Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
CLEM -2.5✓ UNC covered by 1.5
Closing total140.5Over by 18.5
| This season | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-9 | Record | 24-7 |
| 17-15 | ATS | 18-13 |
| 13-19 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLEM 70–72 UNC · ✗ UNC (57%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 39 | 41 | 80 |
| UNC | 31 | 48 | 79 |
1st half: CLEM 39, UNC 31 (CLEM by 8). The model had UNC by 1.0 and a total of 66.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CLEM | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 9-19 47% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 29 3 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Buckner G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 31 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Butta Johnson G | 30 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jestin Porter G | 25 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Nick Davidson F | 22 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 5-6 | 4-4 |
| Chase Thompson F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dallas Thomas F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carter Welling, Trent Steinour, Zac Foster, Blake Davidson
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henri Veesaar C | 36 | 28 | 17 | 2 | 10-16 | 3-6 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 35 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Derek Dixon G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Seth Trimble G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Luka Bogavac G | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaydon Young G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Zayden High F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyan Evans G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Elijah Davis, James Brown, Isaiah Denis, John Holbrook, Ivan Matlekovic, Evan Smith, Caleb Wilson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -1.5
4 → CLEM
CloseCLEM -2.5
4 pts toward CLEM
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CLEM -135 · UNC +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -1.5 · closed CLEM -2.5 · moved 4 toward CLEMmodel UNC -2
model UNC -2
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 | UNC -1.9 | UNC +4.4 | W UNC covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 141.8 | Over 1.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CLEM 69.9 · UNC 71.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -1.0 | CLEM -8.0 |
| 1H total | 66.4 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | CLEM 32.7 · UNC 33.7 | CLEM 39 · UNC 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | |
| 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
CLEM 2–4 UNCUNC leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · CLEM 2-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025-26 | CLEM 63 @ UNC 67 | UNC -2.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | UNC 65 @ CLEM 85 | CLEM -4.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CLEM 80 @ UNC 76 | UNC -6.5 | CLEM W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | UNC 65 @ CLEM 55 | CLEM -2.5 | UNC W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | CLEM 71 @ UNC 91 | UNC -6.5 | UNC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clemson
32 games played
Straight up
23-9
72% wins
Against the spread
17-15
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 54-67 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 77-85 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 65-70 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 80-75 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 63-67 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 79-76 | -15.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 71-62 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UNH
W 88-38
+20.5
7
vs
GWEB
W 97-59
+8.5
11
vs
MORE
W 83-56
−2.5
15
@
GTWN
L 74-79
−6.5
17
vs
UNA
W 81-61
−5.5
21
vs
WVU
W 70-67
−1.5
23
vs
UGA
W 97-94
+1.5
28
vs
AAMU
W 92-56
+8.5
3
@
ALA
L 84-90
+2.5
9
vs
BYU
L 64-67
+1.5
13
vs
MER
W 70-63
−15.5
16
vs
SC
W 68-61
−5.5
21
vs
CIN
W 68-65
−0.5
31
@
SYR
W 64-61
+1.5
3
@
PITT
W 73-68
+1.5
7
vs
SMU
W 74-70
+0.5
10
@
ND
W 76-61
+11.5
13
vs
BC
W 74-50
+8.5
17
vs
MIA
W 69-59
+5.5
20
vs
NCSU
L 76-80
−6.5
24
@
GT
W 77-63
+5.5
31
vs
PITT
W 63-52
+0.5
4
@
STAN
W 66-64
−1.5
7
@
CAL
W 77-55
+17.5
11
vs
VT
L 66-76
−18.5
14
@
DUKE
L 54-67
−0.5
18
@
WAKE
L 77-85
−12.5
21
vs
FSU
L 65-70
−13.5
28
vs
LOU
W 80-75
+7.5
3
@
UNC
L 63-67
−1.5
7
vs
GT
W 79-76
−12.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 71-62
+3.5
covered 17didn’t cover 15avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UNH
W 88-38
−20.5
7
vs
GWEB
W 97-59
+10.5
11
vs
MORE
W 83-56
−12.5
15
@
GTWN
L 74-79
+10.5
17
vs
UNA
W 81-61
−2.5
21
vs
WVU
W 70-67
+4.5
23
vs
UGA
W 97-94
+38.5
28
vs
AAMU
W 92-56
+6.5
3
@
ALA
L 84-90
+8.5
9
vs
BYU
L 64-67
−21.5
13
vs
MER
W 70-63
−19.5
16
vs
SC
W 68-61
−13.5
21
vs
CIN
W 68-65
−7.5
31
@
SYR
W 64-61
−15.5
3
@
PITT
W 73-68
+5.5
7
vs
SMU
W 74-70
−5.5
10
@
ND
W 76-61
+3.5
13
vs
BC
W 74-50
−12.5
17
vs
MIA
W 69-59
−15.5
20
vs
NCSU
L 76-80
+13.5
24
@
GT
W 77-63
−2.5
31
vs
PITT
W 63-52
−20.5
4
@
STAN
W 66-64
−8.5
7
@
CAL
W 77-55
−7.5
11
vs
VT
L 66-76
+3.5
14
@
DUKE
L 54-67
−13.5
18
@
WAKE
L 77-85
+21.5
21
vs
FSU
L 65-70
−10.5
28
vs
LOU
W 80-75
+8.5
3
@
UNC
L 63-67
−11.5
7
vs
GT
W 79-76
+9.5
11
vs
WAKE
W 71-62
−10.5
over 13under 19avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
31 games played
Straight up
24-7
77% wins
Against the spread
18-13
58% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | vs | W 87-77 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 71-68 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 66-75 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 79-65 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 58-82 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 77-64 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 23 | vs | W 77-74 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 67-63 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 61-76 | +18.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CARK
W 94-54
+8.5
7
vs
KU
W 87-74
+10.5
11
vs
RAD
W 89-74
−5.5
14
vs
NCCU
W 97-53
+9.5
18
vs
NAVY
W 73-61
−14.5
25
vs
SBU
W 85-70
+4.5
27
vs
MSU
L 58-74
−14.5
2
@
UK
W 67-64
+10.5
7
vs
GTWN
W 81-61
+9.5
13
vs
UPST
W 80-62
−11.5
16
vs
ETSU
W 77-58
+1.5
20
vs
OSU
W 71-70
−1.5
22
vs
ECU
W 99-51
+22.5
30
vs
FSU
W 79-66
+0.5
3
@
SMU
L 83-97
−12.5
10
vs
WAKE
W 87-84
−7.5
14
@
STAN
L 90-95
−9.5
17
@
CAL
L 78-84
−13.5
21
vs
ND
W 91-69
+8.5
24
@
UVA
W 85-80
+11.5
31
@
GT
W 91-75
+6.5
2
vs
SYR
W 87-77
−1.5
7
vs
DUKE
W 71-68
+9.5
10
@
MIA
L 66-75
−7.5
14
vs
PITT
W 79-65
+2.5
17
@
NCSU
L 58-82
−15.5
21
@
SYR
W 77-64
+15.5
23
vs
LOU
W 77-74
+6.5
28
vs
VT
W 89-82
−0.5
3
vs
CLEM
W 67-63
+1.5
7
@
DUKE
L 61-76
+3.5
covered 18didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CARK
W 94-54
−9.5
7
vs
KU
W 87-74
+1.5
11
vs
RAD
W 89-74
+0.5
14
vs
NCCU
W 97-53
−9.5
18
vs
NAVY
W 73-61
−26.5
25
vs
SBU
W 85-70
+2.5
27
vs
MSU
L 58-74
−20.5
2
@
UK
W 67-64
−32.5
7
vs
GTWN
W 81-61
−7.5
13
vs
UPST
W 80-62
−9.5
16
vs
ETSU
W 77-58
−15.5
20
vs
OSU
W 71-70
−16.5
22
vs
ECU
W 99-51
+5.5
30
vs
FSU
W 79-66
−21.5
3
@
SMU
L 83-97
+24.5
10
vs
WAKE
W 87-84
+16.5
14
@
STAN
L 90-95
+37.5
17
@
CAL
L 78-84
+10.5
21
vs
ND
W 91-69
+10.5
24
@
UVA
W 85-80
+12.5
31
@
GT
W 91-75
+5.5
2
vs
SYR
W 87-77
+5.5
7
vs
DUKE
W 71-68
−13.5
10
@
MIA
L 66-75
−15.5
14
vs
PITT
W 79-65
+1.5
17
@
NCSU
L 58-82
−16.5
21
@
SYR
W 77-64
−13.5
23
vs
LOU
W 77-74
−11.5
28
vs
VT
W 89-82
+21.5
3
vs
CLEM
W 67-63
−11.5
7
@
DUKE
L 61-76
−10.5
over 14under 17avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson
23-9 overall · 13-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wake Forest71–62
- Wvs Georgia Tech79–76
- L@ North Carolina63–67
- Wvs Louisville80–75
- Lvs Florida St65–70
1 day since their last game.
North Carolina
24-7 overall · 12-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke61–76
- Wvs Clemson67–63
- Wvs Virginia Tech89–82
- Wvs Louisville77–74
- W@ Syracuse77–64
5 days since their last game.