1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. RAD @ ECU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Radford Highlanders at East Carolina Pirates

Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina
#246RADRadford
@
#145ECUEast Carolina
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RADThis seasonECU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ECU 80–72 · win probability ECU 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 151.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ECU has more of the edges

RAD 3, ECU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ECUBig
ECU offense vs RAD defense
Offense 142nd of 366 against a defense 286th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
RAD has played the 243rd-hardest schedule, ECU the 123rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
ECUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: RAD 42.4, ECU 39.2. Allowed: RAD 40.0, ECU 32.2
RADSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RAD 17.1%, ECU 17.1%. Forced: RAD 18.5%, ECU 16.3%
RADSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: RAD 51.4 and allows 53.0; ECU 46.4 and allows 52.3
RADSmall
Three-pointers
RAD hits 33.5% and allows 35.5%; ECU hits 29.3% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 45.4% and 31.1% of their shots
ECUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RAD 29.8%, ECU 33.4%. Defensive: RAD 67.8%, ECU 67.5%
ECUSmall
RAD offense vs ECU defense
Offense 213th of 366 against a defense 158th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: RAD plays 73.6 a game (13th fastest), ECU 70.0 (116th). Faster games mean more points
ECUSmall
Home court
ECU at home. This season: ECU 0-0 at home, RAD 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RAD 12%, ECU 16%. Transfers in: RAD 6, ECU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ECU -8.5—
Total—151.7—
Projected score—RAD 71.6 · ECU 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadECU -4.9—
1H total70.9—
1H projected scoreRAD 33 · ECU 37.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

East Carolina has the better starters

Position by position: Radford 1, East Carolina 2, even 2
RadfordBetterEast Carolina
G J. Robinson TR6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 52
RADSmall
G C. Medley TR10.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 6.2 ast Score 32
G T. Gross TR3.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 21
ECUBig
G B. Blaine TR17.7 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.8 ast Score 82
F C. Jackson TR4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
Even
F K. Watson TR12.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
F P. Kabamba TR5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 38
ECUBig
F K. Cooper TR8.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 76
F F. Erichsen4.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
No call
F J. Woodard3.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast Not ranked
RadfordBetterEast Carolina
RAD offense213th of 366 · -6.5
ECUSmall
ECU defense158th of 366 · -3.4
RAD defense286th of 366 · -7.2
ECUBig
ECU offense142nd of 366 · -4.3
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-0.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 3 players
ECUSmall
Frontcourt+0.4 · 3 players
Bench-1.0 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.8 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestRAD betterECU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Radford
Guards
J. Robinson17 min · TRT. Gross13 min · TRW. Keel6 minM. Grujicic6 min · TRJ. Kee3 min · TRK. PruettNew
Forwards
C. Jackson17 min · TRP. Kabamba17 min · TRF. Erichsen13 minA. NokesNew
Centers
G. Ferreira5 min
East Carolina
Guards
C. Medley34 min · TRB. Blaine29 min · TRT. Best6 min · TRA. McCulloughNewM. PandovNew
Forwards
K. Watson32 min · TRK. Cooper26 min · TRJ. Woodard17 minJ. BuchananNewD. QuinnNewD. Creasy-QuirindoongoNew
Centers
E. DeLaurier15 minM. KlitschkoNewM. HintonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RADECU
Scoring
79.9 #70Points per game71.5 #259
1.09 #168Points per possession1.02 #305
73.6 #13Pace (possessions)70.0 #116
Shooting
51.4 #181Effective FG%46.4 #346
33.5 #1993-point %29.3 #350
45.4 #593-point attempt rate31.1 #337
42.4 #25Free throw rate39.2 #75
Possessions
17.1 #210Turnover rate17.1 #208
29.8 #207Offensive rebound rate33.4 #79
12.0 #284Assists per game11.8 #301
Defense
80.8 #330Points allowed77.7 #262
1.10 #216Points allowed per possession1.11 #246
53.0 #271Opponent effective FG%52.3 #229
35.5 #279Opponent 3-point %34.9 #245
18.5 #72Turnovers forced16.3 #205
67.8 #267Defensive rebound rate67.5 #282
7.5 #79Steals per game6.5 #177
3.4 #158Blocks per game4.0 #74
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Radford

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Presbyterian85–91
  • L@ Longwood74–90
  • Wvs SC Upstate71–59
  • L@ UNC Asheville73–74
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70

A week or more of rest.

East Carolina

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-12 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UAB83–90
  • Lvs Tulsa66–93
  • Wvs Memphis84–68
  • W@ UTSA82–81
  • L@ Charlotte56–68

A week or more of rest.