1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. RAD @ VT
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Radford Highlanders at Virginia Tech Hokies

Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech
#246RADRadford
@
#68VTVirginia Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
RADThis seasonVT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects VT 87–67 · win probability VT 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.7
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: VT has more of the edges

RAD 0, VT 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VTBig
VT offense vs RAD defense
Offense 68th of 366 against a defense 286th, on the model’s ratings
VTBig
Three-pointers
RAD hits 33.5% and allows 35.5%; VT hits 35.5% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 45.4% and 39.7% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
RAD has played the 243rd-hardest schedule, VT the 74th. A record against a soft schedule means less
VTBig
RAD offense vs VT defense
Offense 213th of 366 against a defense 72nd, on the model’s ratings
VTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: RAD 51.4 and allows 53.0; VT 52.2 and allows 50.9
VTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: RAD 12%, VT 47%. Transfers in: RAD 6, VT 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 72 possessions: RAD plays 73.6 a game (13th fastest), VT 69.8 (127th). Faster games mean more points
VTSmall
Home court
VT at home. This season: VT 0-0 at home, RAD 0-0 away
VTSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: RAD 17.1%, VT 14.9%. Forced: RAD 18.5%, VT 17.3%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: RAD 42.4, VT 34.0. Allowed: RAD 40.0, VT 28.8
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: RAD 29.8%, VT 31.9%. Defensive: RAD 67.8%, VT 67.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—VT -20.7—
Total—153.7—
Projected score—RAD 66.5 · VT 87.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadVT -12.2—
1H total71.8—
1H projected scoreRAD 29.8 · VT 42—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Virginia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Radford 0, Virginia Tech 5, even 0
RadfordBetterVirginia Tech
G J. Robinson TR6.3 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 52
VTSmall
G E. Copeland TR14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 67
G T. Gross TR3.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 21
VTBig
G B. Hammond13.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.2 ast Score 89
F C. Jackson TR4 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 36
VTBig
G I. Elohim TR12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 71
F P. Kabamba TR5.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 38
VTBig
G T. Johnson8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 77
F F. Erichsen4.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 27
VTBig
F A. Hansberry14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92
RadfordBetterVirginia Tech
RAD offense213th of 366 · -6.5
VTBig
VT defense72nd of 366 · +0.8
RAD defense286th of 366 · -7.2
VTBig
VT offense68th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt-1.5 · 2 players
VTBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.1 · 3 players
VTBig
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
Bench-1.0 · 4 players
VTSmall
Bench+1.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestRAD betterVT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Radford
Guards
J. Robinson17 min · TRT. Gross13 min · TRW. Keel6 minM. Grujicic6 min · TRJ. Kee3 min · TRK. PruettNew
Forwards
C. Jackson17 min · TRP. Kabamba17 min · TRF. Erichsen13 minA. NokesNew
Centers
G. Ferreira5 min
Virginia Tech
Guards
E. Copeland32 min · TRB. Hammond32 minI. Elohim29 min · TRT. Johnson26 minJ. Curry24 min · TRB. Johnson21 min · TR
Forwards
A. Hansberry31 minM. Heide19 min · TRK. Atak14 min · TRS. Jones7 min
Centers
M. Sagnia12 min · TRS. DavisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
RADVT
Scoring
79.9 #70Points per game78.8 #85
1.09 #168Points per possession1.13 #89
73.6 #13Pace (possessions)69.8 #127
Shooting
51.4 #181Effective FG%52.2 #134
33.5 #1993-point %35.5 #88
45.4 #593-point attempt rate39.7 #179
42.4 #25Free throw rate34.0 #209
Possessions
17.1 #210Turnover rate14.9 #60
29.8 #207Offensive rebound rate31.9 #129
12.0 #284Assists per game14.4 #122
Defense
80.8 #330Points allowed74.9 #184
1.10 #216Points allowed per possession1.07 #141
53.0 #271Opponent effective FG%50.9 #147
35.5 #279Opponent 3-point %30.6 #26
18.5 #72Turnovers forced17.3 #131
67.8 #267Defensive rebound rate67.4 #284
7.5 #79Steals per game6.4 #187
3.4 #158Blocks per game3.2 #190
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Radford

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Presbyterian85–91
  • L@ Longwood74–90
  • Wvs SC Upstate71–59
  • L@ UNC Asheville73–74
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb82–70

A week or more of rest.

Virginia Tech

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wake Forest89–95
  • L@ Virginia72–76
  • Wvs Boston College72–63
  • L@ North Carolina82–89
  • Wvs Wake Forest82–63

A week or more of rest.