Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Feb 4, 9:00 PM ETJon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah · Conference game

#60ASUArizona St71▲ winner

Final

#73UTAHUtah63final

Closing lineUTAH -1.5✓ ASU covered by 9.5

Closing total161.5Under by 27.5

Season records: Arizona St and Utah
ASU	This season	UTAH
11-11	Record	9-12
13-9	ATS	10-11
13-9	O/U	15-6

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: ASU 82–81 UTAH · ✓ ASU (52%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
ASU	41	30	71
UTAH	25	38	63

1st half: ASU 41, UTAH 25 (ASU by 16). The model had ASU by 0.4 and a total of 76.3 (actual 66).

Team stats

ASU		UTAH
22-57 39%	Field goals	23-59 39%
5-20 25%	3-pointers	9-27 33%
22-25 88%	Free throws	8-13 62%
36 12 off	Rebounds	37 14 off
11	Assists	15
6	Steals	5
4	Blocks	5
6	Turnovers	14
13	Fouls	17
24	Points in paint	26
10	Fast-break points	9

Players

ASU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Massamba Diop C	37	15	8	1	3-11	0-0
Maurice Odum G	35	13	3	3	4-9	3-6
Andrija Grbovic F	35	9	6	1	3-9	1-5
Allen Mukeba F	19	7	7	2	3-7	0-1
Bryce Ford G	15	4	0	0	2-4	0-2
Bench
Noah Meeusen G	32	9	2	2	3-5	0-2
Anthony Johnson G	27	14	6	2	4-12	1-4

Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Adante' Holiman, Dame Salane, Vijay Wallace, Trevor Best, Quentin McCoy, Santiago Trouet, Kash Polk, Marcus Adams Jr.

UTAH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Keanu Dawes F	35	7	11	2	3-6	0-2
Don McHenry G	33	23	3	0	8-17	4-9
Seydou Traore G	32	16	2	3	6-13	4-9
Terrence Brown G	31	6	5	6	2-16	0-4
James Okonkwo F	26	6	14	1	2-2	0-0
Bench
Obomate Abbey G	14	0	0	3	0-2	0-2
Kendyl Sanders F	13	3	0	0	1-2	1-1
Josh Hayes F	12	2	1	0	1-1	0-0
Ibrahima Traore F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jerry Huang G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Alvin Jackson III, Jacob Patrick, Lucas Langarita, Colin McHaney, Babacar Faye

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UTAH -1.5	ASU -0.5	ASU +1.9	W ASU covered
Total	161.5	163.2	Over 1.7	L Under
Projected score	—	ASU 81.8 · UTAH 81.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	ASU -0.4	ASU -16.0
1H total	76.3	66
1H projected score	ASU 38.4 · UTAH 38	ASU 41 · UTAH 25

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ASU LLWWW	13-9	59%	3-3	9-4
UTAH WWWWL	10-11	48%	4-8	2-6

Venue/role: ASU away, as underdog; UTAH home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
ASU OUOUU	13-9	59%	11-11
UTAH OOUOU	15-6	71%	9-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ASU	2-8 20%	5-5 50%	7-3 70%
UTAH	2-8 20%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22

ASU 5–2 UTAHASU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UTAH has won the last 2 meetings · ASU 4-2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 1, 2024-25	ASU 73 @ UTAH 99	UTAH -8.5	UTAH W
Mar 13, 2023-24	ASU 57 vs UTAH 90	UTAH -6.5	UTAH W
Feb 10, 2023-24	ASU 85 @ UTAH 77	UTAH -12.5	ASU W
Jan 4, 2023-24	UTAH 70 @ ASU 82	ASU +5.5	ASU W
Feb 18, 2022-23	UTAH 59 @ ASU 67	ASU -3.5	ASU W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Arizona St

22 games played

Straight up

11-11

50% wins

Against the spread

13-9

59% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-9

59% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

11-1150%

W W L W W W W L W W W L L L L W L L L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-959%

L W W L W W W L W W W L L L L W W L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

13-959%

U U U U O O O O U U O O O O O O O O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsSUU	W 81-64	-17.5	L −0.5	151.5	U 145
Nov 9	vsUTU	W 81-66	-12.5	W +2.5	152.5	U 147
Nov 14	vsGONZ	L 65-77	+13.5	W +1.5	158.5	U 142
Nov 17	vsGAST	W 75-62	-18.5	L −5.5	145.5	U 137
Nov 20	@HAW	W 83-76	+1.5	W +8.5	143.5	O 159
Nov 24	vsTEX	W 87-86	+6.5	W +7.5	153.5	O 173
Nov 25	vsWSU	W 100-94	-4.5	W +1.5	157.5	O 194
Nov 26	vsUSC	L 75-88	+4.5	L −8.5	161.5	O 163
Dec 6	vsOU	W 86-70	+5.5	W +21.5	157.5	U 156
Dec 9	vsNAU	W 73-48	-16.5	W +8.5	154.5	U 121
Dec 13	vsSCU	W 82-79	+1.5	W +4.5	154.5	O 161
Dec 17	@UCLA	L 77-90	+9.5	L −3.5	142.5	O 167
Dec 21	vsORST	L 75-78	-12.5	L −15.5	147.5	O 153
Jan 3	vsCOLO	L 89-95	-1.5	L −7.5	156.5	O 184
Jan 7	@BYU	L 76-104	+17.5	L −10.5	168.5	O 180
Jan 10	vsKSU	W 87-84	-1.5	W +1.5	169.5	O 171
Jan 14	@ARIZ	L 82-89	+21.5	W +14.5	167.5	O 171
Jan 18	@HOU	L 73-103	+18.5	L −11.5	142.5	O 176
Jan 21	vsWVU	L 63-75	-1.5	L −13.5	145.5	U 138
Jan 24	vsCIN	W 82-68	+3.5	W +17.5	146.5	O 150
Jan 27	@UCF	L 76-79	+6.5	W +3.5	161.5	U 155
Jan 31	vsARIZ	L 74-87	+14.5	W +1.5	163.5	U 161

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SUU

W 81-64

−0.5

UTU

W 81-66

+2.5

GONZ

L 65-77

+1.5

GAST

W 75-62

−5.5

HAW

W 83-76

+8.5

TEX

W 87-86

+7.5

WSU

W 100-94

+1.5

USC

L 75-88

−8.5

W 86-70

+21.5

NAU

W 73-48

+8.5

SCU

W 82-79

+4.5

UCLA

L 77-90

−3.5

ORST

L 75-78

−15.5

COLO

L 89-95

−7.5

BYU

L 76-104

−10.5

KSU

W 87-84

+1.5

ARIZ

L 82-89

+14.5

HOU

L 73-103

−11.5

WVU

L 63-75

−13.5

CIN

W 82-68

+17.5

UCF

L 76-79

+3.5

ARIZ

L 74-87

+1.5

covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SUU

W 81-64

−6.5

UTU

W 81-66

−5.5

GONZ

L 65-77

−16.5

GAST

W 75-62

−8.5

HAW

W 83-76

+15.5

TEX

W 87-86

+19.5

WSU

W 100-94

+36.5

USC

L 75-88

+1.5

W 86-70

−1.5

NAU

W 73-48

−33.5

SCU

W 82-79

+6.5

UCLA

L 77-90

+24.5

ORST

L 75-78

+5.5

COLO

L 89-95

+27.5

BYU

L 76-104

+11.5

KSU

W 87-84

+1.5

ARIZ

L 82-89

+3.5

HOU

L 73-103

+33.5

WVU

L 63-75

−7.5

CIN

W 82-68

+3.5

UCF

L 76-79

−6.5

ARIZ

L 74-87

−2.5

over 13under 9avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Utah

21 games played

Straight up

9-12

43% wins

Against the spread

10-11

48% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-6

71% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-1243%

W W W W W L L W L W L W L L L L L W L L L

3 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

10-1148%

L L L L L L L W W W L W W L L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-671%

O O O O O O U O U O O O U O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsSJSU	W 84-75	-11.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 159
Nov 8	vsWEB	W 92-89	-15.5	L −12.5	148.5	O 181
Nov 10	vsHC	W 87-69	-21.5	L −3.5	155.5	O 156
Nov 15	vsSHSU	W 85-79	-12.5	L −6.5	159.5	O 164
Nov 18	vsPFW	W 85-77	-13.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 162
Nov 20	vsCP	L 85-92	-14.5	L −21.5	167.5	O 177
Nov 25	vsGCU	L 58-68	+5.5	L −4.5	153.5	U 126
Nov 26	vsMISS	W 75-74	+10.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 149
Dec 2	@CAL	L 72-79	+7.5	W +0.5	152.5	U 151
Dec 6	vsCBU	W 91-85	-5.5	W +0.5	145.5	O 176
Dec 13	vsMSST	L 74-82	+1.5	L −6.5	153.5	O 156
Dec 20	vsEWU	W 101-77	-10.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 178
Dec 29	@WASH	L 65-74	+12.5	W +3.5	157.5	U 139
Jan 3	vsARIZ	L 78-97	+17.5	L −1.5	162.5	O 175
Jan 7	@COLO	L 73-85	+9.5	L −2.5	162.5	U 158
Jan 10	vsBYU	L 84-89	+14.5	W +9.5	168.5	O 173
Jan 14	@TTU	L 74-88	+17.5	W +3.5	159.5	O 162
Jan 17	vsTCU	W 82-79	+4.5	W +7.5	154.5	O 161
Jan 20	@KSU	L 78-81	+10.5	W +7.5	168.5	U 159
Jan 24	@BYU	L 78-91	+19.5	W +6.5	168.5	O 169
Jan 31	vsOKST	L 69-81	+1.5	L −10.5	166.5	U 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

−2.5

WEB

W 92-89

−12.5

W 87-69

−3.5

SHSU

W 85-79

−6.5

PFW

W 85-77

−5.5

L 85-92

−21.5

GCU

L 58-68

−4.5

MISS

W 75-74

+11.5

CAL

L 72-79

+0.5

CBU

W 91-85

+0.5

MSST

L 74-82

−6.5

EWU

W 101-77

+13.5

WASH

L 65-74

+3.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

−1.5

COLO

L 73-85

−2.5

BYU

L 84-89

+9.5

TTU

L 74-88

+3.5

TCU

W 82-79

+7.5

KSU

L 78-81

+7.5

BYU

L 78-91

+6.5

OKST

L 69-81

−10.5

covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SJSU

W 84-75

+12.5

WEB

W 92-89

+32.5

W 87-69

+0.5

SHSU

W 85-79

+4.5

PFW

W 85-77

+0.5

L 85-92

+9.5

GCU

L 58-68

−27.5

MISS

W 75-74

+4.5

CAL

L 72-79

−1.5

CBU

W 91-85

+30.5

MSST

L 74-82

+2.5

EWU

W 101-77

+17.5

WASH

L 65-74

−18.5

ARIZ

L 78-97

+12.5

COLO

L 73-85

−4.5

BYU

L 84-89

+4.5

TTU

L 74-88

+2.5

TCU

W 82-79

+6.5

KSU

L 78-81

−9.5

BYU

L 78-91

+0.5

OKST

L 69-81

−16.5

over 15under 6avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Arizona St

Utah

Arizona St

Utah