.5

USC

L 75-78

+6.5

UCLA

L 66-98

+21.5

NEB

L 68-80

+2.5

W 68-57

−19.5

PSU

W 85-72

+8.5

MINN

L 61-80

+4.5

WASH

L 72-79

+11.5

W 69-65

−9.5

MSU

L 87-91

+36.5

PSU

W 74-62

−13.5

MINN

W 72-67

+3.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−10.5

CREI

L 69-82

−0.5

over 19under 15avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rutgers has the better starters

Position by position: Bryant 0, Rutgers 2, even 3

BryantBetterRutgers

G T. Tabales9 pts · 2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 20

RUTGBig

G R. Jones TR15 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 69

G F. Vassalluzzo0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

No call

G D. Smith TR20.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 88

F A. Pasha TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 39

RUTGBig

G T. Francis17 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 99

F K. Harvey10.9 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 64

Even

G J. Davis7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 72

F E. Chatfield TR2.6 pts · 1 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked

No call

G D. Buchanan8.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 68

BryantBetterRutgers

BRY offense306th of 366 · -9.5

RUTGBig

RUTG defense65th of 366 · +1.0

BRY defense254th of 366 · -6.6

RUTGBig

RUTG offense58th of 366 · +2.7

Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players

RUTGBig

Backcourt+9.4 · 5 players

Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-0.0 · 3 players

Even

Bench+0.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestBRY betterRUTG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Bryant

Guards

T. Tabales28 minF. Vassalluzzo1 minJ. Sepe1 minM. DeOrsey1 minR. WoernerNew

Forwards

A. Pasha33 min · TRK. Harvey27 minE. Chatfield13 min · TRO. Nnani1 min · TRD. ThompsonNewC. LyonsNew

Rutgers

Guards

R. Jones37 min · TRD. Smith34 min · TRT. Francis28 minJ. Davis26 minD. Buchanan24 minL. Mark16 min

Forwards

W. SydnorNewM. MiteoNewM. TonejcNew

Centers

C. Gurdak17 min · TRD. Buca13 min · TRG. Ware6 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BRY63.0 #358

RUTG70.5 #273

Points per possession

BRY0.96 #351

RUTG1.04 #261

Pace (possessions)

BRY65.2 #338

RUTG67.5 #254

Shooting

Effective FG%

BRY46.9 #340

RUTG47.2 #331

3-point %

BRY30.0 #343

RUTG32.4 #261

3-point attempt rate

BRY47.9 #25

RUTG34.2 #291

Free throw rate

BRY29.4 #322

RUTG36.3 #143

Possessions

Turnover rate

BRY20.2 #351

RUTG14.9 #61

Offensive rebound rate

BRY27.7 #276

RUTG29.7 #217

Assists per game

BRY11.4 #314

RUTG12.2 #274

Defense

Points allowed

BRY73.3 #138

RUTG75.3 #199

Points allowed per possession

BRY1.13 #283

RUTG1.12 #267

Opponent effective FG%

BRY52.7 #257

RUTG53.0 #268

Opponent 3-point %

BRY36.3 #320

RUTG35.6 #287

Turnovers forced

BRY14.6 #313

RUTG17.1 #141

Defensive rebound rate

BRY69.0 #203

RUTG67.2 #292

Steals per game

BRY5.9 #250

RUTG6.1 #226

Blocks per game

BRY3.9 #88

RUTG3.4 #166

BRY		RUTG
Scoring
63.0 #358	Points per game	70.5 #273
0.96 #351	Points per possession	1.04 #261
65.2 #338	Pace (possessions)	67.5 #254
Shooting
46.9 #340	Effective FG%	47.2 #331
30.0 #343	3-point %	32.4 #261
47.9 #25	3-point attempt rate	34.2 #291
29.4 #322	Free throw rate	36.3 #143
Possessions
20.2 #351	Turnover rate	14.9 #61
27.7 #276	Offensive rebound rate	29.7 #217
11.4 #314	Assists per game	12.2 #274
Defense
73.3 #138	Points allowed	75.3 #199
1.13 #283	Points allowed per possession	1.12 #267
52.7 #257	Opponent effective FG%	53.0 #268
36.3 #320	Opponent 3-point %	35.6 #287
14.6 #313	Turnovers forced	17.1 #141
69.0 #203	Defensive rebound rate	67.2 #292
5.9 #250	Steals per game	6.1 #226
3.9 #88	Blocks per game	3.4 #166

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bryant

7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Vermont57–77
L@ New Hampshire83–88
Wvs NJIT69–52
L@ UMBC58–70
Lvs Binghamton67–79

A week or more of rest.

Rutgers

14-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Creighton69–82
Lvs UCLA59–72
Wvs Minnesota72–67
Wvs Penn State74–62
L@ Michigan St87–91

A week or more of rest.

Bryant Bulldogs at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Bryant

Rutgers

Rutgers has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Bryant

Rutgers