Yuengling Center · at South Florida · Conference game
Closing line
USF -23.5✓ UTSA covered by 2.5
USF -23.5✓ UTSA covered by 2.5Closing total164.5Over by 32.5
 UTSA | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 2-17 | Record | 13-8 |
| 5-14 | ATS | 10-11 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 70–93 USF · ✓ USF (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 50 | 38 | 88 |
| USF | 48 | 61 | 109 |
1st half: UTSA 50, USF 48 (UTSA by 2). The model had USF by 13.4 and a total of 76.1 (actual 98).
Team stats
| UTSA | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-57 56% | Field goals | 41-74 55% |
| 12-21 57% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 16-23 70% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 39 18 off |
| 11 | Assists | 25 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Moss G | 38 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 10-16 | 7-9 |
| Jamir Simpson G | 36 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 8-15 | 3-6 |
| Austin Nunez G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Mo Njie C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Akitoby F | 24 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| LJ Brown G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jackson Fazande, Pierce Spencer, Stanley Borden, Dorian Hayes, Vasean Allette, Macaleab Rich
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-15 | 5-14 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 29 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 23 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 11-14 | 1-2 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| CJ Brown G | 15 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Devin Haid G | 20 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 17 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 8-8 | 1-1 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Beckford G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, De'Ante Green, Xavier Brown, Onyx Nnani
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSF -23.5
ModelUSF -22.7
Model edgeUTSA +0.8
W UTSA covered
Total
Market164.5
Model162.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
L Over
Projected score
UTSA 69.9 · USF 92.7
UTSA 88 · USF 109
Win probability
USF 98%
1st half
Spread
USF -13.4
UTSA -2.0
Total
76.1
98 points
Projected score
UTSA 31.3 · USF 44.7
UTSA 50 · USF 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -25.5
2 → UTSA
CloseUSF -23.5
2 pts toward UTSA
Total
Open159.5
▲ 5
Close164.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +2000 · USF -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -25.5 · closed USF -23.5 · moved 2 toward UTSAmodel USF -22.5
model USF -22.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 5 upmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| USF | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTSA 0–3 USFUSF leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · USF has won the last 3 meetings · UTSA 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | USF 78 @ UTSA 73 | UTSA -3.5 | USF W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | USF 66 @ UTSA 61 | UTSA +6.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UTSA 72 @ USF 89 | USF -9 | USF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
19 games played
Straight up
2-17
11% wins
Against the spread
5-14
26% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIUE | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXST | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ DEN | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs ACU | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs GASO | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs USA | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ ALA | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ COLO | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ USC | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 22 | vs SEA | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | @ FAU | L 70-110 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ TEM | L 57-76 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 7 | vs CLT | L 58-74 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vs TULN | L 52-85 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs RICE | L 73-89 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 18 | @ MEM | L 69-95 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @ UNT | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsTEM | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | vs UAB | L 73-83 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−1.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
−1.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
+7.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
−23.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−8.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−9.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−25.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
−9.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
−5.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
−3.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
+4.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 14avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−2.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
+9.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
−9.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
+21.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−16.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−13.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−10.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
+17.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
+16.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
+4.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
−11.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+0.5
over 8under 11avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSU | L 68-83 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 4 | vs USU | W 74-61 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | vs COFC | W 81-75 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 17 | @ALA | L 93-104 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs UMBC | W 94-69 | -22.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | vsUAB | L 106-109 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | O 215 |
| Jan 7 | @UNT | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ TLSA | W 93-78 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs ECU | W 82-71 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs WICH | L 85-86 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 22 | @UAB | W 82-69 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 25 | vsFAU | W 89-75 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 28 | @TULN | W 97-83 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 31 | @TEM | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−17.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
+10.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−7.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+3.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
−11.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−0.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+16.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−7.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
−8.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
+10.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
+8.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+5.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
28
vsCSU
CSUL 68-83
−4.5
4
vsUSU
USUW 74-61
−27.5
10
vsCOFC
COFCW 81-75
−4.5
17
@ALA
ALAL 93-104
+18.5
21
vsUMBC
UMBCW 94-69
+2.5
4
vsUAB
UABL 106-109
+51.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 74-70
−3.5
10
@TLSA
TLSAW 93-78
+7.5
14
vsECU
ECUW 82-71
−5.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 85-86
+12.5
22
@UAB
UABW 82-69
−17.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 89-75
−2.5
28
@TULN
TULNW 97-83
+21.5
31
@TEM
TEML 78-79
+2.5
over 12under 9avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-17 overall · 0-9 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UAB73–83
- Lvs Temple64–70
- L@ North Texas62–81
- L@ Memphis69–95
- Lvs Rice73–89
A week or more of rest.
South Florida
13-8 overall · 6-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Temple78–79
- W@ Tulane97–83
- Wvs FAU89–75
- W@ UAB82–69
- Lvs Wichita St85–86
4 days since their last game.