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  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. ACU @ UTAH
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Abilene Christian Wildcats at Utah Utes

Jon M. Huntsman Center · at Utah
#254ACUAbilene Chrstn
@
#73UTAHUtah
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ACUThis seasonUTAH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UTAH 82–63 · win probability UTAH 95%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UTAH has more of the edges

ACU 2, UTAH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UTAHBig
ACU offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 298th of 366 against a defense 68th, on the model’s ratings
UTAHBig
Three-pointers
ACU hits 31.0% and allows 40.9%; UTAH hits 35.3% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 32.8% and 37.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
ACU has played the 183rd-hardest schedule, UTAH the 53rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
UTAHBig
UTAH offense vs ACU defense
Offense 79th of 366 against a defense 200th, on the model’s ratings
UTAHBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ACU 47.5 and allows 56.5; UTAH 52.0 and allows 53.9
ACUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ACU 31.0%, UTAH 29.3%. Defensive: ACU 70.9%, UTAH 68.4%
ACUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ACU 20.8%, UTAH 16.7%. Forced: ACU 23.4%, UTAH 13.3%
UTAHSmall
Home court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 0-0 at home, ACU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ACU 41.7, UTAH 31.7. Allowed: ACU 53.5, UTAH 29.9
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: ACU plays 69.2 a game (167th fastest), UTAH 68.3 (211th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ACU 25%, UTAH 14%. Transfers in: ACU 3, UTAH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UTAH -18.5—
Total—144.5—
Projected score—ACU 63 · UTAH 81.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUTAH -10.8—
1H total67.6—
1H projected scoreACU 28.4 · UTAH 39.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Utah has the better starters

Position by position: Abilene Chrstn 1, Utah 2, even 2
Abilene ChrstnBetterUtah
G N. Bolanga TR11.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 38
UTAHBig
G T. Campbell TR13.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.9 ast Score 85
G Y. Rivera7.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 41
UTAHBig
G J. Holcombe TR15.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.6 ast Score 97
G I. Dye1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G T. Burch TR12.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.4 ast Score 88
G E. Boisdur TR1.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G O. Abbey2.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 12
F C. Hornecker5.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 48
ACUSmall
C M. Gomma TR8 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 28
Abilene ChrstnBetterUtah
ACU offense298th of 366 · -9.2
UTAHBig
UTAH defense68th of 366 · +0.9
ACU defense200th of 366 · -5.0
UTAHSmall
UTAH offense79th of 366 · +0.7
Backcourt-3.6 · 4 players
UTAHBig
Backcourt+6.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
ACUSmall
Frontcourt-1.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestACU betterUTAH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Abilene Chrstn
Guards
N. Bolanga34 min · TRY. Rivera25 minI. Dye6 minE. Boisdur6 min · TRT. Pons5 min · TRI. Neyhart3 min
Forwards
C. Hornecker16 minV. Yimga MoukouriNewS. RowleyNewW. Marie-AnaisNew
Utah
Guards
T. Campbell34 min · TRJ. Holcombe31 min · TRT. Burch25 min · TRO. Abbey15 minT. Chatman13 min · TRL. Langarita12 min
Forwards
G. Gaddis1 min · TRB. FayeNewZ. LoubakiNewJ. JohnsonNewA. AnigbataNew
Centers
M. Gomma26 min · TRF. SchottNewL. McCannaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ACUUTAH
Scoring
67.9 #313Points per game74.3 #185
0.98 #340Points per possession1.08 #173
69.2 #167Pace (possessions)68.3 #211
Shooting
47.5 #326Effective FG%52.0 #142
31.0 #3193-point %35.3 #98
32.8 #3183-point attempt rate37.5 #222
41.7 #34Free throw rate31.7 #262
Possessions
20.8 #356Turnover rate16.7 #175
31.0 #164Offensive rebound rate29.3 #224
12.5 #249Assists per game13.7 #169
Defense
73.9 #151Points allowed79.1 #302
1.07 #123Points allowed per possession1.16 #337
56.5 #352Opponent effective FG%53.9 #298
40.9 #365Opponent 3-point %35.1 #254
23.4 #3Turnovers forced13.3 #348
70.9 #113Defensive rebound rate68.4 #233
9.6 #4Steals per game5.3 #315
2.6 #298Blocks per game3.4 #160
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Abilene Chrstn

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah Tech74–80
  • Wvs Tarleton St84–78
  • Lvs UT Arlington57–64
  • L@ CA Baptist48–87
  • L@ Utah Valley67–74

A week or more of rest.

Utah

10-22 in 2025-26 overall · 2-17 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Cincinnati66–73
  • L@ Baylor75–101
  • Lvs Colorado78–92
  • L@ Arizona St60–73
  • Lvs Iowa State59–75

A week or more of rest.