1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. NJIT @ FAIR
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

NJIT Highlanders at Fairfield Stags

Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield
#316NJITNJIT
@
#239FAIRFairfield
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NJITThis seasonFAIR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FAIR 75–66 · win probability FAIR 79%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 141.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FAIR has more of the edges

NJIT 0, FAIR 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FAIRBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NJIT 26.2%, FAIR 35.8%. Defensive: NJIT 67.9%, FAIR 70.9%
FAIRBig
NJIT offense vs FAIR defense
Offense 338th of 366 against a defense 195th, on the model’s ratings
FAIRSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NJIT 17.1%, FAIR 15.4%. Forced: NJIT 16.1%, FAIR 16.8%
Context
Schedule so far
NJIT has played the 282nd-hardest schedule, FAIR the 359th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FAIRSmall
Home court
FAIR at home. This season: FAIR 0-0 at home, NJIT 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NJIT 33.2, FAIR 27.7. Allowed: NJIT 37.9, FAIR 30.4
Even
FAIR offense vs NJIT defense
Offense 282nd of 366 against a defense 250th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NJIT 39%, FAIR 53%. Transfers in: NJIT 4, FAIR 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NJIT plays 67.9 a game (235th fastest), FAIR 67.3 (263rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NJIT 46.7 and allows 50.0; FAIR 48.8 and allows 51.0
Even
Three-pointers
NJIT hits 30.4% and allows 32.3%; FAIR hits 33.2% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 40.1% and 35.4% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FAIR -9.1—
Total—141.6—
Projected score—NJIT 66.3 · FAIR 75.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFAIR -5.3—
1H total66.3—
1H projected scoreNJIT 30.5 · FAIR 35.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: NJIT 2, Fairfield 2, even 1
NJITBetterFairfield
G D. Bolden12 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 47
FAIRSmall
G D. Wucherpfennig11.8 pts · 8.3 reb · 1.6 ast Score 71
G M. Tatum TR8.1 pts · 2 reb · 1.4 ast Score 13
Even
G T. Williams6.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 19
G Q. Duncan4.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 31
NJITSmall
G E. Mejia4.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 11
F M. Coffi TR3.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.8 ast Score 28
NJITSmall
G H. Rawlins3.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 4
F J. Kelly4.4 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.3 ast Score 20
FAIRBig
F Q. Martin TR12.1 pts · 7.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 76
NJITBetterFairfield
NJIT offense338th of 366 · -11.1
FAIRBig
FAIR defense195th of 366 · -4.8
NJIT defense250th of 366 · -6.6
Even
FAIR offense282nd of 366 · -8.7
Backcourt-4.6 · 3 players
NJITSmall
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.4 · 2 players
FAIRBig
Frontcourt+1.7 · 1 player
Bench-3.4 · 4 players
FAIRSmall
Bench-2.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNJIT betterFAIR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NJIT
Guards
D. Bolden30 minM. Tatum26 min · TRQ. Duncan14 minR. Awad13 minB. Stores4 min · TRA. AltobelliNew
Forwards
M. Coffi19 min · TRJ. Kelly16 minB. Oliver10 min · TRZ. Scherler7 minV. VanderstraetenNew
Centers
S. Jimenez-VojnicNew
Fairfield
Guards
D. Wucherpfennig32 minT. Williams20 minE. Mejia19 minH. Rawlins17 minN. Rodriguez7 minJ. Ganton2 min
Forwards
Q. Martin32 min · TRM. Radunovic9 min · TRI. Munkadi9 minP. SmithNewO. SackoNewB. JonesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NJITFAIR
Scoring
66.2 #344Points per game72.9 #226
0.98 #343Points per possession1.09 #166
67.9 #235Pace (possessions)67.3 #263
Shooting
46.7 #342Effective FG%48.8 #294
30.4 #3363-point %33.2 #216
40.1 #1683-point attempt rate35.4 #262
33.2 #233Free throw rate27.7 #346
Possessions
17.1 #215Turnover rate15.4 #96
26.2 #316Offensive rebound rate35.8 #29
10.5 #350Assists per game12.1 #277
Defense
73.7 #147Points allowed71.9 #104
1.08 #167Points allowed per possession1.06 #118
50.0 #99Opponent effective FG%51.0 #159
32.3 #79Opponent 3-point %34.3 #200
16.1 #214Turnovers forced16.8 #169
67.9 #264Defensive rebound rate70.9 #116
6.3 #204Steals per game6.5 #183
3.1 #197Blocks per game3.5 #145
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NJIT

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-7 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Vermont54–63
  • Wvs Maine60–58
  • Lvs UMBC52–91
  • L@ Bryant52–69
  • Lvs Vermont64–70

A week or more of rest.

Fairfield

20-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Siena61–76
  • Wvs Saint Peter's74–55
  • Wvs Manhattan71–60
  • Lvs Mount St Marys47–69
  • Wvs Siena72–58

A week or more of rest.