1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. PRST @ SF
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Portland State Vikings at San Francisco Dons

The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco
#274PRSTPortland St
@
#161SFSan Francisco
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRSTThis seasonSF
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SF 76–69 · win probability SF 74%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SF has more of the edges

PRST 1, SF 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
PRST has played the 322nd-hardest schedule, SF the 98th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SFBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRST 37.1, SF 40.1. Allowed: PRST 42.8, SF 29.6
SFBig
PRST offense vs SF defense
Offense 284th of 366 against a defense 165th, on the model’s ratings
PRSTSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRST 16.9%, SF 15.9%. Forced: PRST 18.0%, SF 14.1%
SFSmall
SF offense vs PRST defense
Offense 178th of 366 against a defense 244th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: PRST plays 69.6 a game (140th fastest), SF 67.3 (271st). Faster games mean more points
SFSmall
Home court
SF at home. This season: SF 0-0 at home, PRST 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRST 50.5 and allows 48.8; SF 51.3 and allows 50.8
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRST 30.0%, SF 31.4%. Defensive: PRST 73.6%, SF 71.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRST 6%, SF 3%. Transfers in: PRST 4, SF 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
PRST hits 32.6% and allows 32.3%; SF hits 34.6% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 34.4% and 46.1% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SF -7.5—
Total—145.2—
Projected score—PRST 68.8 · SF 76.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSF -4.3—
1H total67.9—
1H projected scorePRST 31.8 · SF 36.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Portland St 0, San Francisco 0, even 5
Portland StBetterSan Francisco
G E. Skytt TR3.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
No call
G A. Bashir TR2.4 pts · 0.6 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
G K. Johnson TR1.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 39
No call
G A. Braccia0.4 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G C. Ness0.6 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F B. Oosterbaan TR7.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 31
F B. Barron0.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F N. Newbury NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
C K. Ibekwe TR3.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
No call
C I. Diagne TR1.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
Portland StBetterSan Francisco
PRST offense284th of 366 · -8.8
SFSmall
SF defense165th of 366 · -3.7
PRST defense244th of 366 · -6.4
SFSmall
SF offense178th of 366 · -5.5
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-0.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestPRST betterSF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Portland St
Guards
E. Skytt12 min · TRK. Johnson10 min · TRC. Ness4 minN. PollardNewT. FrankNewD. JohnsonNew
Forwards
B. Barron4 minC. Chukwu3 minL. Kearney3 min · TRJ. RandolphNewA. PusateriNewF. CoratoNew
Centers
K. Ibekwe9 min · TR
San Francisco
Guards
A. Bashir10 min · TRA. Braccia5 minW. FodeNewM. MageeNewY. VitlemNewD. BordonNew
Forwards
B. Oosterbaan25 min · TRN. NewburyNewA. TysonNewG. KnudsenNewD. WileyNewJ. PihtovsNew
Centers
I. Diagne7 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRSTSF
Scoring
73.9 #199Points per game73.9 #198
1.06 #220Points per possession1.10 #131
69.6 #140Pace (possessions)67.3 #271
Shooting
50.5 #211Effective FG%51.3 #184
32.6 #2503-point %34.6 #140
34.4 #2873-point attempt rate46.1 #45
37.1 #126Free throw rate40.1 #59
Possessions
16.9 #200Turnover rate15.9 #129
30.0 #199Offensive rebound rate31.4 #148
13.4 #186Assists per game13.6 #174
Defense
71.2 #80Points allowed73.8 #149
1.02 #45Points allowed per possession1.09 #206
48.8 #56Opponent effective FG%50.8 #143
32.3 #77Opponent 3-point %34.1 #187
18.0 #94Turnovers forced14.1 #331
73.6 #23Defensive rebound rate71.0 #105
7.2 #104Steals per game5.1 #332
3.8 #108Blocks per game2.9 #238
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Portland St

17-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana72–75
  • Wvs Idaho St85–78
  • Wvs Weber St84–60
  • L@ Montana68–74
  • L@ Montana St69–84

A week or more of rest.

San Francisco

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oregon St77–78
  • Wvs Portland82–65
  • W@ Pacific72–61
  • Lvs Santa Clara73–94
  • Lvs Gonzaga59–80

A week or more of rest.