1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 19
  3. UTU @ WASH
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 19

Utah Tech Trailblazers at Washington Huskies

Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington
#268UTUUtah Tech
@
#56WASHWashington
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTUThis seasonWASH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WASH 86–64 · win probability WASH 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.2
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WASH has more of the edges

UTU 1, WASH 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WASHBig
WASH offense vs UTU defense
Offense 57th of 366 against a defense 295th, on the model’s ratings
WASHBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTU 28.1%, WASH 34.6%. Defensive: UTU 65.5%, WASH 71.5%
WASHBig
UTU offense vs WASH defense
Offense 251st of 366 against a defense 48th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
UTU has played the 210th-hardest schedule, WASH the 46th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTUBig
Three-pointers
UTU hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%; WASH hits 31.5% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 38.2% and 34.6% of their shots
WASHSmall
Home court
WASH at home. This season: WASH 0-0 at home, UTU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: UTU plays 69.9 a game (124th fastest), WASH 68.8 (196th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTU 53.3 and allows 50.9; WASH 51.2 and allows 50.1
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTU 24%, WASH 34%. Transfers in: UTU 3, WASH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTU 30.6, WASH 30.1. Allowed: UTU 33.0, WASH 31.0
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTU 17.8%, WASH 15.3%. Forced: UTU 16.8%, WASH 14.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WASH -22.3—
Total—150.2—
Projected score—UTU 64 · WASH 86.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWASH -13.1—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreUTU 28.6 · WASH 41.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Washington has the better starters

Position by position: Utah Tech 1, Washington 4, even 0
Utah TechBetterWashington
G R. Sunderland TR4.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 4
WASHBig
G R. Beasley TR13.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.1 ast Score 84
G A. Dupre TR3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 1
WASHBig
G W. Yates12.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 68
G M. Brown TR3 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 6
WASHBig
G L. Watts TR11.8 pts · 6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 87
F E. Potter17.1 pts · 7.9 reb · 2 ast Score 94
UTUSmall
G P. Friedrichsen TR10.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 76
F S. Ariyibi2.4 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
WASHBig
G T. Comer TR11 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Score 68
Utah TechBetterWashington
UTU offense251st of 366 · -7.6
WASHBig
WASH defense48th of 366 · +2.2
UTU defense295th of 366 · -7.4
WASHBig
WASH offense57th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-8.4 · 3 players
WASHBig
Backcourt+5.8 · 5 players
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
No call
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
Bench-0.3 · 3 players
UTUSmall
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestUTU betterWASH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Utah Tech
Guards
R. Sunderland27 min · TRA. Dupre16 min · TRM. Brown14 min · TRB. Harker3 minP. Vandermyde1 minP. RagkosNew
Forwards
E. Potter32 minS. Ariyibi10 minD. Grant2 minJ. ClarkNew
Centers
K. LemkeNew
Washington
Guards
R. Beasley34 min · TRW. Yates31 minL. Watts27 min · TRP. Friedrichsen26 min · TRT. Comer25 min · TRH. Zrno19 min · TR
Forwards
N. Dzepina11 minJ. Rencher9 minM. TraoreNewW. BragaNew
Centers
L. Sommerville15 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTUWASH
Scoring
74.7 #171Points per game77.1 #114
1.08 #193Points per possession1.12 #103
69.9 #124Pace (possessions)68.8 #196
Shooting
53.3 #90Effective FG%51.2 #187
35.0 #1133-point %31.5 #307
38.2 #2073-point attempt rate34.6 #284
30.6 #290Free throw rate30.1 #308
Possessions
17.8 #256Turnover rate15.3 #81
28.1 #261Offensive rebound rate34.6 #56
14.4 #121Assists per game13.9 #152
Defense
77.0 #243Points allowed73.6 #146
1.09 #211Points allowed per possession1.07 #140
50.9 #151Opponent effective FG%50.1 #108
30.7 #29Opponent 3-point %33.6 #163
16.8 #166Turnovers forced14.4 #325
65.5 #326Defensive rebound rate71.5 #84
6.9 #135Steals per game5.7 #271
3.0 #216Blocks per game4.2 #58
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Utah Tech

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs CA Baptist72–86
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn80–74
  • Lvs Utah Valley101–104
  • L@ Southern Utah67–81
  • Wvs Abilene Chrstn85–81

A week or more of rest.

Washington

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-14 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wisconsin82–85
  • Wvs USC83–79
  • L@ Oregon79–85
  • Wvs USC91–72
  • Lvs Wisconsin73–90

A week or more of rest.