Sacred Heart Pioneers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 24, 6:00 PM ETJersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Sacred Heart and Rutgers
SHU	This season	RUTG
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RUTG 89–64 · win probability RUTG 99%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 152.7

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

SHU 2, RUTG 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Schedule so far

SHU has played the 340th-hardest schedule, RUTG the 50th. A record against a soft schedule means less

RUTGBig

RUTG offense vs SHU defense

Offense 58th of 366 against a defense 334th, on the model’s ratings

RUTGBig

SHU offense vs RUTG defense

Offense 281st of 366 against a defense 65th, on the model’s ratings

RUTGBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: SHU 17.6%, RUTG 14.9%. Forced: SHU 14.6%, RUTG 17.1%

SHUBig

Three-pointers

SHU hits 35.7% and allows 34.9%; RUTG hits 32.4% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 50.7% and 34.2% of their shots

SHUSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: SHU 52.0 and allows 53.5; RUTG 47.2 and allows 53.0

RUTGSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: SHU 18%, RUTG 58%. Transfers in: SHU 3, RUTG 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

RUTGSmall

Home court

RUTG at home. This season: RUTG 0-0 at home, SHU 0-0 away

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: SHU 28.6%, RUTG 29.7%. Defensive: SHU 69.1%, RUTG 67.2%

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: SHU 31.0, RUTG 36.3. Allowed: SHU 27.0, RUTG 31.7

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: SHU plays 68.6 a game (201st fastest), RUTG 67.5 (254th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	RUTG -25.2	—
Total	—	152.7	—
Projected score	—	SHU 63.8 · RUTG 88.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RUTG -14.8	—
1H total	71.4	—
1H projected score	SHU 28.3 · RUTG 43.1	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SHU LWWWL	15-17	47%	8-10	—
RUTG WWWLL	17-17	50%	8-9	—

Venue/role: SHU away; RUTG home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
SHU UUUOU	15-17	47%	13-19
RUTG OUOUU	19-15	56%	14-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SHU	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
RUTG	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Sacred Heart

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 29	vs NJIT	W65–49WU
Dec 4	@ MRST	L63–65WU
Dec 6	@ SPU	W78–71WO

Rutgers

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 1	@ IU	L59–82LU
Dec 9	vs MICH	L60–101LO
Dec 12	vs HALL	L59–81LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

SHU 0–1 RUTGRUTG leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SHU 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 10, 2022-23	SHU 50 @ RUTG 88	RUTG -21.5	RUTG W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Sacred Heart

32 games played

Straight up

13-19

41% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-17

47% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1941%

L L L W L L W L W L W L L L L L L W W W W W L L L W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1747%

W L L W W L W L W L W L L L L W L W W L L W L L L W W L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1747%

O U U U O U O U U O U U O U O O U O O U O O U O U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@DUQ	L 80-92	+12.5	W +0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	@VILL	L 60-94	+19.5	L −14.5	160.5	U 154
Nov 15	@QUC	L 64-81	+5.5	L −11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 21	vsHC	W 79-66	-7.5	W +5.5	152.5	U 145
Nov 24	@CCSU	L 106-108	+3.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 214
Nov 29	@PSU	L 59-90	+14.5	L −16.5	160.5	U 149
Dec 3	@MSM	W 87-80	-1.5	W +5.5	152.5	O 167
Dec 7	vsIONA	L 69-81	-1.5	L −13.5	163.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NJIT	W 65-49	-6.5	W +9.5	151.5	U 114
Dec 16	@UML	L 82-87	-2.5	L −7.5	151.5	O 169
Dec 19	vsDART	W 85-63	+1.5	W +23.5	155.5	U 148
Dec 22	@TOW	L 47-72	+13.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 119
Dec 29	vsMRMK	L 72-80	-1.5	L −9.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 2	@NIA	L 61-64	-1.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 125
Jan 4	@CAN	L 78-82	-5.5	L −9.5	141.5	O 160
Jan 9	vsMRST	L 72-76	+5.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 148
Jan 11	vsQUIN	L 60-70	+5.5	L −4.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 14	@SIE	W 86-80	+8.5	W +14.5	139.5	O 166
Jan 19	@RID	W 105-85	-4.5	W +15.5	144.5	O 190
Jan 22	vsCAN	W 69-66	-10.5	L −7.5	145.5	U 135
Jan 24	vsNIA	W 71-70	-9.5	L −8.5	139.5	O 141
Jan 30	@QUIN	W 98-91	+8.5	W +15.5	156.5	O 189
Feb 1	@MRMK	L 58-75	+5.5	L −11.5	147.5	U 133
Feb 5	vsFAIR	L 87-92	-1.5	L −6.5	155.5	O 179
Feb 7	@MAN	L 68-80	-1.5	L −13.5	161.5	U 148
Feb 13	vsSPU	W 78-71	+1.5	W +8.5	147.5	O 149
Feb 15	vsRID	W 86-75	-9.5	W +1.5	146.5	O 161
Feb 20	@FAIR	L 68-78	+4.5	L −5.5	158.5	U 146
Feb 22	@MRST	L 63-65	+7.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 128
Feb 27	vsMSM	W 77-69	-2.5	W +5.5	150.5	U 146
Mar 5	vsIONA	W 91-80	+3.5	W +14.5	149.5	O 171
Mar 6	vsMRMK	L 48-70	+6.5	L −15.5	143.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+0.5

VILL

L 60-94

−14.5

QUC

L 64-81

−11.5

W 79-66

+5.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+1.5

PSU

L 59-90

−16.5

MSM

W 87-80

+5.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

+9.5

UML

L 82-87

−7.5

DART

W 85-63

+23.5

TOW

L 47-72

−11.5

MRMK

L 72-80

−9.5

NIA

L 61-64

−4.5

CAN

L 78-82

−9.5

MRST

L 72-76

+1.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−4.5

SIE

W 86-80

+14.5

RID

W 105-85

+15.5

CAN

W 69-66

−7.5

NIA

W 71-70

−8.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+15.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−11.5

FAIR

L 87-92

−6.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+8.5

RID

W 86-75

+1.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−5.5

MRST

L 63-65

+5.5

MSM

W 77-69

+5.5

IONA

W 91-80

+14.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−15.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DUQ

L 80-92

+14.5

VILL

L 60-94

−6.5

QUC

L 64-81

−20.5

W 79-66

−7.5

CCSU

L 106-108

+70.5

PSU

L 59-90

−11.5

MSM

W 87-80

+14.5

IONA

L 69-81

−13.5

NJIT

W 65-49

−37.5

UML

L 82-87

+17.5

DART

W 85-63

−7.5

TOW

L 47-72

−26.5

MRMK

L 72-80

+7.5

NIA

L 61-64

−14.5

CAN

L 78-82

+18.5

MRST

L 72-76

+4.5

QUIN

L 60-70

−22.5

SIE

W 86-80

+26.5

RID

W 105-85

+45.5

CAN

W 69-66

−10.5

NIA

W 71-70

+1.5

QUIN

W 98-91

+32.5

MRMK

L 58-75

−14.5

FAIR

L 87-92

+23.5

MAN

L 68-80

−13.5

SPU

W 78-71

+1.5

RID

W 86-75

+14.5

FAIR

L 68-78

−12.5

MRST

L 63-65

−18.5

MSM

W 77-69

−4.5

IONA

W 91-80

+21.5

MRMK

L 48-70

−25.5

over 15under 17avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rutgers

34 games played

Straight up

14-20

41% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-15

56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-2041%

W W W W L L L W L L L W W L W L W L L L L L L L W W L L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

17-1750%

W L L L L L W W L L L L L W W L W W W L W W L W W W L L W W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1556%

U O O O U O U U U O O U U O O U O O U U O O O O U O O O U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsRID	W 81-53	-18.5	W +9.5	139.5	U 134
Nov 10	vsME	W 72-60	-18.5	L −6.5	130.5	O 132
Nov 14	vsLEH	W 84-72	-18.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsAMER	W 80-71	-16.5	L −7.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 21	vsCCSU	L 54-67	-15.5	L −28.5	137.5	U 121
Nov 24	vsTENN	L 60-85	+14.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 145
Nov 25	vsND	L 63-68	+6.5	W +1.5	140.5	U 131
Nov 27	vsUNLV	W 80-65	+4.5	W +19.5	153.5	U 145
Dec 2	vsPUR	L 65-81	+13.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 146
Dec 6	@MICH	L 60-101	+25.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 161
Dec 13	@HALL	L 59-81	+13.5	L −8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 20	vsPENN	W 70-69	-11.5	L −10.5	150.5	U 139
Dec 29	vsDSU	W 65-50	-20.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 115
Jan 2	vsOSU	L 73-80	+9.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Jan 5	vsORE	W 88-85	+4.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 173
Jan 8	@ILL	L 55-81	+22.5	L −3.5	149.5	U 136
Jan 11	vsNU	W 77-75	+4.5	W +6.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 17	@WIS	L 87-96	+15.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 183
Jan 20	@IOWA	L 62-68	+17.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 130
Jan 23	vsIU	L 59-82	+7.5	L −15.5	147.5	U 141
Jan 27	vsMSU	L 79-88	+14.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 167
Jan 31	@USC	L 75-78	+11.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 3	@UCLA	L 66-98	+13.5	L −18.5	142.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsNEB	L 68-80	+12.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 148
Feb 15	vsMD	W 68-57	-2.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 125
Feb 18	@PSU	W 85-72	+4.5	W +17.5	148.5	O 157
Feb 21	@MINN	L 61-80	+8.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 141
Feb 24	vsWASH	L 72-79	+4.5	L −2.5	139.5	O 151
Mar 1	@MD	W 69-65	+4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 134
Mar 5	@MSU	L 87-91	+20.5	W +16.5	141.5	O 178
Mar 8	vsPSU	W 74-62	-4.5	W +7.5	149.5	U 136
Mar 11	vsMINN	W 72-67	+6.5	W +11.5	135.5	O 139
Mar 12	vsUCLA	L 59-72	+10.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 131
Apr 2	vsCREI	L 69-82	+4.5	L −8.5	151.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RID

W 81-53

+9.5

W 72-60

−6.5

LEH

W 84-72

−6.5

AMER

W 80-71

−7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−28.5

TENN

L 60-85

−10.5

L 63-68

+1.5

UNLV

W 80-65

+19.5

PUR

L 65-81

−2.5

MICH

L 60-101

−15.5

HALL

L 59-81

−8.5

PENN

W 70-69

−10.5

DSU

W 65-50

−5.5

OSU

L 73-80

+2.5

ORE

W 88-85

+7.5

ILL

L 55-81

−3.5

W 77-75

+6.5

WIS

L 87-96

+6.5

IOWA

L 62-68

+11.5

L 59-82

−15.5

MSU

L 79-88

+5.5

USC

L 75-78

+8.5

UCLA

L 66-98

−18.5

NEB

L 68-80

+0.5

W 68-57

+8.5

PSU

W 85-72

+17.5

MINN

L 61-80

−10.5

WASH

L 72-79

−2.5

W 69-65

+8.5

MSU

L 87-91

+16.5

PSU

W 74-62

+7.5

MINN

W 72-67

+11.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−2.5

CREI

L 69-82

−8.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RID

W 81-53

−5.5

W 72-60

+1.5

LEH

W 84-72

+19.5

AMER

W 80-71

+7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−16.5

TENN

L 60-85

+3.5

L 63-68

−9.5

UNLV

W 80-65

−8.5

PUR

L 65-81

−0.5

MICH

L 60-101

+7.5

HALL

L 59-81

+3.5

PENN

W 70-69

−11.5

DSU

W 65-50

−20.5

OSU

L 73-80

+1.5

ORE

W 88-85

+33.5

ILL

L 55-81

−13.5

W 77-75

+7.5

WIS

L 87-96

+33.5

IOWA

L 62-68

−10.5

L 59-82

−6.5

MSU

L 79-88

+28.5

USC

L 75-78

+6.5

UCLA

L 66-98

+21.5

NEB

L 68-80

+2.5

W 68-57

−19.5

PSU

W 85-72

+8.5

MINN

L 61-80

+4.5

WASH

L 72-79

+11.5

W 69-65

−9.5

MSU

L 87-91

+36.5

PSU

W 74-62

−13.5

MINN

W 72-67

+3.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−10.5

CREI

L 69-82

−0.5

over 19under 15avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rutgers has the better starters

Position by position: Sacred Heart 0, Rutgers 5, even 0

Sacred HeartBetterRutgers

G J. Van Buggenhout TR6.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 3.1 ast Score 42

RUTGSmall

G R. Jones TR15 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 69

G J. Slaughter5.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Score 20

RUTGBig

G D. Smith TR20.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 88

G S. Reilly TR3.6 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 47

RUTGBig

G T. Francis17 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 99

F A. Yadd6 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

RUTGBig

G J. Davis7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 72

F J. Robinson TR2.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 26

RUTGBig

G D. Buchanan8.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 68

Sacred HeartBetterRutgers

SHU offense281st of 366 · -8.7

RUTGBig

RUTG defense65th of 366 · +1.0

SHU defense334th of 366 · -8.8

RUTGBig

RUTG offense58th of 366 · +2.7

Backcourt-3.0 · 3 players

RUTGBig

Backcourt+9.4 · 5 players

Frontcourt-2.6 · 2 players

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-0.0 · 1 player

Even

Bench+0.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestSHU betterRUTG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Sacred Heart

Guards

J. Van Buggenhout21 min · TRJ. Slaughter21 minS. Reilly9 min · TRM. Sheppard1 minG. BarroukNewJ. WallaceNew

Forwards

A. Yadd15 minJ. Robinson10 min · TRK. CurtisNewL. KrygierNew

Rutgers

Guards

R. Jones37 min · TRD. Smith34 min · TRT. Francis28 minJ. Davis26 minD. Buchanan24 minL. Mark16 min

Forwards

W. SydnorNewM. MiteoNewM. TonejcNew

Centers

C. Gurdak17 min · TRD. Buca13 min · TRG. Ware6 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

SHU74.3 #186

RUTG70.5 #273

Points per possession

SHU1.08 #180

RUTG1.04 #261

Pace (possessions)

SHU68.6 #201

RUTG67.5 #254

Shooting

Effective FG%

SHU52.0 #145

RUTG47.2 #331

3-point %

SHU35.7 #73

RUTG32.4 #261

3-point attempt rate

SHU50.7 #12

RUTG34.2 #291

Free throw rate

SHU31.0 #281

RUTG36.3 #143

Possessions

Turnover rate

SHU17.6 #249

RUTG14.9 #61

Offensive rebound rate

SHU28.6 #246

RUTG29.7 #217

Assists per game

SHU14.6 #112

RUTG12.2 #274

Defense

Points allowed

SHU77.6 #253

RUTG75.3 #199

Points allowed per possession

SHU1.13 #296

RUTG1.12 #267

Opponent effective FG%

SHU53.5 #283

RUTG53.0 #268

Opponent 3-point %

SHU34.9 #241

RUTG35.6 #287

Turnovers forced

SHU14.6 #320

RUTG17.1 #141

Defensive rebound rate

SHU69.1 #199

RUTG67.2 #292

Steals per game

SHU5.4 #305

RUTG6.1 #226

Blocks per game

SHU3.0 #223

RUTG3.4 #166

SHU		RUTG
Scoring
74.3 #186	Points per game	70.5 #273
1.08 #180	Points per possession	1.04 #261
68.6 #201	Pace (possessions)	67.5 #254
Shooting
52.0 #145	Effective FG%	47.2 #331
35.7 #73	3-point %	32.4 #261
50.7 #12	3-point attempt rate	34.2 #291
31.0 #281	Free throw rate	36.3 #143
Possessions
17.6 #249	Turnover rate	14.9 #61
28.6 #246	Offensive rebound rate	29.7 #217
14.6 #112	Assists per game	12.2 #274
Defense
77.6 #253	Points allowed	75.3 #199
1.13 #296	Points allowed per possession	1.12 #267
53.5 #283	Opponent effective FG%	53.0 #268
34.9 #241	Opponent 3-point %	35.6 #287
14.6 #320	Turnovers forced	17.1 #141
69.1 #199	Defensive rebound rate	67.2 #292
5.4 #305	Steals per game	6.1 #226
3.0 #223	Blocks per game	3.4 #166

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Sacred Heart

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 10-12 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Merrimack48–70
Wvs Iona91–80
Wvs Mount St Marys77–69
L@ Marist63–65
L@ Fairfield68–78

A week or more of rest.

Rutgers

14-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Creighton69–82
Lvs UCLA59–72
Wvs Minnesota72–67
Wvs Penn State74–62
L@ Michigan St87–91

A week or more of rest.

Sacred Heart Pioneers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

What could decide it: RUTG has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Sacred Heart

Rutgers

Rutgers has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Sacred Heart

Rutgers