Gersten Pavilion · at LMU · Conference game
Closing line
LMU -5.5✓ ORST covered by 8.5
Closing total141.5Under by 0.5
| This season | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-12 | Record | 10-11 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 13-9 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORST 68–73 LMU · ✗ LMU (67%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | 40 | 32 | 72 |
| LMU | 36 | 33 | 69 |
1st half: ORST 40, LMU 36 (ORST by 4). The model had LMU by 2.8 and a total of 66.3 (actual 76).
Team stats
| ORST | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-53 49% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 7-11 64% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ORST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II G | 32 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Johan Munch F | 31 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sy G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| Dez White G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Olavi Suutela F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jorge Diaz-Graham F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Matija Samar G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Keziah Ekissi G | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Noah Amenhauser C | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malcolm Christie, Kaan Yarkut, Daisean Williford, Yaak Yaak, Stephen Olowoniyi, Gavin Marrs
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Shelley F | 36 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 34 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Jan Vide G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Rick Issanza C | 28 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aaron McBride F | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 29 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 8-14 | 5-11 |
| AJ Thomas G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nakyel Shelton G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Dalton, Cooper Smith, Jael Martin, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Kevin Carney, Tanner Thomas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLMU -6.5
1 → ORST
CloseLMU -5.5
1 pt toward ORST
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORST +215 · LMU -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LMU -6.5 · closed LMU -5.5 · moved 1 toward ORSTmodel LMU -5
model LMU -5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LMU -5.5 | LMU -4.9 | ORST +0.6 | W ORST covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.6 | Over 0.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ORST 68.4 · LMU 73.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LMU -2.8 | ORST -4.0 |
| 1H total | 66.3 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | ORST 31.8 · LMU 34.6 | ORST 40 · LMU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORST 1–1 LMUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · ORST 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | LMU 70 @ ORST 76 | ORST +1.5 | ORST W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | ORST 61 @ LMU 82 | LMU +2.5 | LMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon St
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 67-65 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 76-73 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 75-87 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 69-73 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 84-91 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 65-73 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 69-75 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 80-58 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 81-70 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 78-75 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 64-102 | +7.5 | L −30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 70-62 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 53-84 | +4.5 | L −26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 68-55 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 76-82 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 51-81 | +19.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NDSU
W 67-65
−7.5
7
vs
UIC
W 76-73
−3.5
12
vs
UNT
W 66-64
−1.5
17
@
ORE
L 75-87
+1.5
21
vs
EVAN
L 69-73
−10.5
22
vs
IONA
L 84-91
−10.5
24
vs
MASS
L 65-73
−11.5
29
vs
CBU
L 69-75
−7.5
3
vs
UVM
W 80-58
+18.5
6
vs
SUU
W 81-70
+0.5
13
vs
MTST
W 67-57
+8.5
17
vs
SHSU
L 75-85
−13.5
21
@
ASU
W 78-75
+15.5
28
vs
SCU
L 64-102
−30.5
30
vs
SF
W 70-62
+12.5
2
@
PAC
L 53-84
−26.5
4
@
WSU
L 67-81
−7.5
8
vs
SEA
W 68-55
+17.5
10
@
PORT
L 76-82
−3.5
14
vs
LMU
W 76-70
+7.5
17
vs
PAC
L 64-81
−18.5
21
@
SMC
L 51-81
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NDSU
W 67-65
−12.5
7
vs
UIC
W 76-73
+2.5
12
vs
UNT
W 66-64
−4.5
17
@
ORE
L 75-87
+20.5
21
vs
EVAN
L 69-73
+5.5
22
vs
IONA
L 84-91
+17.5
24
vs
MASS
L 65-73
−11.5
29
vs
CBU
L 69-75
+6.5
3
vs
UVM
W 80-58
−5.5
6
vs
SUU
W 81-70
+4.5
13
vs
MTST
W 67-57
−16.5
17
vs
SHSU
L 75-85
+6.5
21
@
ASU
W 78-75
+5.5
28
vs
SCU
L 64-102
+15.5
30
vs
SF
W 70-62
−12.5
2
@
PAC
L 53-84
−0.5
4
@
WSU
L 67-81
+7.5
8
vs
SEA
W 68-55
−16.5
10
@
PORT
L 76-82
+12.5
14
vs
LMU
W 76-70
+5.5
17
vs
PAC
L 64-81
+5.5
21
@
SMC
L 51-81
−10.5
over 13under 9avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
LMU
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 91-57 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 23 | vs | W 83-56 | -23.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 73-78 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 80-71 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 76-78 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 47-82 | +25.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 84-82 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 72-103 | +11.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 70-76 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 58-71 | -8.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
EWU
W 70-62
−1.5
8
vs
UAPB
W 94-72
+2.5
11
@
UTEP
W 71-58
+14.5
14
vs
TROY
W 74-63
+6.5
17
@
UCSB
W 78-74
+7.5
24
vs
FAU
L 65-76
−7.5
25
vs
OHIO
W 70-58
+8.5
28
vs
STBK
L 68-71
−13.5
2
vs
SLU
L 70-91
−13.5
16
vs
UCSD
L 57-67
−8.5
19
vs
UNA
W 91-57
+23.5
23
vs
MORG
W 83-56
+3.5
28
vs
SMC
L 73-78
+4.5
30
vs
PAC
W 80-71
+5.5
2
@
WSU
L 76-78
+1.5
4
@
GONZ
L 47-82
−9.5
8
vs
SF
W 84-82
+0.5
10
@
SCU
L 72-103
−19.5
14
@
ORST
L 70-76
−7.5
17
vs
PORT
L 58-71
−21.5
21
@
SEA
L 59-69
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
EWU
W 70-62
−21.5
8
vs
UAPB
W 94-72
+8.5
11
@
UTEP
W 71-58
−15.5
14
vs
TROY
W 74-63
−3.5
17
@
UCSB
W 78-74
+6.5
24
vs
FAU
L 65-76
−3.5
25
vs
OHIO
W 70-58
−16.5
28
vs
STBK
L 68-71
+0.5
2
vs
SLU
L 70-91
+10.5
16
vs
UCSD
L 57-67
−26.5
19
vs
UNA
W 91-57
+7.5
23
vs
MORG
W 83-56
−5.5
28
vs
SMC
L 73-78
+7.5
30
vs
PAC
W 80-71
+11.5
2
@
WSU
L 76-78
+11.5
4
@
GONZ
L 47-82
−25.5
8
vs
SF
W 84-82
+24.5
10
@
SCU
L 72-103
+21.5
14
@
ORST
L 70-76
+5.5
17
vs
PORT
L 58-71
−19.5
21
@
SEA
L 59-69
−13.5
over 11under 10avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon St
10-12 overall · 3-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Mary's51–81
- Lvs Pacific64–81
- Wvs LMU76–70
- L@ Portland76–82
- Wvs Seattle U68–55
A week or more of rest.
LMU
10-11 overall · 2-7 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seattle U59–69
- Lvs Portland58–71
- L@ Oregon St70–76
- L@ Santa Clara72–103
- Wvs San Francisco84–82
A week or more of rest.