UTSA Roadrunners at SIU Edwardsville Cougars: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 29, 12:00 AM ETFirst Community Arena · at SIUE

#192UTSAUTSA

#257SIUESIUE

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: UTSA and SIUE
UTSA	This season	SIUE
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIUE 72–70 · win probability SIUE 57%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 142.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIUE has more of the edges

UTSA 1, SIUE 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Schedule so far

UTSA has played the 104th-hardest schedule, SIUE the 365th. A record against a soft schedule means less

SIUEBig

Three-pointers

UTSA hits 29.2% and allows 35.1%; SIUE hits 35.0% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 41.3% and 36.2% of their shots

SIUEBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: UTSA 44.8 and allows 53.3; SIUE 49.5 and allows 45.6

UTSASmall

SIUE offense vs UTSA defense

Offense 329th of 366 against a defense 238th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: UTSA plays 69.6 a game (142nd fastest), SIUE 66.1 (306th). Faster games mean more points

SIUESmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: UTSA 15%, SIUE 52%. Transfers in: UTSA 9, SIUE 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

SIUESmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: UTSA 17.4%, SIUE 17.9%. Forced: UTSA 14.7%, SIUE 17.1%

SIUESmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: UTSA 30.2%, SIUE 30.1%. Defensive: UTSA 61.3%, SIUE 68.4%

SIUESmall

Home court

SIUE at home. This season: SIUE 0-0 at home, UTSA 0-0 away

Even

UTSA offense vs SIUE defense

Offense 155th of 366 against a defense 161st, on the model’s ratings

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: UTSA 29.5, SIUE 30.6. Allowed: UTSA 33.3, SIUE 34.3

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	SIUE -2.1	—
Total	—	142.2	—
Projected score	—	UTSA 70 · SIUE 72.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SIUE -1.1	—
1H total	66.5	—
1H projected score	UTSA 32.7 · SIUE 33.8	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UTSA WLWLW	10-18	36%	4-10	—
SIUE LLWWL	15-14	52%	5-7	—

Venue/role: UTSA away; SIUE home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
UTSA UOOUU	13-15	46%	3-25
SIUE UUUUO	11-18	38%	16-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UTSA	1-9 10%	6-4 60%	6-4 60%
SIUE	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UTSA

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 5	@ USA	L58–82LU
Dec 8	@ SMU	W77–73WU
Dec 11	vs DEN	W84–79WO

SIUE

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 2	@ INST	L55–64LU
Dec 5	vs DEN	W77–74WU
Dec 9	vs UND	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

UTSA 0–1 SIUESIUE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UTSA 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 7, 2025-26	SIUE 77 @ UTSA 60	UTSA -6.5	SIUE W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UTSA

28 games played

Straight up

3-25

11% wins

Against the spread

10-18

36% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-15

46% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-2511%

L L W L W L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

10-1836%

L L W L W L L L L W L L L L L L L W W W L L W W L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1546%

U O O U U U U U O U O U U U O O O U O O U O O U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsSIUE	L 60-77	-6.5	L −23.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 12	@TXST	L 69-80	+2.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 149
Nov 15	@DEN	W 84-79	+4.5	W +9.5	148.5	O 163
Nov 24	vsACU	L 50-61	+2.5	L −8.5	144.5	U 111
Nov 25	vsGASO	W 77-64	+3.5	W +16.5	160.5	U 141
Nov 30	vsUSA	L 58-82	+1.5	L −22.5	141.5	U 140
Dec 7	@ALA	L 55-97	+33.5	L −8.5	171.5	U 152
Dec 13	@COLO	L 64-88	+22.5	L −1.5	154.5	U 152
Dec 17	@USC	L 70-97	+25.5	L −1.5	157.5	O 167
Dec 22	vsSEA	L 68-71	+10.5	W +7.5	148.5	U 139
Dec 31	@FAU	L 70-110	+16.5	L −23.5	158.5	O 180
Jan 3	@TEM	L 57-76	+10.5	L −8.5	149.5	U 133
Jan 7	vsCLT	L 58-74	+6.5	L −9.5	145.5	U 132
Jan 10	vsTULN	L 52-85	+7.5	L −25.5	147.5	U 137
Jan 14	vsRICE	L 73-89	+6.5	L −9.5	144.5	O 162
Jan 18	@MEM	L 69-95	+20.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 164
Jan 21	@UNT	L 62-81	+15.5	L −3.5	138.5	O 143
Jan 24	vsTEM	L 64-70	+10.5	W +4.5	145.5	U 134
Jan 28	vsUAB	L 73-83	+12.5	W +2.5	155.5	O 156
Feb 4	@USF	L 88-109	+23.5	W +2.5	164.5	O 197
Feb 7	vsUNT	L 58-81	+10.5	L −12.5	141.5	U 139
Feb 11	@ECU	L 72-88	+10.5	L −5.5	150.5	O 160
Feb 15	@CLT	W 88-79	+13.5	W +22.5	148.5	O 167
Feb 18	vsFAU	L 52-60	+11.5	W +3.5	157.5	U 112
Feb 22	@TLSA	L 74-100	+21.5	L −4.5	159.5	O 174
Feb 25	vsECU	L 81-82	+4.5	W +3.5	153.5	O 163
Mar 1	vsWICH	L 67-84	+15.5	L −1.5	151.5	U 151
Mar 8	@RICE	L 71-80	+11.5	W +2.5	151.5	U 151

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIUE

L 60-77

−23.5

TXST

L 69-80

−8.5

DEN

W 84-79

+9.5

ACU

L 50-61

−8.5

GASO

W 77-64

+16.5

USA

L 58-82

−22.5

ALA

L 55-97

−8.5

COLO

L 64-88

−1.5

USC

L 70-97

−1.5

SEA

L 68-71

+7.5

FAU

L 70-110

−23.5

TEM

L 57-76

−8.5

CLT

L 58-74

−9.5

TULN

L 52-85

−25.5

RICE

L 73-89

−9.5

MEM

L 69-95

−5.5

UNT

L 62-81

−3.5

TEM

L 64-70

+4.5

UAB

L 73-83

+2.5

USF

L 88-109

+2.5

UNT

L 58-81

−12.5

ECU

L 72-88

−5.5

CLT

W 88-79

+22.5

FAU

L 52-60

+3.5

TLSA

L 74-100

−4.5

ECU

L 81-82

+3.5

WICH

L 67-84

−1.5

RICE

L 71-80

+2.5

covered 10didn’t cover 18avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIUE

L 60-77

−16.5

TXST

L 69-80

+1.5

DEN

W 84-79

+14.5

ACU

L 50-61

−33.5

GASO

W 77-64

−19.5

USA

L 58-82

−1.5

ALA

L 55-97

−19.5

COLO

L 64-88

−2.5

USC

L 70-97

+9.5

SEA

L 68-71

−9.5

FAU

L 70-110

+21.5

TEM

L 57-76

−16.5

CLT

L 58-74

−13.5

TULN

L 52-85

−10.5

RICE

L 73-89

+17.5

MEM

L 69-95

+16.5

UNT

L 62-81

+4.5

TEM

L 64-70

−11.5

UAB

L 73-83

+0.5

USF

L 88-109

+32.5

UNT

L 58-81

−2.5

ECU

L 72-88

+9.5

CLT

W 88-79

+18.5

FAU

L 52-60

−45.5

TLSA

L 74-100

+14.5

ECU

L 81-82

+9.5

WICH

L 67-84

−0.5

RICE

L 71-80

−0.5

over 13under 15avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

SIUE

29 games played

Straight up

16-13

55% wins

Against the spread

15-14

52% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

11-18

38% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1355%

W L W L L W W L L W W L W L L W W W L W W W W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1452%

W L W W L W W L L L L L W L W W W L L W W W W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

11-1838%

U U U O O O U O O U U O U O U U U U O U O U U O U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	@UTSA	W 77-60	+6.5	W +23.5	153.5	U 137
Nov 10	vsINST	L 55-64	-2.5	L −11.5	159.5	U 119
Nov 14	@DRKE	W 61-59	+7.5	W +9.5	142.5	U 120
Nov 17	@WIS	L 69-94	+25.5	W +0.5	146.5	O 163
Nov 21	@AF	L 63-77	-2.5	L −16.5	130.5	O 140
Nov 23	vsALST	W 83-68	-1.5	W +13.5	142.5	O 151
Dec 2	@UNF	W 72-63	-7.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 135
Dec 6	vsWMU	L 73-83	-5.5	L −15.5	139.5	O 156
Dec 18	@EIU	L 72-76	-6.5	L −10.5	134.5	O 148
Dec 22	@WIU	W 66-61	-6.5	L −1.5	138.5	U 127
Jan 1	vsUSI	W 59-55	-10.5	L −6.5	136.5	U 114
Jan 3	vsMORE	L 72-73	-4.5	L −5.5	131.5	O 145
Jan 6	vsLIN	W 66-62	-1.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 128
Jan 8	vsLR	L 70-73	-3.5	L −6.5	131.5	O 143
Jan 15	@UTM	L 59-65	+7.5	W +1.5	131.5	U 124
Jan 17	@SEMO	W 68-55	+9.5	W +22.5	139.5	U 123
Jan 22	vsTNST	W 74-66	-1.5	W +6.5	142.5	U 140
Jan 24	vsTNTC	W 62-58	-7.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 120
Jan 29	@MORE	L 65-67	+1.5	L −0.5	130.5	O 132
Jan 31	@USI	W 58-46	-1.5	W +10.5	130.5	U 104
Feb 3	@LIN	W 78-72	+4.5	W +10.5	140.5	O 150
Feb 7	@LR	W 71-61	+1.5	W +11.5	132.5	U 132
Feb 12	vsSEMO	W 74-56	+1.5	W +19.5	137.5	U 130
Feb 14	vsUTM	L 76-81	+1.5	L −3.5	129.5	O 157
Feb 19	@TNTC	L 52-62	-1.5	L −11.5	134.5	U 114
Feb 21	@TNST	L 53-80	+2.5	L −24.5	143.5	U 133
Feb 26	vsWIU	W 67-47	-13.5	W +6.5	135.5	U 114
Feb 28	vsEIU	W 77-50	-5.5	W +21.5	129.5	U 127
Mar 4	vsEIU	L 71-77	-3.5	L −9.5	128.5	O 148

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UTSA

W 77-60

+23.5

INST

L 55-64

−11.5

DRKE

W 61-59

+9.5

WIS

L 69-94

+0.5

L 63-77

−16.5

ALST

W 83-68

+13.5

UNF

W 72-63

+1.5

WMU

L 73-83

−15.5

EIU

L 72-76

−10.5

WIU

W 66-61

−1.5

USI

W 59-55

−6.5

L 72-73

−5.5

LIN

W 66-62

+2.5

L 70-73

−6.5

UTM

L 59-65

+1.5

SEMO

W 68-55

+22.5

TNST

W 74-66

+6.5

TNTC

W 62-58

−3.5

L 65-67

−0.5

USI

W 58-46

+10.5

LIN

W 78-72

+10.5

W 71-61

+11.5

SEMO

W 74-56

+19.5

UTM

L 76-81

−3.5

TNTC

L 52-62

−11.5

TNST

L 53-80

−24.5

WIU

W 67-47

+6.5

EIU

W 77-50

+21.5

EIU

L 71-77

−9.5

covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UTSA

W 77-60

−16.5

INST

L 55-64

−40.5

DRKE

W 61-59

−22.5

WIS

L 69-94

+16.5

L 63-77

+9.5

ALST

W 83-68

+8.5

UNF

W 72-63

−18.5

WMU

L 73-83

+16.5

EIU

L 72-76

+13.5

WIU

W 66-61

−11.5

USI

W 59-55

−22.5

L 72-73

+13.5

LIN

W 66-62

−14.5

L 70-73

+11.5

UTM

L 59-65

−7.5

SEMO

W 68-55

−16.5

TNST

W 74-66

−2.5

TNTC

W 62-58

−15.5

L 65-67

+1.5

USI

W 58-46

−26.5

LIN

W 78-72

+9.5

W 71-61

−0.5

SEMO

W 74-56

−7.5

UTM

L 76-81

+27.5

TNTC

L 52-62

−20.5

TNST

L 53-80

−10.5

WIU

W 67-47

−21.5

EIU

W 77-50

−2.5

EIU

L 71-77

+19.5

over 11under 18avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: UTSA 2, SIUE 2, even 1

UTSABetterSIUE

G D. Hayes8.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.8 ast Score 16

SIUESmall

G G. Cobb TR9.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast Score 40

G J. Kelly TR8.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 44

SIUESmall

G T. King10.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 66

G D. Williams TR10 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 72

UTSABig

G J. Pickett4.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7

G P. Turner TR7 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 31

UTSASmall

F G. Liberis7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 9

G I. Coleman TR6.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 50

Even

F D. Baker7.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 40

UTSABetterSIUE

UTSA offense155th of 366 · -4.7

Even

SIUE defense161st of 366 · -3.6

UTSA defense238th of 366 · -6.2

UTSASmall

SIUE offense329th of 366 · -10.6

Backcourt-5.4 · 5 players

SIUESmall

Backcourt-3.6 · 3 players

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

No call

Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players

Bench-3.5 · 5 players

SIUESmall

Bench-1.5 · 4 players

Score, worst to bestUTSA betterSIUE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

UTSA

Guards

D. Hayes31 minJ. Kelly27 min · TRD. Williams22 min · TRP. Turner20 min · TRI. Coleman19 min · TRS. Eberwein19 min · TR

Forwards

A. Smith5 min · TRC. OkpukparaNewM. BroxtonNewJ. PetersonNewK. TaylorNew

SIUE

Guards

G. Cobb29 min · TRT. King22 minJ. Pickett20 minC. Efono9 minH. Alexander7 minD. McCaskillNew

Forwards

G. Liberis24 minD. Baker21 minI. Baganc2 minD. WilsonNewB. SohaibNewB. MillerNew

Centers

J. Martin1 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

UTSA67.3 #329

SIUE67.7 #321

Points per possession

UTSA0.96 #348

SIUE1.02 #304

Pace (possessions)

UTSA69.6 #142

SIUE66.1 #306

Shooting

Effective FG%

UTSA44.8 #360

SIUE49.5 #266

3-point %

UTSA29.2 #351

SIUE35.0 #123

3-point attempt rate

UTSA41.3 #143

SIUE36.2 #246

Free throw rate

UTSA29.5 #320

SIUE30.6 #294

Possessions

Turnover rate

UTSA17.4 #231

SIUE17.9 #266

Offensive rebound rate

UTSA30.2 #191

SIUE30.1 #195

Assists per game

UTSA10.1 #357

SIUE12.4 #255

Defense

Points allowed

UTSA82.9 #345

SIUE65.9 #13

Points allowed per possession

UTSA1.20 #356

SIUE1.00 #26

Opponent effective FG%

UTSA53.3 #277

SIUE45.6 #6

Opponent 3-point %

UTSA35.1 #251

SIUE30.2 #10

Turnovers forced

UTSA14.7 #309

SIUE17.1 #143

Defensive rebound rate

UTSA61.3 #363

SIUE68.4 #235

Steals per game

UTSA6.3 #203

SIUE6.9 #138

Blocks per game

UTSA4.3 #52

SIUE4.0 #70

UTSA		SIUE
Scoring
67.3 #329	Points per game	67.7 #321
0.96 #348	Points per possession	1.02 #304
69.6 #142	Pace (possessions)	66.1 #306
Shooting
44.8 #360	Effective FG%	49.5 #266
29.2 #351	3-point %	35.0 #123
41.3 #143	3-point attempt rate	36.2 #246
29.5 #320	Free throw rate	30.6 #294
Possessions
17.4 #231	Turnover rate	17.9 #266
30.2 #191	Offensive rebound rate	30.1 #195
10.1 #357	Assists per game	12.4 #255
Defense
82.9 #345	Points allowed	65.9 #13
1.20 #356	Points allowed per possession	1.00 #26
53.3 #277	Opponent effective FG%	45.6 #6
35.1 #251	Opponent 3-point %	30.2 #10
14.7 #309	Turnovers forced	17.1 #143
61.3 #363	Defensive rebound rate	68.4 #235
6.3 #203	Steals per game	6.9 #138
4.3 #52	Blocks per game	4.0 #70

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UTSA

3-25 in 2025-26 overall · 1-17 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Rice71–80
Lvs Wichita St67–84
Lvs East Carolina81–82
L@ Tulsa74–100
Lvs FAU52–60

A week or more of rest.

SIUE

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs E Illinois71–77
Wvs E Illinois77–50
Wvs W Illinois67–47
L@ Tennessee St53–80
L@ Tennessee Tech52–62

A week or more of rest.

UTSA Roadrunners at SIU Edwardsville Cougars

What could decide it: SIUE has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UTSA

SIUE

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

UTSA

SIUE