1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 24
  3. DSU @ UTC
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 24

Delaware State Hornets at Chattanooga Mocs

McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga
#351DSUDelaware St
@
#226UTCChattanooga
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DSUThis seasonUTC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTC 78–65 · win probability UTC 87%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 143.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTC has more of the edges

DSU 1, UTC 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTCBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: DSU 42.9 and allows 52.9; UTC 54.2 and allows 51.7
UTCBig
UTC offense vs DSU defense
Offense 193rd of 366 against a defense 307th, on the model’s ratings
UTCSmall
Three-pointers
DSU hits 28.4% and allows 33.0%; UTC hits 35.0% and allows 34.2%. Threes are 28.9% and 49.2% of their shots
UTCSmall
DSU offense vs UTC defense
Offense 354th of 366 against a defense 270th, on the model’s ratings
DSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: DSU 34.1, UTC 29.7. Allowed: DSU 40.5, UTC 42.6
UTCSmall
Home court
UTC at home. This season: UTC 0-0 at home, DSU 0-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
DSU has played the 354th-hardest schedule, UTC the 306th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DSU 27.7%, UTC 21.8%. Defensive: DSU 68.0%, UTC 68.3%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: DSU plays 66.7 a game (290th fastest), UTC 67.6 (249th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DSU 41%, UTC 32%. Transfers in: DSU 1, UTC 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DSU 19.8%, UTC 14.5%. Forced: DSU 19.6%, UTC 13.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTC -12.9—
Total—143.3—
Projected score—DSU 65.2 · UTC 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTC -7.6—
1H total67.1—
1H projected scoreDSU 29.8 · UTC 37.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Chattanooga has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware St 1, Chattanooga 2, even 2
Delaware StBetterChattanooga
G R. Moore6.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast Score 33
UTCSmall
G T. Darner9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 49
G N. Muhammad TR7.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
No call
G S. Cusano2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
G J. St Clair3.7 pts · 0.9 reb · 1 ast Score 14
UTCBig
F T. Houser TR14.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G D. Shepherd4.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 58
DSUBig
F Y. Levy TR5 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 18
F A. Santos6.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20
Even
F J. Bowman3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
Delaware StBetterChattanooga
DSU offense354th of 366 · -13.2
UTCSmall
UTC defense270th of 366 · -6.8
DSU defense307th of 366 · -7.9
UTCSmall
UTC offense193rd of 366 · -5.9
Backcourt-4.0 · 4 players
UTCSmall
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Bench-2.0 · 1 player
Even
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestDSU betterUTC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Delaware St
Guards
R. Moore22 minN. Muhammad18 min · TRJ. St Clair15 minD. Shepherd13 minN. ReedusNewI. SullivanNew
Forwards
A. Santos20 minM. Adamu13 minT. HawkinsNewG. EkukwaiNewJ. ObioraNewF. MuntariNew
Chattanooga
Guards
T. Darner29 minS. Cusano13 minH. Holland11 minL. VittersNewM. HamptonNewT. PowellNew
Forwards
T. Houser33 min · TRY. Levy21 min · TRJ. Bowman12 minA. SwiftNewC. HardawayNew
Centers
J. FleemanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DSUUTC
Scoring
59.7 #365Points per game74.1 #192
0.89 #365Points per possession1.10 #132
66.7 #290Pace (possessions)67.6 #249
Shooting
42.9 #364Effective FG%54.2 #60
28.4 #3613-point %35.0 #116
28.9 #3573-point attempt rate49.2 #18
34.1 #204Free throw rate29.7 #319
Possessions
19.8 #346Turnover rate14.5 #40
27.7 #277Offensive rebound rate21.8 #358
9.7 #361Assists per game14.3 #127
Defense
71.4 #89Points allowed78.1 #269
1.07 #143Points allowed per possession1.15 #325
52.9 #265Opponent effective FG%51.7 #195
33.0 #123Opponent 3-point %34.2 #195
19.6 #32Turnovers forced13.1 #351
68.0 #257Defensive rebound rate68.3 #240
7.6 #73Steals per game5.0 #336
1.8 #353Blocks per game2.5 #305
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware St

5-22 in 2025-26 overall · 3-13 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central53–59
  • Wvs Morgan St75–70
  • W@ MD Eastern57–56
  • Lvs SC State59–61
  • Lvs NC Central60–74

A week or more of rest.

Chattanooga

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs The Citadel85–88
  • Wvs VMI86–79
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro80–85
  • W@ The Citadel93–72
  • W@ Mercer94–90

A week or more of rest.