JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse · Conference game
Closing line
SYR -2.5✓ UNC covered by 15.5
SYR -2.5✓ UNC covered by 15.5Closing total154.5Under by 13.5
 UNC | This season | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| 20-6 | Record | 15-12 |
| 14-12 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNC 80–75 SYR · ✓ UNC (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| SYR | 28 | 36 | 64 |
1st half: UNC 33, SYR 28 (UNC by 5). The model had UNC by 3.2 and a total of 72.4 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UNC | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 15-28 54% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 6 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Dixon G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Luka Bogavac G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Seth Trimble G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 26 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 9-13 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zayden High F | 19 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Kyan Evans G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jaydon Young G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Smith, Ivan Matlekovic, John Holbrook, Isaiah Denis, Elijah Davis, Caleb Wilson, James Brown
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naithan George G | 35 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-11 | 0-5 |
| J.J. Starling G | 34 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 10-19 | 0-1 |
| Donnie Freeman F | 28 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| William Kyle III F | 28 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Nate Kingz G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Akir Souare F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Calvin Russell III, Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Bryce Zephir
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -3.5
6 → SYR
CloseSYR -2.5
6 pts toward SYR
Total
Open152.5
▲ 2
Close154.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNC +120 · SYR -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -3.5 · closed SYR -2.5 · moved 6 toward SYRmodel UNC -5
model UNC -5
Opened 152.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 upmodel 154.5 matches the line
model 154.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SYR -2.5 | UNC -5.1 | UNC +7.6 | W UNC covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 154.7 | Over 0.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | UNC 79.9 · SYR 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -3.2 | UNC -5.0 |
| 1H total | 72.4 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | UNC 37.8 · SYR 34.6 | UNC 33 · SYR 28 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| SYR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UNC 5–1 SYRUNC leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UNC has won the last 2 meetings · UNC 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025-26 | SYR 77 @ UNC 87 | UNC -11.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UNC 88 @ SYR 82 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | UNC 79 @ SYR 86 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SYR 67 @ UNC 103 | UNC -11.5 | UNC W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | UNC 72 @ SYR 68 | SYR +4.5 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Carolina
26 games played
Straight up
20-6
77% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs KU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs GTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs OSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vs FSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs WAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vs ND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @ GT | W 91-75 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 2 | vsSYR | W 87-77 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs DUKE | W 71-68 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ MIA | L 66-75 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | vs PITT | W 79-65 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 17 | @ NCSU | L 58-82 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+6.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
−1.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
+9.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−7.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+2.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−15.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
31
@GT
GTW 91-75
+5.5
2
vsSYR
SYRW 87-77
+5.5
7
vsDUKE
DUKEW 71-68
−13.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 66-75
−15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTW 79-65
+1.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 58-82
−16.5
over 13under 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Syracuse
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vsKU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vsFSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @ BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vsMIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vsCAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vsSMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 16 | @DUKE | L 64-101 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
−16.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
+20.5
over 15under 12avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Carolina
20-6 overall · 8-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC State58–82
- Wvs Pitt79–65
- L@ Miami66–75
- Wvs Duke71–68
- Wvs Syracuse87–77
4 days since their last game.
Syracuse
15-12 overall · 6-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke64–101
- Wvs SMU79–78
- Wvs California107–100
- L@ Virginia59–72
- L@ North Carolina77–87
5 days since their last game.