1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. DEP @ SLU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

DePaul Blue Demons at Saint Louis Billikens

Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
#66DEPDePaul
@
#69SLUSaint Louis
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DEPThis seasonSLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SLU 76–72 · win probability SLU 62%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SLU has more of the edges

DEP 1, SLU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SLUBig
Three-pointers
DEP hits 32.5% and allows 35.4%; SLU hits 39.9% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 39.0% and 45.1% of their shots
SLUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEP 49.8 and allows 49.3; SLU 59.7 and allows 45.2
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: DEP plays 67.7 a game (240th fastest), SLU 72.1 (32nd). Faster games mean more points
SLUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEP 30.1%, SLU 30.7%. Defensive: DEP 69.0%, SLU 72.8%
DEPSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEP 17.7%, SLU 17.2%. Forced: DEP 18.7%, SLU 15.9%
SLUSmall
Home court
SLU at home. This season: SLU 0-0 at home, DEP 0-0 away
SLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEP 38%, SLU 63%. Transfers in: DEP 6, SLU 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SLU offense vs DEP defense
Offense 61st of 366 against a defense 31st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
DEP has played the 72nd-hardest schedule, SLU the 99th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEP 35.3, SLU 33.7. Allowed: DEP 37.8, SLU 37.1
Even
DEP offense vs SLU defense
Offense 92nd of 366 against a defense 87th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SLU -3.4—
Total—147.9—
Projected score—DEP 72.2 · SLU 75.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSLU -1.9—
1H total69.2—
1H projected scoreDEP 33.6 · SLU 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

DePaul has the better starters

Position by position: DePaul 2, Saint Louis 1, even 2
DePaulBetterSaint Louis
G K. Holmes TR19.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast Score 96
DEPBig
G Q. Jones9 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.9 ast Score 51
G A. Popoola TR10.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 57
SLUSmall
G T. Green11.1 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.7 ast Score 86
G L. Blocker11.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.5 ast Score 77
Even
G A. McCottry10.5 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.9 ast Score 84
G K. Cotton TR14.1 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 87
DEPSmall
F I. Sharma9.2 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 67
C W. Jacques TR8.9 pts · 8.8 reb · 1 ast Score 52
Even
F A. Michaeli TR7.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 1 ast Score 58
DePaulBetterSaint Louis
DEP offense92nd of 366 · -0.3
Even
SLU defense87th of 366 · -0.1
DEP defense31st of 366 · +3.5
Even
SLU offense61st of 366 · +2.6
Backcourt+7.2 · 4 players
DEPBig
Backcourt+2.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt+0.5 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+0.6 · 2 players
Bench+0.9 · 5 players
SLUSmall
Bench+3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDEP betterSLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
DePaul
Guards
K. Holmes32 min · TRA. Popoola29 min · TRL. Blocker29 minK. Cotton28 min · TRN. Meeusen27 min · TRK. McClure19 min
Forwards
M. Gwath19 min · TRT. Pierre-Justin16 minJ. JohnsonNewA. JensenNew
Centers
W. Jacques28 min · TRF. Flores11 min
Saint Louis
Guards
Q. Jones27 minT. Green24 minA. McCottry23 minK. Thames17 minC. Hutson4 minI. Holmes2 min
Forwards
I. Sharma22 minA. Michaeli18 min · TRE. Strong17 min · TRJ. Kerr6 minS. PearsonNewB. DiakiteNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DEPSLU
Scoring
70.3 #279Points per game86.4 #7
1.04 #280Points per possession1.20 #14
67.7 #240Pace (possessions)72.1 #32
Shooting
49.8 #243Effective FG%59.7 #2
32.5 #2533-point %39.9 #2
39.0 #1913-point attempt rate45.1 #64
35.3 #169Free throw rate33.7 #221
Possessions
17.7 #253Turnover rate17.2 #218
30.1 #197Offensive rebound rate30.7 #173
15.0 #87Assists per game18.3 #8
Defense
69.6 #57Points allowed71.6 #94
1.03 #55Points allowed per possession0.99 #21
49.3 #77Opponent effective FG%45.2 #3
35.4 #274Opponent 3-point %30.3 #14
18.7 #64Turnovers forced15.9 #224
69.0 #205Defensive rebound rate72.8 #43
6.9 #134Steals per game7.1 #117
3.4 #152Blocks per game3.4 #168
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

DePaul

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Georgetown56–63
  • Lvs Butler71–81
  • Lvs Villanova57–76
  • W@ Marquette62–51
  • W@ Creighton72–71

A week or more of rest.

Saint Louis

28-6 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan72–95
  • Wvs Georgia102–77
  • Lvs Dayton69–70
  • Wvs G Washington88–81
  • L@ George Mason57–86

A week or more of rest.