Gersten Pavilion · at LMU · Conference game
Closing line
LMU -6.5✓ LMU covered by 13.5
LMU -6.5✓ LMU covered by 13.5Closing total151.5Under by 5.5
 USD | This season | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-15 | Record | 11-13 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 12-12 |
| 10-13 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USD 73–79 LMU · ✓ LMU (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 20 | 43 | 63 |
| LMU | 37 | 46 | 83 |
1st half: USD 20, LMU 37 (LMU by 17). The model had LMU by 3.3 and a total of 70.8 (actual 57).
Team stats
| USD | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 31-56 55% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 5-22 23% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assane Diop F | 23 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Toneari Lane G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmanuel Callas G | 22 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominique Ford G | 22 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 22 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Benjamin G | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kjay Bradley, Josh Hecht, Nick Del Bosque, D'Arrae Goodwin, Boden Grant, Caleb Versher, Piotr Winkowski, Neel Beniwal
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Shelley F | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 9-14 | 2-5 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-8 |
| Aaron McBride F | 31 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jan Vide G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Rick Issanza C | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 21 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Josh Dalton F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| AJ Thomas G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Marley Zeller, Jael Martin, Tanner Thomas, Cooper Smith
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLMU -6.5
ModelLMU -5.7
Model edgeUSD +0.8
L LMU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model151.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
USD 72.8 · LMU 78.5
USD 63 · LMU 83
Win probability
LMU 69%
1st half
Spread
LMU -3.3
LMU -17.0
Total
70.8
57 points
Projected score
USD 33.8 · LMU 37
USD 20 · LMU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLMU -5.5
1 → LMU
CloseLMU -6.5
1 pt toward LMU
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USD +215 · LMU -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LMU -5.5 · closed LMU -6.5 · moved 1 toward LMUmodel LMU -5.5
model LMU -5.5
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 151.5 matches the line
model 151.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| LMU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USD 4–5 LMULMU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · LMU has won the last 4 meetings · USD 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | USD 74 vs LMU 100 | LMU -8.5 | LMU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LMU 78 @ USD 62 | USD +7.5 | LMU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | USD 70 @ LMU 77 | LMU -10.5 | USD W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | USD 62 @ LMU 96 | LMU -8.5 | LMU W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | LMU 77 @ USD 79 | USD +3.5 | USD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-13
43% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCSD | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ WASH | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 28 | vs PAC | W 66-54 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | vs GONZ | L 93-99 | +29.5 | W +23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | @ SF | L 64-74 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | @ SCU | L 70-98 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | vs PEPP | W 83-63 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @PAC | L 70-77 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | @ SEA | L 64-75 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vs WSU | W 96-92 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 24 | vsSCU | L 73-85 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 28 | @PEPP | W 92-88 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | vs ORST | L 76-78 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ SMC | L 60-87 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+14.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−11.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
+14.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+23.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
+2.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
−10.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
+15.5
10
@PAC
PACL 70-77
+1.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 64-75
−1.5
21
vsWSU
WSUW 96-92
+5.5
24
vsSCU
SCUL 73-85
+1.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-88
+1.5
31
vsORST
ORSTL 76-78
−5.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 60-87
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+5.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−17.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
−30.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+31.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
−14.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
+6.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
−3.5
10
@PAC
PACL 70-77
−0.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 64-75
−8.5
21
vsWSU
WSUW 96-92
+35.5
24
vsSCU
SCUL 73-85
−4.5
28
@PEPP
PEPPW 92-88
+28.5
31
vsORST
ORSTL 76-78
+3.5
4
@SMC
SMCL 60-87
−1.5
over 10under 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
LMU
24 games played
Straight up
11-13
46% wins
Against the spread
12-12
50% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs FAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs STBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vsUCSD | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs UNA | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs MORG | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vsSMC | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vsPAC | W 80-71 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | @WSU | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | @GONZ | L 47-82 | +25.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vsSF | W 84-82 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @SCU | L 72-103 | +11.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ORST | L 70-76 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs PORT | L 58-71 | -8.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @SEA | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 28 | vsORST | L 69-72 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsSCU | L 73-104 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | @SF | W 84-75 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−8.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+23.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
+3.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+4.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+5.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+1.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−9.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+0.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
−19.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
−7.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−21.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-69
−5.5
28
vsORST
ORSTL 69-72
−8.5
31
vsSCU
SCUL 73-104
−22.5
4
@SF
SFW 84-75
+17.5
covered 12didn’t cover 12avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
16
vsUCSD
UCSDL 57-67
−26.5
19
vsUNA
UNAW 91-57
+7.5
23
vsMORG
MORGW 83-56
−5.5
28
vsSMC
SMCL 73-78
+7.5
30
vsPAC
PACW 80-71
+11.5
2
@WSU
WSUL 76-78
+11.5
4
@GONZ
GONZL 47-82
−25.5
8
vsSF
SFW 84-82
+24.5
10
@SCU
SCUL 72-103
+21.5
14
@ORST
ORSTL 70-76
+5.5
17
vsPORT
PORTL 58-71
−19.5
21
@SEA
SEAL 59-69
−13.5
28
vsORST
ORSTL 69-72
−0.5
31
vsSCU
SCUL 73-104
+23.5
4
@SF
SFW 84-75
+13.5
over 13under 11avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego
8-15 overall · 4-8 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Mary's60–87
- Lvs Oregon St76–78
- W@ Pepperdine92–88
- Lvs Santa Clara73–85
- Wvs Washington St96–92
3 days since their last game.
LMU
11-13 overall · 3-9 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ San Francisco84–75
- Lvs Santa Clara73–104
- Lvs Oregon St69–72
- L@ Seattle U59–69
- Lvs Portland58–71
3 days since their last game.