1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. NCAT @ FUR
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

North Carolina A&T Aggies at Furman Paladins

Timmons Arena · at Furman
#275NCATNC A&T
@
#152FURFurman
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NCATThis seasonFUR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FUR 80–69 · win probability FUR 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FUR has more of the edges

NCAT 0, FUR 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FURBig
Three-pointers
NCAT hits 31.6% and allows 36.6%; FUR hits 33.4% and allows 32.3%. Threes are 32.6% and 46.5% of their shots
FURBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NCAT 50.7 and allows 52.9; FUR 54.8 and allows 50.2
FURBig
FUR offense vs NCAT defense
Offense 166th of 366 against a defense 311th, on the model’s ratings
FURSmall
NCAT offense vs FUR defense
Offense 234th of 366 against a defense 146th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NCAT plays 69.4 a game (150th fastest), FUR 67.2 (273rd). Faster games mean more points
FURSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NCAT 16%, FUR 46%. Transfers in: NCAT 2, FUR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
FURSmall
Home court
FUR at home. This season: FUR 0-0 at home, NCAT 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NCAT 18.6%, FUR 17.8%. Forced: NCAT 14.1%, FUR 13.7%
Context
Schedule so far
NCAT has played the 238th-hardest schedule, FUR the 224th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NCAT 31.7%, FUR 30.5%. Defensive: NCAT 71.4%, FUR 71.8%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NCAT 42.3, FUR 32.7. Allowed: NCAT 37.5, FUR 28.9
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FUR -10.2—
Total—148.9—
Projected score—NCAT 69.4 · FUR 79.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFUR -6.0—
1H total69.7—
1H projected scoreNCAT 31.8 · FUR 37.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: NC A&T 1, Furman 1, even 3
NC A&TBetterFurman
G P. James TR13.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.1 ast Score 66
Even
G J. Bell TR12.3 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 76
G S. Lancaster TR10.8 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.2 ast Score 50
NCATSmall
G C. Bowser5.2 pts · 5.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
G M. Burton5.2 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 13
FURSmall
G L. Toews TR6.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 45
F M. Webster NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F M. Kell TR13.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 59
C W. Felton6.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 65
Even
F C. Johnston9.6 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 66
NC A&TBetterFurman
NCAT offense234th of 366 · -7.2
FURSmall
FUR defense146th of 366 · -3.2
NCAT defense311th of 366 · -8.1
FURBig
FUR offense166th of 366 · -5.1
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.8 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt+0.9 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-2.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNCAT betterFUR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NC A&T
Guards
P. James33 min · TRS. Lancaster29 min · TRM. Burton17 minJ. McKieNewU. Kellman-NicholesNewB. IveryNew
Forwards
M. WebsterNewS. SimleyNew
Centers
W. Felton16 minE. KalliontzisNew
Furman
Guards
J. Bell26 min · TRC. Bowser23 minL. Toews21 min · TRA. Franklin11 minC. O'Neal11 minG. LewisNew
Forwards
M. Kell30 min · TRC. Johnston29 minM. Smith12 minJ. Butler9 min · TRO. Ritger7 minD. MolnarNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NCATFUR
Scoring
73.9 #205Points per game74.9 #164
1.07 #213Points per possession1.11 #114
69.4 #150Pace (possessions)67.2 #273
Shooting
50.7 #201Effective FG%54.8 #43
31.6 #3043-point %33.4 #204
32.6 #3223-point attempt rate46.5 #40
42.3 #26Free throw rate32.7 #246
Possessions
18.6 #304Turnover rate17.8 #260
31.7 #136Offensive rebound rate30.5 #180
11.5 #311Assists per game14.9 #91
Defense
78.5 #278Points allowed72.5 #116
1.13 #285Points allowed per possession1.08 #163
52.9 #266Opponent effective FG%50.2 #112
36.6 #331Opponent 3-point %32.3 #75
14.1 #332Turnovers forced13.7 #342
71.4 #89Defensive rebound rate71.8 #72
5.1 #323Steals per game4.4 #357
3.8 #107Blocks per game3.3 #183
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

NC A&T

9-19 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Northeastern72–88
  • L@ Campbell72–90
  • Lvs William & Mary88–91
  • L@ UNC Wilmington65–88
  • W@ Elon102–82

A week or more of rest.

Furman

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn71–82
  • Wvs ETSU76–61
  • Wvs UNC Greensboro81–75
  • Wvs Samford86–81
  • L@ W Carolina67–86

A week or more of rest.