Seton Hall Pirates at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 12, 4:30 PM ETJersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Seton Hall and Rutgers
HALL	This season	RUTG
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects RUTG 75–71 · win probability RUTG 61%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 145.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

HALL 3, RUTG 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

HALLBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: HALL 47.6 and allows 47.3; RUTG 47.2 and allows 53.0

RUTGBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: HALL 35.3, RUTG 36.3. Allowed: HALL 42.1, RUTG 31.7

HALLBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: HALL 35.6%, RUTG 29.7%. Defensive: HALL 68.1%, RUTG 67.2%

RUTGSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: HALL 18%, RUTG 58%. Transfers in: HALL 9, RUTG 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

HALLSmall

Three-pointers

HALL hits 30.5% and allows 32.4%; RUTG hits 32.4% and allows 35.6%. Threes are 26.8% and 34.2% of their shots

RUTGSmall

Home court

RUTG at home. This season: RUTG 0-0 at home, HALL 0-0 away

Even

HALL offense vs RUTG defense

Offense 97th of 366 against a defense 65th, on the model’s ratings

Even

RUTG offense vs HALL defense

Offense 58th of 366 against a defense 28th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: HALL plays 66.5 a game (296th fastest), RUTG 67.5 (254th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: HALL 16.6%, RUTG 14.9%. Forced: HALL 21.5%, RUTG 17.1%

Context

Schedule so far

HALL has played the 55th-hardest schedule, RUTG the 50th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	RUTG -3.2	—
Total	—	145.8	—
Projected score	—	HALL 71.3 · RUTG 74.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	RUTG -1.8	—
1H total	68.2	—
1H projected score	HALL 33.2 · RUTG 35	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
HALL WWLWL	19-14	58%	9-3	—
RUTG WWWLL	17-17	50%	8-9	—

Venue/role: HALL away; RUTG home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
HALL OOUUO	13-20	39%	21-12
RUTG OUOUU	19-15	56%	14-20

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
HALL	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
RUTG	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Seton Hall

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 15	vs UNCG	No recent meeting

Rutgers

No more games listed yet.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

HALL 3–2 RUTGHALL leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · HALL 4-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 13, 2025-26	RUTG 59 @ HALL 81	HALL -13.5	HALL W
Dec 14, 2024-25	HALL 63 @ RUTG 66	RUTG -10.5	HALL W
Dec 9, 2023-24	RUTG 70 @ HALL 63	HALL -3.5	RUTG W
Dec 11, 2022-23	HALL 45 @ RUTG 43	RUTG -7.5	HALL W
Dec 12, 2021-22	RUTG 63 @ HALL 77	HALL -8.5	HALL W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Seton Hall

33 games played

Straight up

21-12

64% wins

Against the spread

19-14

58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1264%

W W W W W W L W W W W W L W W W L L L L W W L L W W L W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

19-1458%

W L W L L W W W L W W W L W L W W L W L W L L W W W L L W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-2039%

U U O U U O O U O U O U U O U O O U U U O U U U O U U U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsUSC	L 81-83	+6.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsWSU	W 75-61	-8.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 136
Dec 3	vsCCSU	W 77-61	-18.5	L −2.5	128.5	O 138
Dec 6	@KSU	W 78-67	+2.5	W +13.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 13	vsRUTG	W 81-59	-13.5	W +8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 19	@PROV	W 72-67	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 139
Dec 23	vsVILL	L 56-64	-1.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 120
Dec 30	@MARQ	W 79-73	+1.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 4	vsCREI	W 56-54	-3.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 10	@GTWN	W 76-67	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	vsCONN	L 64-69	+6.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	vsBTLR	L 66-77	-6.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 143
Jan 20	@SJU	L 60-65	+11.5	W +6.5	145.5	U 125
Jan 24	@DEP	L 60-67	-2.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 127
Jan 28	vsXAV	W 86-68	-5.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 31	vsMARQ	W 69-64	-6.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 133
Feb 4	@VILL	L 60-72	+5.5	L −6.5	134.5	U 132
Feb 7	@CREI	L 68-69	+1.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 11	vsPROV	W 87-80	-4.5	W +2.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 15	@BTLR	W 63-56	-5.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 119
Feb 18	vsDEP	L 57-69	-7.5	L −19.5	129.5	U 126
Feb 21	vsGTWN	W 51-47	-6.5	L −2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 28	@CONN	L 67-71	+12.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 138
Mar 3	@XAV	W 77-68	-1.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 145
Mar 6	vsSJU	L 65-72	+5.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 137
Mar 12	vsCREI	W 72-61	-2.5	W +8.5	136.5	U 133
Mar 13	@SJU	L 68-78	+8.5	L −1.5	135.5	O 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

USC

L 81-83

+4.5

WSU

W 75-61

+5.5

CCSU

W 77-61

−2.5

KSU

W 78-67

+13.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+8.5

PROV

W 72-67

+6.5

VILL

L 56-64

−9.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+7.5

CREI

W 56-54

−1.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+7.5

CONN

L 64-69

+1.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−17.5

SJU

L 60-65

+6.5

DEP

L 60-67

−9.5

XAV

W 86-68

+12.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−1.5

VILL

L 60-72

−6.5

CREI

L 68-69

+0.5

PROV

W 87-80

+2.5

BTLR

W 63-56

+1.5

DEP

L 57-69

−19.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−2.5

CONN

L 67-71

+8.5

XAV

W 77-68

+7.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

CREI

W 72-61

+8.5

SJU

L 68-78

−1.5

covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

USC

L 81-83

+18.5

WSU

W 75-61

−11.5

CCSU

W 77-61

+9.5

KSU

W 78-67

−3.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+3.5

PROV

W 72-67

−13.5

VILL

L 56-64

−15.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+6.5

CREI

W 56-54

−33.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+5.5

CONN

L 64-69

+0.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−1.5

SJU

L 60-65

−20.5

DEP

L 60-67

−8.5

XAV

W 86-68

+8.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−10.5

VILL

L 60-72

−2.5

CREI

L 68-69

−3.5

PROV

W 87-80

+16.5

BTLR

W 63-56

−19.5

DEP

L 57-69

−3.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−38.5

CONN

L 67-71

+7.5

XAV

W 77-68

+0.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

CREI

W 72-61

−3.5

SJU

L 68-78

+10.5

over 13under 20avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Rutgers

34 games played

Straight up

14-20

41% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-15

56% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

14-2041%

W W W W L L L W L L L W W L W L W L L L L L L L W W L L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

17-1750%

W L L L L L W W L L L L L W W L W W W L W W L W W W L L W W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1556%

U O O O U O U U U O O U U O O U O O U U O O O O U O O O U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsRID	W 81-53	-18.5	W +9.5	139.5	U 134
Nov 10	vsME	W 72-60	-18.5	L −6.5	130.5	O 132
Nov 14	vsLEH	W 84-72	-18.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsAMER	W 80-71	-16.5	L −7.5	143.5	O 151
Nov 21	vsCCSU	L 54-67	-15.5	L −28.5	137.5	U 121
Nov 24	vsTENN	L 60-85	+14.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 145
Nov 25	vsND	L 63-68	+6.5	W +1.5	140.5	U 131
Nov 27	vsUNLV	W 80-65	+4.5	W +19.5	153.5	U 145
Dec 2	vsPUR	L 65-81	+13.5	L −2.5	146.5	U 146
Dec 6	@MICH	L 60-101	+25.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 161
Dec 13	@HALL	L 59-81	+13.5	L −8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 20	vsPENN	W 70-69	-11.5	L −10.5	150.5	U 139
Dec 29	vsDSU	W 65-50	-20.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 115
Jan 2	vsOSU	L 73-80	+9.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Jan 5	vsORE	W 88-85	+4.5	W +7.5	139.5	O 173
Jan 8	@ILL	L 55-81	+22.5	L −3.5	149.5	U 136
Jan 11	vsNU	W 77-75	+4.5	W +6.5	144.5	O 152
Jan 17	@WIS	L 87-96	+15.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 183
Jan 20	@IOWA	L 62-68	+17.5	W +11.5	140.5	U 130
Jan 23	vsIU	L 59-82	+7.5	L −15.5	147.5	U 141
Jan 27	vsMSU	L 79-88	+14.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 167
Jan 31	@USC	L 75-78	+11.5	W +8.5	146.5	O 153
Feb 3	@UCLA	L 66-98	+13.5	L −18.5	142.5	O 164
Feb 7	vsNEB	L 68-80	+12.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 148
Feb 15	vsMD	W 68-57	-2.5	W +8.5	144.5	U 125
Feb 18	@PSU	W 85-72	+4.5	W +17.5	148.5	O 157
Feb 21	@MINN	L 61-80	+8.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 141
Feb 24	vsWASH	L 72-79	+4.5	L −2.5	139.5	O 151
Mar 1	@MD	W 69-65	+4.5	W +8.5	143.5	U 134
Mar 5	@MSU	L 87-91	+20.5	W +16.5	141.5	O 178
Mar 8	vsPSU	W 74-62	-4.5	W +7.5	149.5	U 136
Mar 11	vsMINN	W 72-67	+6.5	W +11.5	135.5	O 139
Mar 12	vsUCLA	L 59-72	+10.5	L −2.5	141.5	U 131
Apr 2	vsCREI	L 69-82	+4.5	L −8.5	151.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RID

W 81-53

+9.5

W 72-60

−6.5

LEH

W 84-72

−6.5

AMER

W 80-71

−7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−28.5

TENN

L 60-85

−10.5

L 63-68

+1.5

UNLV

W 80-65

+19.5

PUR

L 65-81

−2.5

MICH

L 60-101

−15.5

HALL

L 59-81

−8.5

PENN

W 70-69

−10.5

DSU

W 65-50

−5.5

OSU

L 73-80

+2.5

ORE

W 88-85

+7.5

ILL

L 55-81

−3.5

W 77-75

+6.5

WIS

L 87-96

+6.5

IOWA

L 62-68

+11.5

L 59-82

−15.5

MSU

L 79-88

+5.5

USC

L 75-78

+8.5

UCLA

L 66-98

−18.5

NEB

L 68-80

+0.5

W 68-57

+8.5

PSU

W 85-72

+17.5

MINN

L 61-80

−10.5

WASH

L 72-79

−2.5

W 69-65

+8.5

MSU

L 87-91

+16.5

PSU

W 74-62

+7.5

MINN

W 72-67

+11.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−2.5

CREI

L 69-82

−8.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RID

W 81-53

−5.5

W 72-60

+1.5

LEH

W 84-72

+19.5

AMER

W 80-71

+7.5

CCSU

L 54-67

−16.5

TENN

L 60-85

+3.5

L 63-68

−9.5

UNLV

W 80-65

−8.5

PUR

L 65-81

−0.5

MICH

L 60-101

+7.5

HALL

L 59-81

+3.5

PENN

W 70-69

−11.5

DSU

W 65-50

−20.5

OSU

L 73-80

+1.5

ORE

W 88-85

+33.5

ILL

L 55-81

−13.5

W 77-75

+7.5

WIS

L 87-96

+33.5

IOWA

L 62-68

−10.5

L 59-82

−6.5

MSU

L 79-88

+28.5

USC

L 75-78

+6.5

UCLA

L 66-98

+21.5

NEB

L 68-80

+2.5

W 68-57

−19.5

PSU

W 85-72

+8.5

MINN

L 61-80

+4.5

WASH

L 72-79

+11.5

W 69-65

−9.5

MSU

L 87-91

+36.5

PSU

W 74-62

−13.5

MINN

W 72-67

+3.5

UCLA

L 59-72

−10.5

CREI

L 69-82

−0.5

over 19under 15avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Rutgers has the better starters

Position by position: Seton Hall 0, Rutgers 1, even 4

Seton HallBetterRutgers

G R. Brown TR13.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.7 ast Score 59

Even

G R. Jones TR15 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 69

G D. Jones TR17.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.3 ast Score 74

Even

G D. Smith TR20.6 pts · 5.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 88

G K. Thomas TR15.9 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 71

RUTGSmall

G T. Francis17 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 99

G R. Anderson TR10.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 81

Even

G J. Davis7.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.5 ast Score 72

F D. Williams TR7.5 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 71

Even

G D. Buchanan8.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 68

Seton HallBetterRutgers

HALL offense97th of 366 · -0.8

Even

RUTG defense65th of 366 · +1.0

HALL defense28th of 366 · +3.7

Even

RUTG offense58th of 366 · +2.7

Backcourt+2.6 · 4 players

RUTGBig

Backcourt+9.4 · 5 players

Frontcourt+0.9 · 1 player

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-0.2 · 5 players

Even

Bench+0.3 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestHALL betterRUTG betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Seton Hall

Guards

R. Brown33 min · TRD. Jones33 min · TRK. Thomas30 min · TRR. Anderson24 min · TRE. Fisher21 minS. Wilcher19 min · TR

Forwards

D. Williams24 min · TRM. Wol20 min · TRT. CopelandNewT. AirhienbuwaNewI. DolinskiNew

Centers

A. Fanta Kabba17 min · TR

Rutgers

Guards

R. Jones37 min · TRD. Smith34 min · TRT. Francis28 minJ. Davis26 minD. Buchanan24 minL. Mark16 min

Forwards

W. SydnorNewM. MiteoNewM. TonejcNew

Centers

C. Gurdak17 min · TRD. Buca13 min · TRG. Ware6 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

HALL70.3 #278

RUTG70.5 #273

Points per possession

HALL1.06 #238

RUTG1.04 #261

Pace (possessions)

HALL66.5 #296

RUTG67.5 #254

Shooting

Effective FG%

HALL47.6 #321

RUTG47.2 #331

3-point %

HALL30.5 #334

RUTG32.4 #261

3-point attempt rate

HALL26.8 #362

RUTG34.2 #291

Free throw rate

HALL35.3 #168

RUTG36.3 #143

Possessions

Turnover rate

HALL16.6 #173

RUTG14.9 #61

Offensive rebound rate

HALL35.6 #33

RUTG29.7 #217

Assists per game

HALL13.1 #206

RUTG12.2 #274

Defense

Points allowed

HALL65.3 #8

RUTG75.3 #199

Points allowed per possession

HALL0.98 #16

RUTG1.12 #267

Opponent effective FG%

HALL47.3 #25

RUTG53.0 #268

Opponent 3-point %

HALL32.4 #87

RUTG35.6 #287

Turnovers forced

HALL21.5 #5

RUTG17.1 #141

Defensive rebound rate

HALL68.1 #251

RUTG67.2 #292

Steals per game

HALL9.2 #7

RUTG6.1 #226

Blocks per game

HALL5.7 #7

RUTG3.4 #166

HALL		RUTG
Scoring
70.3 #278	Points per game	70.5 #273
1.06 #238	Points per possession	1.04 #261
66.5 #296	Pace (possessions)	67.5 #254
Shooting
47.6 #321	Effective FG%	47.2 #331
30.5 #334	3-point %	32.4 #261
26.8 #362	3-point attempt rate	34.2 #291
35.3 #168	Free throw rate	36.3 #143
Possessions
16.6 #173	Turnover rate	14.9 #61
35.6 #33	Offensive rebound rate	29.7 #217
13.1 #206	Assists per game	12.2 #274
Defense
65.3 #8	Points allowed	75.3 #199
0.98 #16	Points allowed per possession	1.12 #267
47.3 #25	Opponent effective FG%	53.0 #268
32.4 #87	Opponent 3-point %	35.6 #287
21.5 #5	Turnovers forced	17.1 #141
68.1 #251	Defensive rebound rate	67.2 #292
9.2 #7	Steals per game	6.1 #226
5.7 #7	Blocks per game	3.4 #166

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Seton Hall

21-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ St John's68–78
Wvs Creighton72–61
Lvs St John's65–72
W@ Xavier77–68
L@ UConn67–71

A week or more of rest.

Rutgers

14-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Creighton69–82
Lvs UCLA59–72
Wvs Minnesota72–67
Wvs Penn State74–62
L@ Michigan St87–91

A week or more of rest.

Seton Hall Pirates at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

What could decide it

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Seton Hall

Rutgers

Rutgers has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Seton Hall

Rutgers