KeyBank Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
MICH -12.5✓ MICH covered by 10.5
MICH -12.5✓ MICH covered by 10.5Closing total161.5Over by 5.5
 SLU | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 28-5 | Record | 32-3 |
| 20-13 | ATS | 15-20 |
| 16-17 | O/U | 14-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SLU 75–89 MICH · ✓ MICH (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 39 | 33 | 72 |
| MICH | 48 | 47 | 95 |
1st half: SLU 39, MICH 48 (MICH by 9). The model had MICH by 8.4 and a total of 76.3 (actual 87).
Team stats
| SLU | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 34-61 56% |
| 10-32 31% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 9 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Avila C | 30 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-13 | 3-10 |
| Dion Brown G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Quentin Jones G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Amari McCottry G | 26 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Trey Green G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Kellen Thames G | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Paul Otieno F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Holmes, Jax Kerr, Jaden Schertz, Kalu Anya, Cam Hutson, Luke Laczkowski, Badara Diakite, Dylan Warlick
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Cadeau G | 37 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 32 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 9-13 | 3-5 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 27 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Aday Mara C | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 23 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Howard Eisley Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Malick Kordel C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charlie May G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, L.J. Cason, Ricky Liburd
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -13.5
1 → SLU
CloseMICH -12.5
1 pt toward SLU
Total
Open161.5
no move
Close161.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SLU +550 · MICH -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -13.5 · closed MICH -12.5 · moved 1 toward SLUmodel MICH -14.5
model MICH -14.5
Opened 161.5 · unchangedmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -12.5 | MICH -14.3 | MICH +1.8 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 163.5 | Over 2.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SLU 74.6 · MICH 88.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -8.4 | MICH -9.0 |
| 1H total | 76.3 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | SLU 34 · MICH 42.4 | SLU 39 · MICH 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MICH | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Louis
33 games played
Straight up
28-5
85% wins
Against the spread
20-13
61% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-17
48% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs BCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vs JOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs FOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs RICH | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @ DUQ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ SBU | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | vs GW | W 79-76 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 30 | vs DAY | W 102-71 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | @ DAV | W 91-82 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 7 | vsLAS | W 82-58 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 13 | @ LUC | W 86-59 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 17 | @ URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 20 | vsVCU | W 88-75 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 24 | @DAY | L 62-77 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | vsDUQ | W 91-76 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | vsLUC | W 79-65 | -21.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 7 | @ GMU | L 57-86 | -7.5 | L −36.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 13 | vsGW | W 88-81 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 14 | vsDAY | L 69-70 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 19 | vs UGA | W 102-77 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 167.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
+10.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−4.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
+26.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−7.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+0.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
+1.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
+9.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
+5.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+1.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−7.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 57-86
−36.5
13
vsGW
GWW 88-81
+0.5
14
vsDAY
DAYL 69-70
−5.5
19
vsUGA
UGAW 102-77
+26.5
covered 20didn’t cover 13avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
−11.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−7.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
−0.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−12.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
3
@DAV
DAVW 91-82
+21.5
7
vsLAS
LASW 82-58
−13.5
13
@LUC
LUCW 86-59
−10.5
17
@URI
URIL 76-81
+5.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 88-75
−1.5
24
@DAY
DAYL 62-77
−18.5
28
vsDUQ
DUQW 91-76
+6.5
4
vsLUC
LUCW 79-65
−11.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 57-86
−3.5
13
vsGW
GWW 88-81
+10.5
14
vsDAY
DAYL 69-70
−6.5
19
vsUGA
UGAW 102-77
+11.5
over 16under 17avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
35 games played
Straight up
32-3
91% wins
Against the spread
15-20
43% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-21
40% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Against the spread
15-2043%
6 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs VILL | W 89-61 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ MD | W 101-83 | -19.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 21 | vsLAS | W 102-50 | -40.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vs MCN | W 112-71 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 2 | vs USC | W 96-66 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 6 | @ PSU | W 74-72 | -24.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIS | L 88-91 | -19.5 | L −22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 14 | @ WASH | W 82-72 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORE | W 81-71 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs IU | W 86-72 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | vs OSU | W 74-62 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 27 | vs NEB | W 75-72 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ MSU | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | vsPSU | W 110-69 | -26.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | @OSU | W 82-61 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | @ NU | W 87-75 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vs UCLA | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ PUR | W 91-80 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 21 | vs DUKE | L 63-68 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | vs MINN | W 77-67 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 27 | @ ILL | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 5 | @ IOWA | W 71-68 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 8 | vsMSU | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 13 | vsOSU | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 14 | vsWIS | W 68-65 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 15 | vsPUR | L 72-80 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 19 | vs HOW | W 101-80 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
+10.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
−1.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
+11.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+16.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
+7.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−22.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
−22.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−2.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−1.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−4.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−8.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+9.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+14.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
+12.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
−3.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
+14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+8.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−8.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−12.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
+12.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−6.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
−0.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−8.5
14
vsWIS
WISW 68-65
−9.5
15
vsPUR
PURL 72-80
−12.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 101-80
−9.5
covered 15didn’t cover 20avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
9
vsVILL
VILLW 89-61
−6.5
13
@MD
MDW 101-83
+20.5
21
vsLAS
LASW 102-50
−3.5
29
vsMCN
MCNW 112-71
+21.5
2
vsUSC
USCW 96-66
−11.5
6
@PSU
PSUW 74-72
−23.5
10
vsWIS
WISL 88-91
+9.5
14
@WASH
WASHW 82-72
−11.5
17
@ORE
OREW 81-71
−5.5
20
vsIU
IUW 86-72
−5.5
23
vsOSU
OSUW 74-62
−29.5
27
vsNEB
NEBW 75-72
−10.5
30
@MSU
MSUW 83-71
+4.5
5
vsPSU
PSUW 110-69
+17.5
8
@OSU
OSUW 82-61
−18.5
11
@NU
NUW 87-75
+8.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-56
−14.5
17
@PUR
PURW 91-80
+14.5
21
vsDUKE
DUKEL 63-68
−20.5
24
vsMINN
MINNW 77-67
−1.5
27
@ILL
ILLW 84-70
−5.5
5
@IOWA
IOWAW 71-68
−7.5
8
vsMSU
MSUW 90-80
+17.5
13
vsOSU
OSUW 71-67
−17.5
14
vsWIS
WISW 68-65
−28.5
15
vsPUR
PURL 72-80
+2.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 101-80
+29.5
over 14under 21avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Louis
28-5 overall · 16-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia102–77
- Lvs Dayton69–70
- Wvs G Washington88–81
- L@ George Mason57–86
- Wvs Loyola Chicago79–65
2 days since their last game.
Michigan
32-3 overall · 21-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Howard101–80
- Lvs Purdue72–80
- Wvs Wisconsin68–65
- Wvs Ohio State71–67
- Wvs Michigan St90–80
2 days since their last game.