Delaware State Hornets at Georgetown Hoyas: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM ETCapital One Arena · at Georgetown

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Delaware St and Georgetown
DSU	This season	GTWN
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GTWN 86–55 · win probability GTWN 100%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GTWN has more of the edges

DSU 0, GTWN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

GTWNBig

DSU offense vs GTWN defense

Offense 354th of 366 against a defense 46th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

DSU has played the 354th-hardest schedule, GTWN the 47th. A record against a soft schedule means less

GTWNBig

GTWN offense vs DSU defense

Offense 75th of 366 against a defense 307th, on the model’s ratings

GTWNBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: DSU 42.9 and allows 52.9; GTWN 49.6 and allows 50.0

GTWNBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: DSU 34.1, GTWN 37.3. Allowed: DSU 40.5, GTWN 33.9

GTWNSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: DSU 27.7%, GTWN 32.5%. Defensive: DSU 68.0%, GTWN 68.5%

GTWNSmall

Home court

GTWN at home. This season: GTWN 0-0 at home, DSU 0-0 away

Even

Three-pointers

DSU hits 28.4% and allows 33.0%; GTWN hits 31.8% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 28.9% and 35.2% of their shots

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: DSU plays 66.7 a game (290th fastest), GTWN 67.8 (238th). Faster games mean more points

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: DSU 19.8%, GTWN 15.8%. Forced: DSU 19.6%, GTWN 16.2%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: DSU 41%, GTWN 38%. Transfers in: DSU 1, GTWN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	GTWN -31.3	—
Total	—	141.3	—
Projected score	—	DSU 55 · GTWN 86.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	GTWN -18.5	—
1H total	66.2	—
1H projected score	DSU 23.8 · GTWN 42.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DSU LLWWL	9-18	33%	4-12	—
GTWN WLWWL	14-20	41%	4-13	—

Venue/role: DSU away; GTWN home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
DSU UUUOU	8-19	30%	5-22
GTWN UOUOU	18-16	53%	16-18

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DSU	2-8 20%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%
GTWN	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Delaware St

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 14	@ ECU	L50–79LU
Nov 20	vs NIA	L57–68LU
Nov 24	@ UTC	No recent meeting

Georgetown

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 13	@ CLEM	W79–74WO
Nov 18	vs NAVY	No recent meeting
Nov 21	vs COPP	W97–67LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Delaware St

27 games played

Straight up

5-22

19% wins

Against the spread

9-18

33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

8-19

30% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2219%

L L L L L L L W W L L L L L L L W L L L L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

9-1833%

L L L L L L W W W W W L W L L L W L L L L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

8-1930%

U U U U U U U O O U U U U O O U U U O U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	@TEM	L 65-83	+16.5	L −1.5	154.5	U 148
Nov 8	@SYR	L 43-83	+26.5	L −13.5	157.5	U 126
Nov 10	@NIA	L 57-68	+5.5	L −5.5	137.5	U 125
Nov 15	@NHVN	L 52-65	+1.5	L −11.5	130.5	U 117
Nov 23	@MIA	L 41-97	+34.5	L −21.5	151.5	U 138
Nov 29	@UMBC	L 57-71	+13.5	L −0.5	138.5	U 128
Dec 3	vsNAVY	L 59-66	+15.5	W +8.5	132.5	U 125
Dec 6	vsDEL	W 75-72	+7.5	W +10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 13	@LONG	W 81-76	+13.5	W +18.5	139.5	O 157
Dec 18	@JOES	L 51-67	+17.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 118
Dec 29	@RUTG	L 50-65	+20.5	W +5.5	135.5	U 115
Jan 3	vsCOPP	L 51-53	-8.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 104
Jan 10	vsNORF	L 64-66	+4.5	W +2.5	132.5	U 130
Jan 12	@HOW	L 58-84	+8.5	L −17.5	129.5	O 142
Jan 17	vsMORG	L 79-80	-3.5	L −4.5	136.5	O 159
Jan 26	@SCST	L 64-70	+1.5	L −4.5	135.5	U 134
Jan 31	vsUMES	W 65-57	+2.5	W +10.5	128.5	U 122
Feb 7	@COPP	L 47-65	-1.5	L −19.5	132.5	U 112
Feb 9	@NCCU	L 63-72	+7.5	L −1.5	134.5	O 135
Feb 14	@NORF	L 58-75	+9.5	L −7.5	134.5	U 133
Feb 16	vsHOW	L 59-91	+11.5	L −20.5	131.5	O 150
Feb 21	@MORG	L 68-82	+5.5	L −8.5	143.5	O 150
Feb 28	vsNCCU	L 60-74	+2.5	L −11.5	135.5	U 134
Mar 2	vsSCST	L 59-61	-3.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 120
Mar 5	@UMES	W 57-56	+5.5	W +6.5	124.5	U 113
Mar 11	vsMORG	W 75-70	+3.5	W +8.5	142.5	O 145
Mar 13	vsNCCU	L 53-59	+3.5	L −2.5	131.5	U 112

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TEM

L 65-83

−1.5

SYR

L 43-83

−13.5

NIA

L 57-68

−5.5

NHVN

L 52-65

−11.5

MIA

L 41-97

−21.5

UMBC

L 57-71

−0.5

NAVY

L 59-66

+8.5

DEL

W 75-72

+10.5

LONG

W 81-76

+18.5

JOES

L 51-67

+1.5

RUTG

L 50-65

+5.5

COPP

L 51-53

−10.5

NORF

L 64-66

+2.5

HOW

L 58-84

−17.5

MORG

L 79-80

−4.5

SCST

L 64-70

−4.5

UMES

W 65-57

+10.5

COPP

L 47-65

−19.5

NCCU

L 63-72

−1.5

NORF

L 58-75

−7.5

HOW

L 59-91

−20.5

MORG

L 68-82

−8.5

NCCU

L 60-74

−11.5

SCST

L 59-61

−5.5

UMES

W 57-56

+6.5

MORG

W 75-70

+8.5

NCCU

L 53-59

−2.5

covered 9didn’t cover 18avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TEM

L 65-83

−6.5

SYR

L 43-83

−31.5

NIA

L 57-68

−12.5

NHVN

L 52-65

−13.5

MIA

L 41-97

−13.5

UMBC

L 57-71

−10.5

NAVY

L 59-66

−7.5

DEL

W 75-72

+17.5

LONG

W 81-76

+17.5

JOES

L 51-67

−19.5

RUTG

L 50-65

−20.5

COPP

L 51-53

−35.5

NORF

L 64-66

−2.5

HOW

L 58-84

+12.5

MORG

L 79-80

+22.5

SCST

L 64-70

−1.5

UMES

W 65-57

−6.5

COPP

L 47-65

−20.5

NCCU

L 63-72

+0.5

NORF

L 58-75

−1.5

HOW

L 59-91

+18.5

MORG

L 68-82

+6.5

NCCU

L 60-74

−1.5

SCST

L 59-61

−14.5

UMES

W 57-56

−11.5

MORG

W 75-70

+2.5

NCCU

L 53-59

−19.5

over 8under 19avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Georgetown

34 games played

Straight up

16-18

47% wins

Against the spread

14-20

41% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-16

53% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1847%

W W W W W L L W L W W L W L L L L L L W W W W L L L L L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-2041%

L W L W L L L L L L W L L L L L W W L W W W W L W L W L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1653%

O U O O O O U O U O U O O O U O O U U U U U U O O O U U O U O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsMORG	W 87-70	-27.5	L −10.5	154.5	O 157
Nov 7	@MD	W 70-60	+4.5	W +14.5	144.5	U 130
Nov 12	vsBING	W 83-70	-27.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsCLEM	W 79-74	+1.5	W +6.5	142.5	O 153
Nov 22	vsWAG	W 92-75	-25.5	L −8.5	140.5	O 167
Nov 27	vsDAY	L 79-84	+1.5	L −3.5	145.5	O 163
Nov 28	vsMIA	L 65-78	+5.5	L −7.5	151.5	U 143
Dec 3	vsUMBC	W 90-81	-19.5	L −10.5	149.5	O 171
Dec 7	@UNC	L 61-81	+10.5	L −9.5	149.5	U 142
Dec 13	vsSPU	W 76-68	-20.5	L −12.5	140.5	O 144
Dec 17	@MARQ	W 78-69	+6.5	W +15.5	149.5	U 147
Dec 20	vsXAV	L 77-80	-4.5	L −7.5	149.5	O 157
Dec 22	vsCOPP	W 97-67	-33.5	L −3.5	150.5	O 164
Dec 31	vsSJU	L 83-95	+8.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 178
Jan 6	@DEP	L 50-56	+2.5	L −3.5	144.5	U 106
Jan 10	vsHALL	L 67-76	+1.5	L −7.5	137.5	O 143
Jan 13	@CREI	L 83-86	+8.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 169
Jan 17	vsCONN	L 62-64	+11.5	W +9.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 21	@VILL	L 51-66	+8.5	L −6.5	142.5	U 117
Jan 24	@PROV	W 81-78	+5.5	W +8.5	159.5	U 159
Jan 28	vsDEP	W 70-61	-3.5	W +5.5	139.5	U 131
Jan 31	@BTLR	W 77-64	+5.5	W +18.5	149.5	U 141
Feb 4	vsCREI	W 76-68	-1.5	W +6.5	146.5	U 144
Feb 7	vsVILL	L 73-80	+2.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 153
Feb 14	@CONN	L 75-79	+16.5	W +12.5	138.5	O 154
Feb 18	vsBTLR	L 89-93	-6.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 182
Feb 21	@HALL	L 47-51	+6.5	W +2.5	136.5	U 98
Feb 24	vsMARQ	L 60-76	-2.5	L −18.5	150.5	U 136
Feb 28	@XAV	L 84-91	+4.5	L −2.5	155.5	O 175
Mar 3	@SJU	L 69-72	+15.5	W +12.5	148.5	U 141
Mar 7	vsPROV	W 80-79	-1.5	L −0.5	158.5	O 159
Mar 11	vsDEP	W 63-56	-1.5	W +5.5	136.5	U 119
Mar 12	vsVILL	W 78-64	+7.5	W +21.5	140.5	O 142
Mar 13	vsCONN	L 51-67	+14.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

−10.5

W 70-60

+14.5

BING

W 83-70

−14.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+6.5

WAG

W 92-75

−8.5

DAY

L 79-84

−3.5

MIA

L 65-78

−7.5

UMBC

W 90-81

−10.5

UNC

L 61-81

−9.5

SPU

W 76-68

−12.5

MARQ

W 78-69

+15.5

XAV

L 77-80

−7.5

COPP

W 97-67

−3.5

SJU

L 83-95

−3.5

DEP

L 50-56

−3.5

HALL

L 67-76

−7.5

CREI

L 83-86

+5.5

CONN

L 62-64

+9.5

VILL

L 51-66

−6.5

PROV

W 81-78

+8.5

DEP

W 70-61

+5.5

BTLR

W 77-64

+18.5

CREI

W 76-68

+6.5

VILL

L 73-80

−4.5

CONN

L 75-79

+12.5

BTLR

L 89-93

−10.5

HALL

L 47-51

+2.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−18.5

XAV

L 84-91

−2.5

SJU

L 69-72

+12.5

PROV

W 80-79

−0.5

DEP

W 63-56

+5.5

VILL

W 78-64

+21.5

CONN

L 51-67

−1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 20avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MORG

W 87-70

+2.5

W 70-60

−14.5

BING

W 83-70

+11.5

CLEM

W 79-74

+10.5

WAG

W 92-75

+26.5

DAY

L 79-84

+17.5

MIA

L 65-78

−8.5

UMBC

W 90-81

+21.5

UNC

L 61-81

−7.5

SPU

W 76-68

+3.5

MARQ

W 78-69

−2.5

XAV

L 77-80

+7.5

COPP

W 97-67

+13.5

SJU

L 83-95

+25.5

DEP

L 50-56

−38.5

HALL

L 67-76

+5.5

CREI

L 83-86

+21.5

CONN

L 62-64

−15.5

VILL

L 51-66

−25.5

PROV

W 81-78

−0.5

DEP

W 70-61

−8.5

BTLR

W 77-64

−8.5

CREI

W 76-68

−2.5

VILL

L 73-80

+12.5

CONN

L 75-79

+15.5

BTLR

L 89-93

+34.5

HALL

L 47-51

−38.5

MARQ

L 60-76

−14.5

XAV

L 84-91

+19.5

SJU

L 69-72

−7.5

PROV

W 80-79

+0.5

DEP

W 63-56

−17.5

VILL

W 78-64

+1.5

CONN

L 51-67

−20.5

over 18under 16avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Georgetown has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware St 0, Georgetown 5, even 0

Delaware StBetterGeorgetown

G R. Moore6.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast Score 33

GTWNBig

G V. Miller TR10.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 74

G N. Muhammad TR7.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35

GTWNSmall

F C. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 57

G J. St Clair3.7 pts · 0.9 reb · 1 ast Score 14

GTWNBig

F J. Parker TR9.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 79

G D. Shepherd4.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 58

GTWNSmall

C V. Iwuchukwu11.6 pts · 6.1 reb · 0.5 ast Score 89

F A. Santos6.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20

GTWNBig

C C. Machot TR8.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 78

Delaware StBetterGeorgetown

DSU offense354th of 366 · -13.2

GTWNBig

GTWN defense46th of 366 · +2.3

DSU defense307th of 366 · -7.9

GTWNBig

GTWN offense75th of 366 · +1.3

Backcourt-4.0 · 4 players

GTWNBig

Backcourt+0.7 · 1 player

Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player

GTWNBig

Frontcourt+6.5 · 4 players

Bench-2.0 · 1 player

GTWNBig

Bench+1.4 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestDSU betterGTWN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Delaware St

Guards

R. Moore22 minN. Muhammad18 min · TRJ. St Clair15 minD. Shepherd13 minN. ReedusNewI. SullivanNew

Forwards

A. Santos20 minM. Adamu13 minT. HawkinsNewG. EkukwaiNewJ. ObioraNewF. MuntariNew

Georgetown

Guards

V. Miller26 min · TRJ. Lowe19 min · TRE. Jackson18 min · TRK. Mulready17 minM. Moses1 minM. Van Raaphorst1 min

Forwards

C. Williams30 minJ. Parker22 min · TRJ. CaldwellNewP. PastreNew

Centers

V. Iwuchukwu23 minC. Machot20 min · TRS. Diouf4 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

DSU59.7 #365

GTWN73.6 #215

Points per possession

DSU0.89 #365

GTWN1.09 #165

Pace (possessions)

DSU66.7 #290

GTWN67.8 #238

Shooting

Effective FG%

DSU42.9 #364

GTWN49.6 #257

3-point %

DSU28.4 #361

GTWN31.8 #285

3-point attempt rate

DSU28.9 #357

GTWN35.2 #271

Free throw rate

DSU34.1 #204

GTWN37.3 #121

Possessions

Turnover rate

DSU19.8 #346

GTWN15.8 #120

Offensive rebound rate

DSU27.7 #277

GTWN32.5 #107

Assists per game

DSU9.7 #361

GTWN14.8 #101

Defense

Points allowed

DSU71.4 #89

GTWN72.9 #130

Points allowed per possession

DSU1.07 #143

GTWN1.08 #147

Opponent effective FG%

DSU52.9 #265

GTWN50.0 #96

Opponent 3-point %

DSU33.0 #123

GTWN33.3 #139

Turnovers forced

DSU19.6 #32

GTWN16.2 #211

Defensive rebound rate

DSU68.0 #257

GTWN68.5 #228

Steals per game

DSU7.6 #73

GTWN6.5 #182

Blocks per game

DSU1.8 #353

GTWN3.6 #130

DSU		GTWN
Scoring
59.7 #365	Points per game	73.6 #215
0.89 #365	Points per possession	1.09 #165
66.7 #290	Pace (possessions)	67.8 #238
Shooting
42.9 #364	Effective FG%	49.6 #257
28.4 #361	3-point %	31.8 #285
28.9 #357	3-point attempt rate	35.2 #271
34.1 #204	Free throw rate	37.3 #121
Possessions
19.8 #346	Turnover rate	15.8 #120
27.7 #277	Offensive rebound rate	32.5 #107
9.7 #361	Assists per game	14.8 #101
Defense
71.4 #89	Points allowed	72.9 #130
1.07 #143	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #147
52.9 #265	Opponent effective FG%	50.0 #96
33.0 #123	Opponent 3-point %	33.3 #139
19.6 #32	Turnovers forced	16.2 #211
68.0 #257	Defensive rebound rate	68.5 #228
7.6 #73	Steals per game	6.5 #182
1.8 #353	Blocks per game	3.6 #130

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware St

5-22 in 2025-26 overall · 3-13 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs NC Central53–59
Wvs Morgan St75–70
W@ MD Eastern57–56
Lvs SC State59–61
Lvs NC Central60–74

A week or more of rest.

Georgetown

16-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UConn51–67
Wvs Villanova78–64
Wvs DePaul63–56
Wvs Providence80–79
L@ St John's69–72

A week or more of rest.

Delaware State Hornets at Georgetown Hoyas

What could decide it: GTWN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Delaware St

Georgetown

Georgetown has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Delaware St

Georgetown