1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. DEN @ SIUE
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Denver Pioneers at SIU Edwardsville Cougars

First Community Arena · at SIUE
#263DENDenver
@
#257SIUESIUE
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
DENThis seasonSIUE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIUE 74–71 · win probability SIUE 60%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIUE has more of the edges

DEN 0, SIUE 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUEBig
Three-pointers
DEN hits 36.8% and allows 36.7%; SIUE hits 35.0% and allows 30.2%. Threes are 38.6% and 36.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
DEN has played the 249th-hardest schedule, SIUE the 365th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: DEN plays 69.4 a game (151st fastest), SIUE 66.1 (306th). Faster games mean more points
SIUESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: DEN 53.6 and allows 56.0; SIUE 49.5 and allows 45.6
SIUESmall
Home court
SIUE at home. This season: SIUE 0-0 at home, DEN 0-0 away
SIUESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DEN 27%, SIUE 52%. Transfers in: DEN 6, SIUE 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DEN 29.8%, SIUE 30.1%. Defensive: DEN 67.2%, SIUE 68.4%
Even
DEN offense vs SIUE defense
Offense 184th of 366 against a defense 161st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: DEN 14.2%, SIUE 17.9%. Forced: DEN 13.0%, SIUE 17.1%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DEN 34.1, SIUE 30.6. Allowed: DEN 36.8, SIUE 34.3
Even
SIUE offense vs DEN defense
Offense 329th of 366 against a defense 337th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIUE -2.9—
Total—145.5—
Projected score—DEN 71.3 · SIUE 74.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIUE -1.6—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreDEN 33.2 · SIUE 34.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Denver 2, SIUE 2, even 1
DenverBetterSIUE
G C. Johnson19.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 73
DENSmall
G G. Cobb TR9.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast Score 40
G K. Martin TR5.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 24
SIUEBig
G T. King10.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 66
G C. Hyland TR5 pts · 1.3 reb · 1 ast Score 20
Even
G J. Pickett4.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
F J. Rogers TR5.7 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 27
DENSmall
F G. Liberis7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 9
F S. Wysocki5.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 14
SIUESmall
F D. Baker7.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 40
DenverBetterSIUE
DEN offense184th of 366 · -5.7
Even
SIUE defense161st of 366 · -3.6
DEN defense337th of 366 · -8.9
Even
SIUE offense329th of 366 · -10.6
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
DENSmall
Backcourt-3.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
Bench-2.4 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestDEN betterSIUE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Denver
Guards
C. Johnson36 minK. Martin16 min · TRC. Hyland15 min · TRT. Cady11 min · TRL. ThreattNewJ. NelsonNew
Forwards
J. Rogers27 min · TRS. Wysocki19 minS. Mahoney5 min · TRH. BatesNewC. DimmockNewO. Wickstrom StumerNew
Centers
B. Mbengue9 min · TR
SIUE
Guards
G. Cobb29 min · TRT. King22 minJ. Pickett20 minC. Efono9 minH. Alexander7 minD. McCaskillNew
Forwards
G. Liberis24 minD. Baker21 minI. Baganc2 minD. WilsonNewB. SohaibNewB. MillerNew
Centers
J. Martin1 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
DENSIUE
Scoring
80.3 #61Points per game67.7 #321
1.16 #53Points per possession1.02 #304
69.4 #151Pace (possessions)66.1 #306
Shooting
53.6 #79Effective FG%49.5 #266
36.8 #323-point %35.0 #123
38.6 #1993-point attempt rate36.2 #246
34.1 #203Free throw rate30.6 #294
Possessions
14.2 #30Turnover rate17.9 #266
29.8 #213Offensive rebound rate30.1 #195
11.2 #327Assists per game12.4 #255
Defense
84.0 #357Points allowed65.9 #13
1.21 #360Points allowed per possession1.00 #26
56.0 #344Opponent effective FG%45.6 #6
36.7 #338Opponent 3-point %30.2 #10
13.0 #355Turnovers forced17.1 #143
67.2 #291Defensive rebound rate68.4 #235
4.5 #356Steals per game6.9 #138
1.9 #348Blocks per game4.0 #70
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Denver

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 8-9 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs North Dakota67–83
  • L@ Oral Roberts80–102
  • Wvs St Thomas82–80
  • Wvs South Dakota90–70
  • L@ Omaha76–83

A week or more of rest.

SIUE

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Illinois71–77
  • Wvs E Illinois77–50
  • Wvs W Illinois67–47
  • L@ Tennessee St53–80
  • L@ Tennessee Tech52–62

A week or more of rest.