1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. USD @ WYO
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

San Diego Toreros at Wyoming Cowboys

Arena-Auditorium · at Wyoming
#146USDSan Diego
@
#122WYOWyoming
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
USDThis seasonWYO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WYO 79–72 · win probability WYO 73%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WYO has more of the edges

USD 1, WYO 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WYOBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: USD 28.1%, WYO 34.0%. Defensive: USD 65.5%, WYO 72.0%
WYOSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: USD 51.2 and allows 54.7; WYO 51.8 and allows 52.0
WYOSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: USD 7%, WYO 45%. Transfers in: USD 7, WYO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
WYOSmall
WYO offense vs USD defense
Offense 124th of 366 against a defense 189th, on the model’s ratings
WYOSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: USD 25.8, WYO 35.5. Allowed: USD 38.8, WYO 47.9
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: USD plays 69.6 a game (139th fastest), WYO 67.6 (252nd). Faster games mean more points
WYOSmall
Home court
WYO at home. This season: WYO 0-0 at home, USD 0-0 away
USDSmall
Three-pointers
USD hits 34.6% and allows 32.7%; WYO hits 33.0% and allows 32.8%. Threes are 43.7% and 43.0% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
USD has played the 130th-hardest schedule, WYO the 105th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: USD 17.6%, WYO 16.3%. Forced: USD 18.8%, WYO 16.8%
Even
USD offense vs WYO defense
Offense 127th of 366 against a defense 130th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WYO -7.1—
Total—150.3—
Projected score—USD 71.6 · WYO 78.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWYO -4.1—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreUSD 33.1 · WYO 37.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

San Diego has the better starters

Position by position: San Diego 3, Wyoming 1, even 1
San DiegoBetterWyoming
G M. Worthy TR16.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 3 ast Score 72
USDSmall
G C. Jefferson TR12.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48
G D. Hill TR14.2 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 92
USDSmall
G K. Bennett10.1 pts · 4.8 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
G D. Stromer TR6.4 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 29
WYOBig
G N. Meyer12.7 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.4 ast Score 83
F T. McMorris TR7.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 47
USDSmall
F R. Sondors TR10.4 pts · 4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 15
F A. Munoz TR12.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 56
Even
F G. Gores7.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 65
San DiegoBetterWyoming
USD offense127th of 366 · -3.5
Even
WYO defense130th of 366 · -2.4
USD defense189th of 366 · -4.4
WYOSmall
WYO offense124th of 366 · -3.3
Backcourt+2.0 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt+1.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 2 players
USDSmall
Frontcourt-2.2 · 2 players
Bench+0.3 · 5 players
USDSmall
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUSD betterWYO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
San Diego
Guards
M. Worthy35 min · TRD. Hill27 min · TRD. Stromer23 min · TRC. Versher2 minN. Del Bosque1 minB. RomanNew
Forwards
T. McMorris26 min · TRA. Munoz25 min · TRJ. Roberto Tanchyn19 min · TRS. Konneh13 min · TRA. Aviles11 minJ. HillNew
Wyoming
Guards
C. Jefferson31 min · TRK. Bennett28 minN. Meyer28 minU. Rojas17 minP. Gerrits10 min · TRM. De MartinNew
Forwards
R. Sondors29 min · TRG. Gores18 minM. Curtis9 min · TRM. MoraNewN. SummersNewC. PohlNew
Centers
L. RufNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
USDWYO
Scoring
72.8 #228Points per game76.2 #137
1.05 #251Points per possession1.13 #92
69.6 #139Pace (possessions)67.6 #252
Shooting
51.2 #185Effective FG%51.8 #154
34.6 #1413-point %33.0 #234
43.7 #963-point attempt rate43.0 #116
25.8 #358Free throw rate35.5 #166
Possessions
17.6 #242Turnover rate16.3 #155
28.1 #262Offensive rebound rate34.0 #66
15.4 #68Assists per game14.1 #141
Defense
78.8 #290Points allowed72.9 #131
1.13 #286Points allowed per possession1.08 #169
54.7 #320Opponent effective FG%52.0 #211
32.7 #100Opponent 3-point %32.8 #108
18.8 #55Turnovers forced16.8 #164
65.5 #328Defensive rebound rate72.0 #66
7.7 #65Steals per game6.6 #169
2.6 #294Blocks per game2.4 #318
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

San Diego

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Seattle U56–58
  • Wvs LMU66–62
  • L@ Portland74–87
  • L@ Oregon St82–92
  • Lvs LMU65–77

A week or more of rest.

Wyoming

17-15 in 2025-26 overall · 9-12 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Wichita St70–74
  • Lvs UNLV70–73
  • W@ San José St88–78
  • Wvs Nevada83–73
  • Wvs Air Force66–62

A week or more of rest.