Creighton Bluejays vs Seton Hall Pirates: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Mar 12, 2:30 PM ETMadison Square Garden · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament

#37CREICreighton61final

Final

#67HALLSeton Hall72▲ winner

Closing lineHALL -2.5✓ HALL covered by 8.5

Closing total136.5Under by 3.5

Season records: Creighton and Seton Hall
CREI	This season	HALL
15-16	Record	20-11
10-21	ATS	18-13
15-16	O/U	12-19

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CREI 68–69 HALL · ✓ HALL (54%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CREI	26	35	61
HALL	33	39	72

1st half: CREI 26, HALL 33 (HALL by 7). The model had HALL by 0.5 and a total of 64.3 (actual 59).

Team stats

CREI		HALL
20-60 33%	Field goals	24-59 41%
8-34 24%	3-pointers	4-10 40%
13-18 72%	Free throws	20-26 77%
39 10 off	Rebounds	42 9 off
13	Assists	16
4	Steals	6
4	Blocks	4
10	Turnovers	7
19	Fouls	19
22	Points in paint	30
10	Fast-break points	3

Players

CREI	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Josh Dix G	36	22	6	4	8-14	4-10
Jasen Green F	32	4	11	2	2-7	0-0
Fedor Zugic G	27	2	6	0	1-9	0-6
Nik Graves G	24	15	2	5	4-10	1-5
Isaac Traudt F	20	5	1	0	2-5	1-4
Bench
Austin Swartz G	27	10	6	1	2-11	2-7
Hudson Greer G	14	3	2	0	1-2	0-1
Kerem Konan F	8	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Blake Harper G	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Ty Davis G	6	0	1	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Aleksa Dimitrijevic, Liam McChesney, Josh Townley-Thomas, Shane Thomas, Jackson McAndrew, Owen Freeman

HALL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Adam Clark G	35	16	7	6	6-15	0-0
AJ Staton-McCray G	28	8	2	1	2-9	0-2
Stephon Payne F	23	2	7	2	0-3	0-0
Elijah Fisher G	22	9	1	2	4-7	0-0
Mike Williams III G	18	7	2	1	3-5	1-3
Bench
Tajuan Simpkins G	23	6	3	2	2-8	1-2
Trey Parker G	17	6	8	2	1-4	0-0
Na'jai Hines C	16	2	4	0	1-2	0-0
Jacob Dar G	15	16	5	0	5-6	2-3
Joshua Rivera F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Assane Mbaye, David Gabriel, Godswill Erheriene, Jahseem Felton, Patrick Suemnick

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HALL -2.5	HALL -1.0	CREI +1.5	L HALL covered
Total	136.5	137.3	Over 0.8	L Under
Projected score	—	CREI 68.1 · HALL 69.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HALL -0.5	HALL -7.0
1H total	64.3	59
1H projected score	CREI 31.9 · HALL 32.4	CREI 26 · HALL 33

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
CREI WLLLW	10-21	32%	1-2	5-9
HALL LLWWL	18-13	58%	3-0	9-11

Venue/role: CREI neutral site, as underdog; HALL neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CREI OUOUU	15-16	48%	15-16
HALL UUOOU	12-19	39%	20-11

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CREI	3-7 30%	2-8 20%	5-5 50%
HALL	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22

CREI 7–3 HALLCREI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · CREI 7-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 7, 2025-26	HALL 68 @ CREI 69	CREI -1.5	HALL W
Jan 4, 2025-26	CREI 54 @ HALL 56	HALL -3.5	CREI W
Mar 4, 2024-25	CREI 79 @ HALL 61	HALL +9.5	CREI W
Jan 25, 2024-25	HALL 54 @ CREI 79	CREI -14.5	CREI W
Feb 28, 2023-24	HALL 64 @ CREI 85	CREI -9.5	CREI W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Creighton

31 games played

Straight up

15-16

48% wins

Against the spread

10-21

32% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-16

48% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1648%

W L W W L L W W L L W W W W L W L W L W L L L W L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

10-2132%

L L W L L L W W L L W W W L W W L L L L L L L L L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-1648%

U U U U O U U O U U O U O O U O O O O O U O U U O O O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsSDAK	W 92-76	-29.5	L −13.5	169.5	U 168
Nov 11	@GONZ	L 63-90	+12.5	L −14.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 14	vsUMES	W 84-45	-33.5	W +5.5	135.5	U 129
Nov 19	vsUND	W 75-60	-29.5	L −14.5	155.5	U 135
Nov 24	vsBAY	L 74-81	+3.5	L −3.5	154.5	O 155
Nov 25	vsISU	L 60-78	+9.5	L −8.5	152.5	U 138
Nov 27	vsORE	W 76-66	-2.5	W +7.5	150.5	U 142
Dec 2	vsNICH	W 96-76	-18.5	W +1.5	143.5	O 172
Dec 7	@NEB	L 50-71	+5.5	L −15.5	155.5	U 121
Dec 13	vsKSU	L 76-83	-4.5	L −11.5	159.5	U 159
Dec 17	@XAV	W 98-57	+2.5	W +43.5	151.5	O 155
Dec 20	vsMARQ	W 84-63	-6.5	W +14.5	151.5	U 147
Dec 22	vsUTU	W 92-69	-19.5	W +3.5	147.5	O 161
Dec 30	vsBTLR	W 89-85	-5.5	L −1.5	156.5	O 174
Jan 4	@HALL	L 54-56	+3.5	W +1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 7	@VILL	W 76-72	+4.5	W +8.5	142.5	O 148
Jan 10	vsSJU	L 73-90	+2.5	L −14.5	152.5	O 163
Jan 13	vsGTWN	W 86-83	-8.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 169
Jan 16	@PROV	L 88-93	-2.5	L −7.5	161.5	O 181
Jan 21	vsXAV	W 94-93	-8.5	L −7.5	155.5	O 187
Jan 27	@MARQ	L 62-86	-1.5	L −25.5	154.5	U 148
Jan 31	vsCONN	L 58-85	+6.5	L −20.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 4	@GTWN	L 68-76	+1.5	L −6.5	146.5	U 144
Feb 7	vsHALL	W 69-68	-1.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 11	@DEP	L 71-72	-1.5	L −2.5	141.5	O 143
Feb 14	vsVILL	L 69-80	+1.5	L −9.5	145.5	O 149
Feb 18	@CONN	W 91-84	+15.5	W +22.5	143.5	O 175
Feb 21	@SJU	L 52-81	+12.5	L −16.5	156.5	U 133
Feb 25	vsDEP	L 71-72	-3.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 28	vsPROV	L 76-79	-3.5	L −6.5	166.5	U 155
Mar 4	@BTLR	W 76-59	+2.5	W +19.5	155.5	U 135

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SDAK

W 92-76

−13.5

GONZ

L 63-90

−14.5

UMES

W 84-45

+5.5

UND

W 75-60

−14.5

BAY

L 74-81

−3.5

ISU

L 60-78

−8.5

ORE

W 76-66

+7.5

NICH

W 96-76

+1.5

NEB

L 50-71

−15.5

KSU

L 76-83

−11.5

XAV

W 98-57

+43.5

MARQ

W 84-63

+14.5

UTU

W 92-69

+3.5

BTLR

W 89-85

−1.5

HALL

L 54-56

+1.5

VILL

W 76-72

+8.5

SJU

L 73-90

−14.5

GTWN

W 86-83

−5.5

PROV

L 88-93

−7.5

XAV

W 94-93

−7.5

MARQ

L 62-86

−25.5

CONN

L 58-85

−20.5

GTWN

L 68-76

−6.5

HALL

W 69-68

−0.5

DEP

L 71-72

−2.5

VILL

L 69-80

−9.5

CONN

W 91-84

+22.5

SJU

L 52-81

−16.5

DEP

L 71-72

−4.5

PROV

L 76-79

−6.5

BTLR

W 76-59

+19.5

covered 10didn’t cover 21avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SDAK

W 92-76

−1.5

GONZ

L 63-90

−11.5

UMES

W 84-45

−6.5

UND

W 75-60

−20.5

BAY

L 74-81

+0.5

ISU

L 60-78

−14.5

ORE

W 76-66

−8.5

NICH

W 96-76

+28.5

NEB

L 50-71

−34.5

KSU

L 76-83

−0.5

XAV

W 98-57

+3.5

MARQ

W 84-63

−4.5

UTU

W 92-69

+13.5

BTLR

W 89-85

+17.5

HALL

L 54-56

−33.5

VILL

W 76-72

+5.5

SJU

L 73-90

+10.5

GTWN

W 86-83

+21.5

PROV

L 88-93

+19.5

XAV

W 94-93

+31.5

MARQ

L 62-86

−6.5

CONN

L 58-85

+0.5

GTWN

L 68-76

−2.5

HALL

W 69-68

−3.5

DEP

L 71-72

+1.5

VILL

L 69-80

+3.5

CONN

W 91-84

+31.5

SJU

L 52-81

−23.5

DEP

L 71-72

+0.5

PROV

L 76-79

−11.5

BTLR

W 76-59

−20.5

over 15under 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Seton Hall

31 games played

Straight up

20-11

65% wins

Against the spread

18-13

58% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-19

39% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total

Straight up

20-1165%

W W W W W W L W W W W W L W W W L L L L W W L L W W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

18-1358%

W L W L L W W W L W W W L W L W W L W L W L L W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

12-1939%

U U O U U O O U O U O U U O U O O U U U O U U U O U U U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSPU	W 77-50	-13.5	W +13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 7	vsWAG	W 68-61	-21.5	L −14.5	134.5	U 129
Nov 10	vsFAIR	W 82-59	-14.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Nov 13	vsMONM	W 70-58	-15.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 18	vsNHVN	W 68-45	-25.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 113
Nov 24	vsNCSU	W 85-74	+7.5	W +18.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 25	vsUSC	L 81-83	+6.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsWSU	W 75-61	-8.5	W +5.5	147.5	U 136
Dec 3	vsCCSU	W 77-61	-18.5	L −2.5	128.5	O 138
Dec 6	@KSU	W 78-67	+2.5	W +13.5	148.5	U 145
Dec 13	vsRUTG	W 81-59	-13.5	W +8.5	136.5	O 140
Dec 19	@PROV	W 72-67	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 139
Dec 23	vsVILL	L 56-64	-1.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 120
Dec 30	@MARQ	W 79-73	+1.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 4	vsCREI	W 56-54	-3.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 110
Jan 10	@GTWN	W 76-67	-1.5	W +7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	vsCONN	L 64-69	+6.5	W +1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	vsBTLR	L 66-77	-6.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 143
Jan 20	@SJU	L 60-65	+11.5	W +6.5	145.5	U 125
Jan 24	@DEP	L 60-67	-2.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 127
Jan 28	vsXAV	W 86-68	-5.5	W +12.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 31	vsMARQ	W 69-64	-6.5	L −1.5	143.5	U 133
Feb 4	@VILL	L 60-72	+5.5	L −6.5	134.5	U 132
Feb 7	@CREI	L 68-69	+1.5	W +0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 11	vsPROV	W 87-80	-4.5	W +2.5	150.5	O 167
Feb 15	@BTLR	W 63-56	-5.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 119
Feb 18	vsDEP	L 57-69	-7.5	L −19.5	129.5	U 126
Feb 21	vsGTWN	W 51-47	-6.5	L −2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 28	@CONN	L 67-71	+12.5	W +8.5	130.5	O 138
Mar 3	@XAV	W 77-68	-1.5	W +7.5	144.5	O 145
Mar 6	vsSJU	L 65-72	+5.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

+13.5

WAG

W 68-61

−14.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+8.5

MONM

W 70-58

−3.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−2.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+18.5

USC

L 81-83

+4.5

WSU

W 75-61

+5.5

CCSU

W 77-61

−2.5

KSU

W 78-67

+13.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+8.5

PROV

W 72-67

+6.5

VILL

L 56-64

−9.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+7.5

CREI

W 56-54

−1.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+7.5

CONN

L 64-69

+1.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−17.5

SJU

L 60-65

+6.5

DEP

L 60-67

−9.5

XAV

W 86-68

+12.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−1.5

VILL

L 60-72

−6.5

CREI

L 68-69

+0.5

PROV

W 87-80

+2.5

BTLR

W 63-56

+1.5

DEP

L 57-69

−19.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−2.5

CONN

L 67-71

+8.5

XAV

W 77-68

+7.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

covered 18didn’t cover 13avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SPU

W 77-50

−2.5

WAG

W 68-61

−5.5

FAIR

W 82-59

+3.5

MONM

W 70-58

−7.5

NHVN

W 68-45

−16.5

NCSU

W 85-74

+15.5

USC

L 81-83

+18.5

WSU

W 75-61

−11.5

CCSU

W 77-61

+9.5

KSU

W 78-67

−3.5

RUTG

W 81-59

+3.5

PROV

W 72-67

−13.5

VILL

L 56-64

−15.5

MARQ

W 79-73

+6.5

CREI

W 56-54

−33.5

GTWN

W 76-67

+5.5

CONN

L 64-69

+0.5

BTLR

L 66-77

−1.5

SJU

L 60-65

−20.5

DEP

L 60-67

−8.5

XAV

W 86-68

+8.5

MARQ

W 69-64

−10.5

VILL

L 60-72

−2.5

CREI

L 68-69

−3.5

PROV

W 87-80

+16.5

BTLR

W 63-56

−19.5

DEP

L 57-69

−3.5

GTWN

W 51-47

−38.5

CONN

L 67-71

+7.5

XAV

W 77-68

+0.5

SJU

L 65-72

−1.5

over 12under 19avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Creighton Bluejays vs Seton Hall Pirates

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Creighton

Seton Hall

Creighton

Seton Hall