1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. IUIN @ KSU
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Kansas State Wildcats

Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
#340IUINIU Indy
@
#83KSUKansas St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IUINThis seasonKSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KSU 91–69 · win probability KSU 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 160.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KSU has more of the edges

IUIN 1, KSU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
KSUBig
KSU offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 74th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
IUIN has played the 284th-hardest schedule, KSU the 43rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
KSUBig
Three-pointers
IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%; KSU hits 36.4% and allows 33.7%. Threes are 42.1% and 40.9% of their shots
KSUBig
IUIN offense vs KSU defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 97th, on the model’s ratings
IUINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IUIN 15.8%, KSU 17.4%. Forced: IUIN 19.2%, KSU 17.1%
KSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: IUIN 21.7, KSU 26.9. Allowed: IUIN 46.6, KSU 35.2
KSUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2; KSU 53.3 and allows 52.5
KSUSmall
Home court
KSU at home. This season: KSU 0-0 at home, IUIN 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IUIN 28.7%, KSU 29.2%. Defensive: IUIN 64.5%, KSU 66.0%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IUIN 14%, KSU 7%. Transfers in: IUIN 3, KSU 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 75 possessions: IUIN plays 75.3 a game (4th fastest), KSU 73.8 (11th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KSU -21.9—
Total—160.2—
Projected score—IUIN 69.2 · KSU 91.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKSU -12.9—
1H total74.8—
1H projected scoreIUIN 31 · KSU 43.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Kansas St has the better starters

Position by position: IU Indy 1, Kansas St 4, even 0
IU IndyBetterKansas St
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
KSUBig
G B. Rechsteiner TR12 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.5 ast Score 71
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
IUINBig
G J. Schutt TR7.7 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 39
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
KSUSmall
G M. Wheeler TR8.4 pts · 1.2 reb · 2.8 ast Score 50
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
KSUSmall
F D. Lindsay TR5.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 1.5 ast Score 51
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
KSUSmall
F I. Abraham TR4.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
IU IndyBetterKansas St
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
KSUBig
KSU defense97th of 366 · -0.7
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
KSUBig
KSU offense74th of 366 · +1.4
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-1.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
KSUSmall
Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestIUIN betterKSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
Kansas St
Guards
B. Rechsteiner28 min · TRJ. Schutt25 min · TRM. Wheeler22 min · TRA. Kostic14 minJ. AlexanderNew
Forwards
D. Lindsay21 min · TRI. Abraham20 min · TRT. Malovec15 min · TRP. N'Diaye9 min · TRB. Vice6 min · TRM. GilhoolNew
Centers
J. Rock13 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IUINKSU
Scoring
80.9 #49Points per game79.6 #74
1.07 #200Points per possession1.08 #191
75.3 #4Pace (possessions)73.8 #11
Shooting
52.2 #136Effective FG%53.3 #88
32.4 #2583-point %36.4 #43
42.1 #1343-point attempt rate40.9 #148
21.7 #365Free throw rate26.9 #351
Possessions
15.8 #127Turnover rate17.4 #233
28.7 #243Offensive rebound rate29.2 #229
18.9 #3Assists per game16.8 #29
Defense
89.2 #364Points allowed81.8 #339
1.19 #353Points allowed per possession1.11 #244
58.2 #362Opponent effective FG%52.5 #239
38.5 #361Opponent 3-point %33.7 #166
19.2 #41Turnovers forced17.1 #145
64.5 #348Defensive rebound rate66.0 #317
8.0 #39Steals per game7.0 #121
2.9 #243Blocks per game3.5 #137
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.

Kansas St

12-20 in 2025-26 overall · 3-16 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs BYU91–105
  • L@ Kansas85–104
  • Wvs West Virginia65–63
  • Lvs TCU68–77
  • L@ Colorado70–79

A week or more of rest.