1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. CCU @ ECU
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at East Carolina Pirates

Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina
#283CCUCoastal
@
#145ECUEast Carolina
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CCUThis seasonECU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ECU 78–68 · win probability ECU 80%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 146.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ECU has more of the edges

CCU 2, ECU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CCU has played the 301st-hardest schedule, ECU the 123rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
CCUBig
Three-pointers
CCU hits 33.5% and allows 32.8%; ECU hits 29.3% and allows 34.9%. Threes are 43.1% and 31.1% of their shots
ECUBig
CCU offense vs ECU defense
Offense 295th of 366 against a defense 158th, on the model’s ratings
CCUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CCU 47.9 and allows 46.8; ECU 46.4 and allows 52.3
ECUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: CCU 32.3, ECU 39.2. Allowed: CCU 34.9, ECU 32.2
ECUSmall
ECU offense vs CCU defense
Offense 142nd of 366 against a defense 246th, on the model’s ratings
ECUSmall
Home court
ECU at home. This season: ECU 0-0 at home, CCU 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CCU 15.3%, ECU 17.1%. Forced: CCU 12.3%, ECU 16.3%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CCU 21%, ECU 16%. Transfers in: CCU 6, ECU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CCU 26.9%, ECU 33.4%. Defensive: CCU 72.4%, ECU 67.5%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: CCU plays 69.9 a game (121st fastest), ECU 70.0 (116th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ECU -9.8—
Total—146.6—
Projected score—CCU 68.4 · ECU 78.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadECU -5.7—
1H total68.6—
1H projected scoreCCU 31.4 · ECU 37.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

East Carolina has the better starters

Position by position: Coastal 0, East Carolina 3, even 2
CoastalBetterEast Carolina
G T. Thompson3.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 15
ECUSmall
G C. Medley TR10.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 6.2 ast Score 32
G D. Washington TR4.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 25
ECUBig
G B. Blaine TR17.7 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.8 ast Score 82
G T. Perry TR4.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 1 ast Score 38
Even
F K. Watson TR12.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
G D. Craig4.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 31
ECUBig
F K. Cooper TR8.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 76
F A. Hardaway TR5.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
No call
F J. Woodard3.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.7 ast Not ranked
CoastalBetterEast Carolina
CCU offense295th of 366 · -9.1
ECUBig
ECU defense158th of 366 · -3.4
CCU defense246th of 366 · -6.5
ECUSmall
ECU offense142nd of 366 · -4.3
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
ECUBig
Backcourt-0.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+0.4 · 3 players
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-1.8 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCCU betterECU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Coastal
Guards
T. Thompson20 minD. Washington15 min · TRT. Perry13 min · TRD. Craig12 minJ. Cross6 min · TRJ. AlstonNew
Forwards
A. Hardaway20 min · TRD. Green11 minD. Fuquay8 min · TRF. BighamNewJ. BuzzardNew
Centers
C. Middleton10 min · TR
East Carolina
Guards
C. Medley34 min · TRB. Blaine29 min · TRT. Best6 min · TRA. McCulloughNewM. PandovNew
Forwards
K. Watson32 min · TRK. Cooper26 min · TRJ. Woodard17 minJ. BuchananNewD. QuinnNewD. Creasy-QuirindoongoNew
Centers
E. DeLaurier15 minM. KlitschkoNewM. HintonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CCUECU
Scoring
71.8 #251Points per game71.5 #259
1.03 #290Points per possession1.02 #305
69.9 #121Pace (possessions)70.0 #116
Shooting
47.9 #314Effective FG%46.4 #346
33.5 #1963-point %29.3 #350
43.1 #1133-point attempt rate31.1 #337
32.3 #254Free throw rate39.2 #75
Possessions
15.3 #84Turnover rate17.1 #208
26.9 #296Offensive rebound rate33.4 #79
9.9 #359Assists per game11.8 #301
Defense
73.5 #143Points allowed77.7 #262
1.05 #88Points allowed per possession1.11 #246
46.8 #18Opponent effective FG%52.3 #229
32.8 #105Opponent 3-point %34.9 #245
12.3 #364Turnovers forced16.3 #205
72.4 #52Defensive rebound rate67.5 #282
4.3 #360Steals per game6.5 #177
3.2 #187Blocks per game4.0 #74
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coastal

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern72–96
  • W@ James Madison69–68
  • W@ Georgia St76–71
  • Wvs Marshall79–75
  • Lvs James Madison65–67

A week or more of rest.

East Carolina

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-12 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UAB83–90
  • Lvs Tulsa66–93
  • Wvs Memphis84–68
  • W@ UTSA82–81
  • L@ Charlotte56–68

A week or more of rest.