Rupp Arena · at Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
UK -8.5✓ UK covered by 7.5
Closing total152.5Over by 19.5
| This season | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 15-7 |
| 7-15 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 74–84 UK · ✓ UK (81%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| UK | 43 | 51 | 94 |
1st half: OU 32, UK 43 (UK by 11). The model had UK by 5.7 and a total of 73.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| OU | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 12-26 46% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 31 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| Tae Davis F | 29 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Nijel Pack G | 26 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Derrion Reid F | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 24 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dayton Forsythe G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kuol Atak F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jadon Jones, Alec Blair, Kai Rogers, Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 35 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Collin Chandler G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Garrison F | 29 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Mo Dioubate F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Trent Noah F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Walker Horn, Jayden Quaintance, Reece Potter, Braydon Hawthorne, Kam Williams, Zach Tow, Jaland Lowe
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUK -8.5
no move
CloseUK -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
OU +360 · UK -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UK -8.5 · unchangedmodel UK -10
model UK -10
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UK -8.5 | UK -9.8 | UK +1.3 | W UK covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 157.5 | Over 5.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | OU 73.8 · UK 83.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UK -5.7 | UK -11.0 |
| 1H total | 73.7 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | OU 34 · UK 39.7 | OU 32 · UK 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | |
| 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 0–2 UKUK leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UK has won the last 2 meetings · OU 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | OU 84 vs UK 85 | UK -6.5 | OU W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | UK 83 @ OU 82 | OU +3.5 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vs | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 69-79 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SFPA
W 102-66
+4.5
8
@
GONZ
L 68-83
−4.5
11
vs
UAPB
W 95-69
−10.5
15
vs
NEB
L 99-105
−4.5
20
vs
ORU
W 95-71
−0.5
23
vs
ALCN
W 72-53
−12.5
28
vs
MARQ
W 75-74
−0.5
2
@
WAKE
W 86-68
+22.5
6
vs
ASU
L 70-86
−21.5
13
vs
OKST
W 85-76
+6.5
16
vs
KC
W 89-67
−8.5
22
vs
STET
W 107-54
+21.5
29
vs
MVSU
W 93-69
−20.5
3
vs
MISS
W 86-70
+9.5
7
@
MSST
L 53-72
−17.5
10
@
TA&M
L 76-83
−2.5
13
vs
FLA
L 79-96
−9.5
17
vs
ALA
L 81-83
+3.5
20
@
SC
L 76-85
−11.5
24
@
MIZ
L 87-88
+3.5
27
vs
ARK
L 79-83
−0.5
31
vs
TEX
L 69-79
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SFPA
W 102-66
+18.5
8
@
GONZ
L 68-83
−15.5
11
vs
UAPB
W 95-69
−4.5
15
vs
NEB
L 99-105
+40.5
20
vs
ORU
W 95-71
−0.5
23
vs
ALCN
W 72-53
−35.5
28
vs
MARQ
W 75-74
−13.5
2
@
WAKE
W 86-68
−5.5
6
vs
ASU
L 70-86
−1.5
13
vs
OKST
W 85-76
−8.5
16
vs
KC
W 89-67
+2.5
22
vs
STET
W 107-54
+12.5
29
vs
MVSU
W 93-69
+8.5
3
vs
MISS
W 86-70
+9.5
7
@
MSST
L 53-72
−33.5
10
@
TA&M
L 76-83
−6.5
13
vs
FLA
L 79-96
+17.5
17
vs
ALA
L 81-83
−13.5
20
@
SC
L 76-85
+10.5
24
@
MIZ
L 87-88
+23.5
27
vs
ARK
L 79-83
−5.5
31
vs
TEX
L 69-79
−7.5
over 9under 13avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kentucky
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 85-80 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 72-63 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 55-80 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 85-77 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
NICH
W 77-51
−5.5
7
vs
VAL
W 107-59
+15.5
11
@
LOU
L 88-96
−2.5
14
vs
EIU
W 99-53
+10.5
18
vs
MSU
L 66-83
−20.5
21
vs
L-MD
W 88-46
+6.5
26
vs
TNTC
W 104-54
+12.5
2
vs
UNC
L 64-67
−10.5
5
vs
GONZ
L 59-94
−29.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 103-67
−6.5
13
vs
IU
W 72-60
+8.5
20
vs
SJU
W 78-66
+10.5
23
vs
BELL
W 99-85
−20.5
3
@
ALA
L 74-89
−9.5
7
vs
MIZ
L 68-73
−17.5
10
vs
MSST
W 92-68
+13.5
14
@
LSU
W 75-74
−2.5
17
@
TENN
W 80-78
+8.5
21
vs
TEX
W 85-80
−2.5
24
vs
MISS
W 72-63
−2.5
27
@
VAN
L 55-80
−19.5
31
@
ARK
W 85-77
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
NICH
W 77-51
−29.5
7
vs
VAL
W 107-59
+8.5
11
@
LOU
L 88-96
+10.5
14
vs
EIU
W 99-53
+4.5
18
vs
MSU
L 66-83
−3.5
21
vs
L-MD
W 88-46
−25.5
26
vs
TNTC
W 104-54
+0.5
2
vs
UNC
L 64-67
−32.5
5
vs
GONZ
L 59-94
−6.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 103-67
+21.5
13
vs
IU
W 72-60
−24.5
20
vs
SJU
W 78-66
−10.5
23
vs
BELL
W 99-85
+31.5
3
@
ALA
L 74-89
−10.5
7
vs
MIZ
L 68-73
−9.5
10
vs
MSST
W 92-68
+7.5
14
@
LSU
W 75-74
−2.5
17
@
TENN
W 80-78
+12.5
21
vs
TEX
W 85-80
+12.5
24
vs
MISS
W 72-63
−10.5
27
@
VAN
L 55-80
−20.5
31
@
ARK
W 85-77
+2.5
over 10under 12avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
11-11 overall · 1-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas69–79
- Lvs Arkansas79–83
- L@ Missouri87–88
- L@ South Carolina76–85
- Lvs Alabama81–83
4 days since their last game.
Kentucky
15-7 overall · 6-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Arkansas85–77
- L@ Vanderbilt55–80
- Wvs Ole Miss72–63
- Wvs Texas85–80
- W@ Tennessee80–78
4 days since their last game.