1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. DSU @ NCAT
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Delaware State Hornets at North Carolina A&T Aggies

Corbett Sports Center · at NC A&T
#351DSUDelaware St
@
#275NCATNC A&T
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DSUThis seasonNCAT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NCAT 78–66 · win probability NCAT 85%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NCAT has more of the edges

DSU 3, NCAT 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NCATBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DSU 27.7%, NCAT 31.7%. Defensive: DSU 68.0%, NCAT 71.4%
DSUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DSU 19.8%, NCAT 18.6%. Forced: DSU 19.6%, NCAT 14.1%
NCATBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: DSU 34.1, NCAT 42.3. Allowed: DSU 40.5, NCAT 37.5
Context
Schedule so far
DSU has played the 354th-hardest schedule, NCAT the 238th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NCATSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DSU 42.9 and allows 52.9; NCAT 50.7 and allows 52.9
DSUSmall
Three-pointers
DSU hits 28.4% and allows 33.0%; NCAT hits 31.6% and allows 36.6%. Threes are 28.9% and 32.6% of their shots
NCATSmall
NCAT offense vs DSU defense
Offense 234th of 366 against a defense 307th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: DSU plays 66.7 a game (290th fastest), NCAT 69.4 (150th). Faster games mean more points
NCATSmall
Home court
NCAT at home. This season: NCAT 0-0 at home, DSU 0-0 away
DSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DSU 41%, NCAT 16%. Transfers in: DSU 1, NCAT 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
DSU offense vs NCAT defense
Offense 354th of 366 against a defense 311th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NCAT -11.9—
Total—143.8—
Projected score—DSU 65.9 · NCAT 77.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNCAT -7.0—
1H total67.3—
1H projected scoreDSU 30.2 · NCAT 37.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

NC A&T has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware St 0, NC A&T 3, even 2
Delaware StBetterNC A&T
G R. Moore6.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast Score 33
NCATSmall
G P. James TR13.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.1 ast Score 66
G N. Muhammad TR7.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
NCATSmall
G S. Lancaster TR10.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 50
G J. St Clair3.7 pts · 0.9 reb · 1 ast Score 14
Even
G M. Burton5.2 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 13
G D. Shepherd4.7 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 58
No call
F M. Webster NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F A. Santos6.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 20
NCATBig
C W. Felton6.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 65
Delaware StBetterNC A&T
DSU offense354th of 366 · -13.2
Even
NCAT defense311th of 366 · -8.1
DSU defense307th of 366 · -7.9
NCATSmall
NCAT offense234th of 366 · -7.2
Backcourt-4.0 · 4 players
NCATSmall
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
NCATSmall
Frontcourt+0.8 · 2 players
Bench-2.0 · 1 player
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestDSU betterNCAT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Delaware St
Guards
R. Moore22 minN. Muhammad18 min · TRJ. St Clair15 minD. Shepherd13 minN. ReedusNewI. SullivanNew
Forwards
A. Santos20 minM. Adamu13 minT. HawkinsNewG. EkukwaiNewJ. ObioraNewF. MuntariNew
NC A&T
Guards
P. James33 min · TRS. Lancaster29 min · TRM. Burton17 minJ. McKieNewU. Kellman-NicholesNewB. IveryNew
Forwards
M. WebsterNewS. SimleyNew
Centers
W. Felton16 minE. KalliontzisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DSUNCAT
Scoring
59.7 #365Points per game73.9 #205
0.89 #365Points per possession1.07 #213
66.7 #290Pace (possessions)69.4 #150
Shooting
42.9 #364Effective FG%50.7 #201
28.4 #3613-point %31.6 #304
28.9 #3573-point attempt rate32.6 #322
34.1 #204Free throw rate42.3 #26
Possessions
19.8 #346Turnover rate18.6 #304
27.7 #277Offensive rebound rate31.7 #136
9.7 #361Assists per game11.5 #311
Defense
71.4 #89Points allowed78.5 #278
1.07 #143Points allowed per possession1.13 #285
52.9 #265Opponent effective FG%52.9 #266
33.0 #123Opponent 3-point %36.6 #331
19.6 #32Turnovers forced14.1 #332
68.0 #257Defensive rebound rate71.4 #89
7.6 #73Steals per game5.1 #323
1.8 #353Blocks per game3.8 #107
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware St

5-22 in 2025-26 overall · 3-13 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central53–59
  • Wvs Morgan St75–70
  • W@ MD Eastern57–56
  • Lvs SC State59–61
  • Lvs NC Central60–74

A week or more of rest.

NC A&T

9-19 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Northeastern72–88
  • L@ Campbell72–90
  • Lvs William & Mary88–91
  • L@ UNC Wilmington65–88
  • W@ Elon102–82

A week or more of rest.