Washington Huskies at Utah Utes: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETJon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah

#73UTAHUtah

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Washington and Utah
WASH	This season	UTAH
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WASH 75–74 · win probability WASH 55%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 149.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WASH has more of the edges

WASH 3, UTAH 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

WASHBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: WASH 34.6%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: WASH 71.5%, UTAH 68.4%

WASHSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: WASH 51.2 and allows 50.1; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9

UTAHSmall

Three-pointers

WASH hits 31.5% and allows 33.6%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 34.6% and 37.5% of their shots

WASHSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: WASH 15.3%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: WASH 14.4%, UTAH 13.3%

UTAHSmall

Home court

UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, WASH 0-0 away

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: WASH 30.1, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: WASH 31.0, UTAH 29.9

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: WASH 34%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: WASH 6, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

UTAH offense vs WASH defense

Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 48th, on the model’s ratings

Even

WASH offense vs UTAH defense

Offense 57th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 69 possessions: WASH plays 68.8 a game (196th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points

Context

Schedule so far

WASH has played the 46th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	WASH -1.4	—
Total	—	149.3	—
Projected score	—	WASH 75.4 · UTAH 74

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WASH -0.9	—
1H total	69.8	—
1H projected score	WASH 35.4 · UTAH 34.4	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WASH LWLWW	20-13	61%	8-5	—
UTAH LLLLW	15-17	47%	5-12	—

Venue/role: WASH away; UTAH home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WASH OOOOO	15-18	45%	16-17
UTAH UUOOO	18-14	56%	10-22

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WASH	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
UTAH	1-9 10%	5-5 50%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Washington

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 19	vs UTU	W78–67LO
Nov 23	vs BYU	No recent meeting
Nov 29	vs NORF	No recent meeting

Utah

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 17	vs EWU	W101–77WO
Nov 20	vs DAY	No recent meeting
Nov 22	vs MINN	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22

WASH 5–2 UTAHWASH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WASH has won the last 2 meetings · WASH 5-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 29, 2025-26	UTAH 65 @ WASH 74	WASH -12.5	UTAH W
Jan 27, 2023-24	UTAH 73 @ WASH 98	WASH -0.5	WASH W
Dec 31, 2023-24	WASH 90 @ UTAH 95	UTAH -10.5	WASH W
Jan 21, 2022-23	WASH 61 @ UTAH 86	UTAH -8.5	UTAH W
Mar 9, 2021-22	UTAH 70 vs WASH 82	WASH -2	WASH W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Washington

33 games played

Straight up

16-17

48% wins

Against the spread

20-13

61% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-18

45% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1748%

W W L W W W L L W W L W W L L W L L L W L W L L L W L W L W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

20-1361%

W L L W L W L W W W L W L L W W W L W W W W L W L W L W L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1845%

U O U U O O U O O O U U U O U U U U U U U U O O U U U O O O O O O

6 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUAPB	W 94-50	-34.5	W +9.5	160.5	U 144
Nov 6	vsDEN	W 84-70	-27.5	L −13.5	153.5	O 154
Nov 9	@BAY	L 69-78	+6.5	L −2.5	156.5	U 147
Nov 14	@WSU	W 81-69	-8.5	W +3.5	158.5	U 150
Nov 18	vsSOU	W 99-93	-23.5	L −17.5	157.5	O 192
Nov 27	vsNEV	W 83-66	-3.5	W +13.5	145.5	O 149
Nov 28	vsCOLO	L 68-81	-2.5	L −15.5	151.5	U 149
Dec 3	vsUCLA	L 80-82	+2.5	W +0.5	141.5	O 162
Dec 6	@USC	W 84-76	+4.5	W +12.5	154.5	O 160
Dec 13	vsSUU	W 105-69	-25.5	W +10.5	153.5	O 174
Dec 19	@SEA	L 66-70	-7.5	L −11.5	151.5	U 136
Dec 22	vsUSD	W 86-56	-18.5	W +11.5	159.5	U 142
Dec 29	vsUTAH	W 74-65	-12.5	L −3.5	157.5	U 139
Jan 4	@IU	L 80-90	+9.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 170
Jan 7	@PUR	L 73-81	+16.5	W +8.5	154.5	U 154
Jan 11	vsOSU	W 81-74	-1.5	W +5.5	155.5	U 155
Jan 14	vsMICH	L 72-82	+12.5	W +2.5	165.5	U 154
Jan 17	vsMSU	L 63-80	+3.5	L −13.5	145.5	U 143
Jan 21	@NEB	L 66-76	+10.5	W +0.5	152.5	U 142
Jan 25	vsORE	W 72-57	-7.5	W +7.5	143.5	U 129
Jan 29	@ILL	L 66-75	+12.5	W +3.5	153.5	U 141
Jan 31	@NU	W 76-62	+1.5	W +15.5	146.5	U 138
Feb 4	vsIOWA	L 74-84	+2.5	L −7.5	141.5	O 158
Feb 7	@UCLA	L 73-77	+4.5	W +0.5	144.5	O 150
Feb 11	vsPSU	L 60-63	-12.5	L −15.5	153.5	U 123
Feb 14	vsMINN	W 69-57	-6.5	W +5.5	138.5	U 126
Feb 21	@MD	L 60-64	-4.5	L −8.5	143.5	U 124
Feb 24	@RUTG	W 79-72	-4.5	W +2.5	139.5	O 151
Feb 28	vsWIS	L 73-90	+1.5	L −15.5	153.5	O 163
Mar 4	vsUSC	W 91-72	-5.5	W +13.5	150.5	O 163
Mar 7	@ORE	L 79-85	-1.5	L −7.5	145.5	O 164
Mar 11	vsUSC	W 83-79	-3.5	W +0.5	154.5	O 162
Mar 12	vsWIS	L 82-85	+6.5	W +3.5	157.5	O 167

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

+9.5

DEN

W 84-70

−13.5

BAY

L 69-78

−2.5

WSU

W 81-69

+3.5

SOU

W 99-93

−17.5

NEV

W 83-66

+13.5

COLO

L 68-81

−15.5

UCLA

L 80-82

+0.5

USC

W 84-76

+12.5

SUU

W 105-69

+10.5

SEA

L 66-70

−11.5

USD

W 86-56

+11.5

UTAH

W 74-65

−3.5

L 80-90

−0.5

PUR

L 73-81

+8.5

OSU

W 81-74

+5.5

MICH

L 72-82

+2.5

MSU

L 63-80

−13.5

NEB

L 66-76

+0.5

ORE

W 72-57

+7.5

ILL

L 66-75

+3.5

W 76-62

+15.5

IOWA

L 74-84

−7.5

UCLA

L 73-77

+0.5

PSU

L 60-63

−15.5

MINN

W 69-57

+5.5

L 60-64

−8.5

RUTG

W 79-72

+2.5

WIS

L 73-90

−15.5

USC

W 91-72

+13.5

ORE

L 79-85

−7.5

USC

W 83-79

+0.5

WIS

L 82-85

+3.5

covered 20didn’t cover 13avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UAPB

W 94-50

−16.5

DEN

W 84-70

+0.5

BAY

L 69-78

−9.5

WSU

W 81-69

−8.5

SOU

W 99-93

+34.5

NEV

W 83-66

+3.5

COLO

L 68-81

−2.5

UCLA

L 80-82

+20.5

USC

W 84-76

+5.5

SUU

W 105-69

+20.5

SEA

L 66-70

−15.5

USD

W 86-56

−17.5

UTAH

W 74-65

−18.5

L 80-90

+17.5

PUR

L 73-81

−0.5

OSU

W 81-74

−0.5

MICH

L 72-82

−11.5

MSU

L 63-80

−2.5

NEB

L 66-76

−10.5

ORE

W 72-57

−14.5

ILL

L 66-75

−12.5

W 76-62

−8.5

IOWA

L 74-84

+16.5

UCLA

L 73-77

+5.5

PSU

L 60-63

−30.5

MINN

W 69-57

−12.5

L 60-64

−19.5

RUTG

W 79-72

+11.5

WIS

L 73-90

+9.5

USC

W 91-72

+12.5

ORE

L 79-85

+18.5

USC

W 83-79

+7.5

WIS

L 82-85

+9.5

over 15under 18avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Utah

32 games played

Straight up

10-22

31% wins

Against the spread

15-17

47% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-14

56% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2231%

W W W W W L L W L W L W L L L L L W L L L L L L L W L L L L L L

6 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

15-1747%

L L L L L L L W W W L W W L L W W W W W L L W W W W L L L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1456%

O O O O O O U O U O O O U O U O O O U O U U U U U U U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSJSU	W 84-75	-11.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 159
Nov 8	vsWEB	W 92-89	-15.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 181
Nov 10	vsHC	W 87-69	-21.5	L −3.5	155.5	O 156
Nov 15	vsSHSU	W 85-79	-12.5	L −6.5	159.5	O 164
Nov 18	vsPFW	W 85-77	-13.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 162
Nov 20	vsCP	L 85-92	-14.5	L −21.5	167.5	O 177
Nov 25	vsGCU	L 58-68	+5.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 126
Nov 26	vsMISS	W 75-74	+10.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Dec 2	@CAL	L 72-79	+7.5	W +0.5	152.5	U 151
Dec 6	vsCBU	W 91-85	-5.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 176
Dec 13	vsMSST	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 20	vsEWU	W 101-77	-10.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 178
Dec 29	@WASH	L 65-74	+12.5	W +3.5	157.5	U 139
Jan 3	vsARIZ	L 78-97	+17.5	L −1.5	162.5	O 175
Jan 7	@COLO	L 73-85	+9.5	L −2.5	162.5	U 158
Jan 10	vsBYU	L 84-89	+14.5	W +9.5	168.5	O 173
Jan 14	@TTU	L 74-88	+17.5	W +3.5	159.5	O 162
Jan 17	vsTCU	W 82-79	+4.5	W +7.5	154.5	O 161
Jan 20	@KSU	L 78-81	+10.5	W +7.5	168.5	U 159
Jan 24	@BYU	L 78-91	+19.5	W +6.5	168.5	O 169
Jan 31	vsOKST	L 69-81	+1.5	L −10.5	166.5	U 150
Feb 4	vsASU	L 63-71	-1.5	L −9.5	161.5	U 134
Feb 7	@KU	L 59-71	+18.5	W +6.5	150.5	U 130
Feb 10	vsHOU	L 52-66	+16.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 118
Feb 15	@CIN	L 65-69	+12.5	W +8.5	139.5	U 134
Feb 18	@WVU	W 61-56	+10.5	W +15.5	133.5	U 117
Feb 21	vsUCF	L 71-73	+1.5	L −0.5	154.5	U 144
Feb 24	vsISU	L 59-75	+14.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 134
Feb 28	@ASU	L 60-73	+6.5	L −6.5	150.5	U 133
Mar 3	vsCOLO	L 78-92	+1.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 170
Mar 7	@BAY	L 75-101	+13.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 176
Mar 10	vsCIN	L 66-73	+12.5	W +5.5	138.5	O 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

−2.5

WEB

W 92-89

−12.5

W 87-69

−3.5

SHSU

W 85-79

−6.5

PFW

W 85-77

−5.5

L 85-92

−21.5

GCU

L 58-68

−4.5

MISS

W 75-74

+11.5

CAL

L 72-79

+0.5

CBU

W 91-85

+0.5

MSST

L 74-82

−6.5

EWU

W 101-77

+13.5

WASH

L 65-74

+3.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

−1.5

COLO

L 73-85

−2.5

BYU

L 84-89

+9.5

TTU

L 74-88

+3.5

TCU

W 82-79

+7.5

KSU

L 78-81

+7.5

BYU

L 78-91

+6.5

OKST

L 69-81

−10.5

ASU

L 63-71

−9.5

L 59-71

+6.5

HOU

L 52-66

+2.5

CIN

L 65-69

+8.5

WVU

W 61-56

+15.5

UCF

L 71-73

−0.5

ISU

L 59-75

−1.5

ASU

L 60-73

−6.5

COLO

L 78-92

−12.5

BAY

L 75-101

−12.5

CIN

L 66-73

+5.5

covered 15didn’t cover 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

+12.5

WEB

W 92-89

+32.5

W 87-69

+0.5

SHSU

W 85-79

+4.5

PFW

W 85-77

+0.5

L 85-92

+9.5

GCU

L 58-68

−27.5

MISS

W 75-74

+4.5

CAL

L 72-79

−1.5

CBU

W 91-85

+30.5

MSST

L 74-82

+2.5

EWU

W 101-77

+17.5

WASH

L 65-74

−18.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

+12.5

COLO

L 73-85

−4.5

BYU

L 84-89

+4.5

TTU

L 74-88

+2.5

TCU

W 82-79

+6.5

KSU

L 78-81

−9.5

BYU

L 78-91

+0.5

OKST

L 69-81

−16.5

ASU

L 63-71

−27.5

L 59-71

−20.5

HOU

L 52-66

−24.5

CIN

L 65-69

−5.5

WVU

W 61-56

−16.5

UCF

L 71-73

−10.5

ISU

L 59-75

−10.5

ASU

L 60-73

−17.5

COLO

L 78-92

+21.5

BAY

L 75-101

+27.5

CIN

L 66-73

+0.5

over 18under 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Washington has the better starters

Position by position: Washington 2, Utah 1, even 2

WashingtonBetterUtah

G R. Beasley TR13.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.1 ast Score 84

Even

G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85

G W. Yates12.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 68

UTAHSmall

G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97

G L. Watts TR11.8 pts · 6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 87

Even

G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88

G P. Friedrichsen TR10.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76

WASHBig

G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12

G T. Comer TR11 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Score 68

WASHBig

C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28

WashingtonBetterUtah

WASH offense57th of 366 · +2.7

Even

UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9

WASH defense48th of 366 · +2.2

Even

UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7

Backcourt+5.8 · 5 players

Even

Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

No call

Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player

Bench-1.3 · 5 players

Even

Bench-0.7 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestWASH betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Washington

Guards

R. Beasley34 min · TRW. Yates31 minL. Watts27 min · TRP. Friedrichsen26 min · TRT. Comer25 min · TRH. Zrno19 min · TR

Forwards

N. Dzepina11 minJ. Rencher9 minM. TraoreNewW. BragaNew

Centers

L. Sommerville15 min

Utah

Guards

T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min

Forwards

G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew

Centers

M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

WASH77.1 #114

UTAH74.3 #185

Points per possession

WASH1.12 #103

UTAH1.08 #173

Pace (possessions)

WASH68.8 #196

UTAH68.3 #211

Shooting

Effective FG%

WASH51.2 #187

UTAH52.0 #142

3-point %

WASH31.5 #307

UTAH35.3 #98

3-point attempt rate

WASH34.6 #284

UTAH37.5 #222

Free throw rate

WASH30.1 #308

UTAH31.7 #262

Possessions

Turnover rate

WASH15.3 #81

UTAH16.7 #175

Offensive rebound rate

WASH34.6 #56

UTAH29.3 #224

Assists per game

WASH13.9 #152

UTAH13.7 #169

Defense

Points allowed

WASH73.6 #146

UTAH79.1 #302

Points allowed per possession

WASH1.07 #140

UTAH1.16 #337

Opponent effective FG%

WASH50.1 #108

UTAH53.9 #298

Opponent 3-point %

WASH33.6 #163

UTAH35.1 #254

Turnovers forced

WASH14.4 #325

UTAH13.3 #348

Defensive rebound rate

WASH71.5 #84

UTAH68.4 #233

Steals per game

WASH5.7 #271

UTAH5.3 #315

Blocks per game

WASH4.2 #58

UTAH3.4 #160

WASH		UTAH
Scoring
77.1 #114	Points per game	74.3 #185
1.12 #103	Points per possession	1.08 #173
68.8 #196	Pace (possessions)	68.3 #211
Shooting
51.2 #187	Effective FG%	52.0 #142
31.5 #307	3-point %	35.3 #98
34.6 #284	3-point attempt rate	37.5 #222
30.1 #308	Free throw rate	31.7 #262
Possessions
15.3 #81	Turnover rate	16.7 #175
34.6 #56	Offensive rebound rate	29.3 #224
13.9 #152	Assists per game	13.7 #169
Defense
73.6 #146	Points allowed	79.1 #302
1.07 #140	Points allowed per possession	1.16 #337
50.1 #108	Opponent effective FG%	53.9 #298
33.6 #163	Opponent 3-point %	35.1 #254
14.4 #325	Turnovers forced	13.3 #348
71.5 #84	Defensive rebound rate	68.4 #233
5.7 #271	Steals per game	5.3 #315
4.2 #58	Blocks per game	3.4 #160

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Washington

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Wisconsin82–85
Wvs USC83–79
L@ Oregon79–85
Wvs USC91–72
Lvs Wisconsin73–90

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Cincinnati66–73
L@ Baylor75–101
Lvs Colorado78–92
L@ Arizona St60–73
Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.

Washington Huskies at Utah Utes

What could decide it: WASH has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Washington

Utah

Washington has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Washington

Utah