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  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. AAMU @ UTC
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

Alabama A&M Bulldogs at Chattanooga Mocs

McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga
#328AAMUAlabama A&M
@
#226UTCChattanooga
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AAMUThis seasonUTC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTC 78–70 · win probability UTC 76%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 147.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTC has more of the edges

AAMU 2, UTC 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AAMUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: AAMU 45.4, UTC 29.7. Allowed: AAMU 38.6, UTC 42.6
UTCBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: AAMU 49.2 and allows 52.1; UTC 54.2 and allows 51.7
UTCBig
UTC offense vs AAMU defense
Offense 193rd of 366 against a defense 305th, on the model’s ratings
AAMUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AAMU 27.4%, UTC 21.8%. Defensive: AAMU 70.5%, UTC 68.3%
Context
Schedule so far
AAMU has played the 363rd-hardest schedule, UTC the 306th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTCSmall
AAMU offense vs UTC defense
Offense 325th of 366 against a defense 270th, on the model’s ratings
UTCSmall
Home court
UTC at home. This season: UTC 0-0 at home, AAMU 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
AAMU hits 35.0% and allows 35.4%; UTC hits 35.0% and allows 34.2%. Threes are 34.0% and 49.2% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AAMU 51%, UTC 32%. Transfers in: AAMU 2, UTC 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AAMU 16.5%, UTC 14.5%. Forced: AAMU 16.6%, UTC 13.1%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: AAMU plays 67.6 a game (250th fastest), UTC 67.6 (249th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTC -8.0—
Total—147.3—
Projected score—AAMU 69.6 · UTC 77.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTC -4.6—
1H total68.9—
1H projected scoreAAMU 32.1 · UTC 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Chattanooga has the better starters

Position by position: Alabama A&M 1, Chattanooga 2, even 2
Alabama A&MBetterChattanooga
G S. Pissis10.4 pts · 3.1 reb · 4 ast Score 38
Even
G T. Darner9.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 49
G J. Graham9.8 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 41
No call
G S. Cusano2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
G J. Edwards TR6.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.9 ast Score 9
UTCBig
F T. Houser TR14.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G G. Kincy3.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 3
UTCSmall
F Y. Levy TR5 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 18
G B. Abdur-Rahman4.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 65
AAMUBig
F J. Bowman3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 22
Alabama A&MBetterChattanooga
AAMU offense325th of 366 · -10.6
UTCSmall
UTC defense270th of 366 · -6.8
AAMU defense305th of 366 · -7.8
UTCSmall
UTC offense193rd of 366 · -5.9
Backcourt-8.1 · 5 players
UTCBig
Backcourt-1.6 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Bench-3.2 · 3 players
UTCSmall
Bench-1.1 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestAAMU betterUTC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Alabama A&M
Guards
S. Pissis30 minJ. Graham25 minJ. Edwards23 min · TRG. Kincy19 minB. Abdur-Rahman12 minN. Johnson10 min · TR
Forwards
S. Onu7 minS. WalkerNewD. MeriwetherNewK. PaulNewD. BrownNew
Chattanooga
Guards
T. Darner29 minS. Cusano13 minH. Holland11 minL. VittersNewM. HamptonNewT. PowellNew
Forwards
T. Houser33 min · TRY. Levy21 min · TRJ. Bowman12 minA. SwiftNewC. HardawayNew
Centers
J. FleemanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AAMUUTC
Scoring
71.4 #261Points per game74.1 #192
1.05 #240Points per possession1.10 #132
67.6 #250Pace (possessions)67.6 #249
Shooting
49.2 #281Effective FG%54.2 #60
35.0 #1143-point %35.0 #116
34.0 #2953-point attempt rate49.2 #18
45.4 #3Free throw rate29.7 #319
Possessions
16.5 #167Turnover rate14.5 #40
27.4 #283Offensive rebound rate21.8 #358
11.2 #328Assists per game14.3 #127
Defense
73.9 #152Points allowed78.1 #269
1.09 #212Points allowed per possession1.15 #325
52.1 #220Opponent effective FG%51.7 #195
35.4 #272Opponent 3-point %34.2 #195
16.6 #176Turnovers forced13.1 #351
70.5 #138Defensive rebound rate68.3 #240
6.2 #211Steals per game5.0 #336
2.7 #271Blocks per game2.5 #305
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Alabama A&M

15-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–74
  • Wvs Texas Southern85–74
  • Lvs Southern85–88
  • Wvs Grambling77–63
  • Lvs Alabama St88–89

A week or more of rest.

Chattanooga

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs The Citadel85–88
  • Wvs VMI86–79
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro80–85
  • W@ The Citadel93–72
  • W@ Mercer94–90

A week or more of rest.