Lahaina Civic Center · Neutral site
#56WASHWashington
vs
#24BYUBYU AP #25
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Washington and BYU
WASHThis seasonBYU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BYU 80–75 · win probability BYU 67%
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 154.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BYU has more of the edges

WASH 0, BYU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BYUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WASH 30.1, BYU 34.4. Allowed: WASH 31.0, BYU 28.9
BYUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WASH 15.3%, BYU 15.2%. Forced: WASH 14.4%, BYU 16.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WASH plays 68.8 a game (196th fastest), BYU 70.6 (90th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WASH 51.2 and allows 50.1; BYU 54.4 and allows 51.2
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WASH 34.6%, BYU 34.3%. Defensive: WASH 71.5%, BYU 70.3%
Context
Schedule so far
WASH has played the 46th-hardest schedule, BYU the 14th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Three-pointers
WASH hits 31.5% and allows 33.6%; BYU hits 34.5% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 34.6% and 39.8% of their shots
Even
BYU offense vs WASH defense
Offense 24th of 366 against a defense 48th, on the model’s ratings
Even
WASH offense vs BYU defense
Offense 57th of 366 against a defense 33rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WASH 34%, BYU 35%. Transfers in: WASH 6, BYU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BYU -5.1—
Total—154.4—
Projected score—WASH 74.7 · BYU 79.8

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadBYU -2.9—
1H total72.2—
1H projected scoreWASH 34.6 · BYU 37.5—

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Washington 1, BYU 1, even 3
WashingtonBetterBYU
G R. Beasley TR13.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.1 ast Score 84
Even
G R. Wright18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 97
G W. Yates12.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 68
BYUSmall
G C. Chandler TR9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast Score 84
G L. Watts TR11.8 pts · 6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 87
Even
F J. Kohler TR12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 96
G P. Friedrichsen TR10.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
WASHSmall
F J. Wahlin TR5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
G T. Comer TR11 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Score 68
No call
F D. Baker7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
WashingtonBetterBYU
WASH offense57th of 366 · +2.7
Even
BYU defense33rd of 366 · +3.5
WASH defense48th of 366 · +2.2
Even
BYU offense24th of 366 · +7.2
Backcourt+5.8 · 5 players
BYUSmall
Backcourt+6.9 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+4.5 · 3 players
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWASH betterBYU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Washington
Guards
R. Beasley34 min · TRW. Yates31 minL. Watts27 min · TRP. Friedrichsen26 min · TRT. Comer25 min · TRH. Zrno19 min · TR
Forwards
N. Dzepina11 minJ. Rencher9 minM. TraoreNewW. BragaNew
Centers
L. Sommerville15 min
BYU
Guards
R. Wright35 minC. Chandler27 min · TRN. PickensNew
Forwards
J. Kohler28 min · TRJ. Wahlin21 min · TRD. Baker20 minT. Betsey18 min · TRK. Mboup16 minB. KozlowskiNew
Centers
A. Stewart1 min · TRP. OstojicNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WASHBYU
Scoring
77.1 #114Points per game83.5 #22
1.12 #103Points per possession1.18 #32
68.8 #196Pace (possessions)70.6 #90
Shooting
51.2 #187Effective FG%54.4 #54
31.5 #3073-point %34.5 #145
34.6 #2843-point attempt rate39.8 #177
30.1 #308Free throw rate34.4 #198
Possessions
15.3 #81Turnover rate15.2 #78
34.6 #56Offensive rebound rate34.3 #61
13.9 #152Assists per game13.3 #192
Defense
73.6 #146Points allowed75.4 #202
1.07 #140Points allowed per possession1.07 #133
50.1 #108Opponent effective FG%51.2 #174
33.6 #163Opponent 3-point %35.3 #269
14.4 #325Turnovers forced16.4 #194
71.5 #84Defensive rebound rate70.3 #145
5.7 #271Steals per game7.2 #109
4.2 #58Blocks per game4.4 #40

Washington

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wisconsin82–85
  • Wvs USC83–79
  • L@ Oregon79–85
  • Wvs USC91–72
  • Lvs Wisconsin73–90

A week or more of rest.

BYU

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas71–79
  • Lvs Houston66–73
  • Wvs West Virginia68–48
  • Wvs Kansas St105–91
  • Wvs Texas Tech82–76

A week or more of rest.