1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. UMES @ YSU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Youngstown State Penguins

Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St
#364UMESMD Eastern
@
#265YSUYoungstown St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UMESThis seasonYSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects YSU 78–64 · win probability YSU 89%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: YSU has more of the edges

UMES 0, YSU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
YSUSmall
UMES offense vs YSU defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 264th, on the model’s ratings
YSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, YSU 31.4. Allowed: UMES 43.0, YSU 36.0
YSUSmall
YSU offense vs UMES defense
Offense 267th of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
YSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; YSU 53.6 and allows 52.3
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), YSU 68.9 (188th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, YSU the 304th. A record against a soft schedule means less
YSUSmall
Home court
YSU at home. This season: YSU 0-0 at home, UMES 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, YSU 30.4%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, YSU 69.3%
Even
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; YSU hits 33.8% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 33.5% and 49.4% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, YSU 18.8%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, YSU 17.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, YSU 8%. Transfers in: UMES 1, YSU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—YSU -14.2—
Total—141.2—
Projected score—UMES 63.5 · YSU 77.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadYSU -8.3—
1H total66.1—
1H projected scoreUMES 28.9 · YSU 37.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Youngstown St has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, Youngstown St 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterYoungstown St
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G L. Holmstrom TR10.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 30
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
YSUSmall
G J. Haynes3.9 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 16
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Tyler TR4.3 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.4 ast Score 18
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G J. Nwankwo TR3 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 28
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Coleman TR3.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 5
MD EasternBetterYoungstown St
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
YSUSmall
YSU defense264th of 366 · -6.8
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
YSUSmall
YSU offense267th of 366 · -8.1
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
YSUSmall
Frontcourt-1.8 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestUMES betterYSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
Youngstown St
Guards
L. Holmstrom27 min · TRJ. Haynes15 minJ. Tyler13 min · TRJ. Nwankwo12 min · TRD. Aekins7 min · TRJ. LivingstonNew
Forwards
J. Coleman13 min · TRJ. Moupadele12 min · TRL. LokhmanchukNewE. Summers-LivingstonNew
Centers
K. AmoakoNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESYSU
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game75.1 #162
0.94 #358Points per possession1.09 #160
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)68.9 #188
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%53.6 #76
29.0 #3543-point %33.8 #184
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate49.4 #17
29.4 #321Free throw rate31.4 #272
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate18.8 #314
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate30.4 #182
13.0 #213Assists per game14.0 #144
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed74.9 #185
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.09 #190
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%52.3 #228
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %35.5 #280
18.0 #95Turnovers forced17.8 #106
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate69.3 #191
5.7 #274Steals per game6.7 #151
2.5 #302Blocks per game3.5 #146
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

Youngstown St

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Robert Morris53–68
  • L@ Green Bay63–85
  • L@ Milwaukee65–78
  • Wvs N Kentucky64–58
  • Wvs Cleveland St106–82

A week or more of rest.