1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 8
  3. ME @ DEP
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 8

Maine Black Bears at DePaul Blue Demons

Wintrust Arena · at DePaul
#323MEMaine
@
#66DEPDePaul
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
METhis seasonDEP
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEP 80–53 · win probability DEP 99%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 133.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DEP has more of the edges

ME 2, DEP 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DEPBig
ME offense vs DEP defense
Offense 357th of 366 against a defense 31st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ME has played the 319th-hardest schedule, DEP the 72nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
DEPBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ME 19.7%, DEP 30.1%. Defensive: ME 65.7%, DEP 69.0%
MESmall
Three-pointers
ME hits 31.2% and allows 29.4%; DEP hits 32.5% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 37.0% and 39.0% of their shots
DEPSmall
DEP offense vs ME defense
Offense 92nd of 366 against a defense 191st, on the model’s ratings
MESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ME 38.4, DEP 35.3. Allowed: ME 33.9, DEP 37.8
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: ME plays 64.9 a game (348th fastest), DEP 67.7 (240th). Faster games mean more points
DEPSmall
Home court
DEP at home. This season: DEP 0-0 at home, ME 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: ME 49.6 and allows 50.6; DEP 49.8 and allows 49.3
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ME 19.2%, DEP 17.7%. Forced: ME 19.3%, DEP 18.7%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ME 31%, DEP 38%. Transfers in: ME 4, DEP 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DEP -27.3—
Total—133.3—
Projected score—ME 53 · DEP 80.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDEP -16.1—
1H total62.5—
1H projected scoreME 23.2 · DEP 39.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

DePaul has the better starters

Position by position: Maine 0, DePaul 5, even 0
MaineBetterDePaul
G D. Williams TR8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.7 ast Score 23
DEPBig
G K. Holmes TR19.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast Score 96
G C. Crawford4.2 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 14
DEPBig
G A. Popoola TR10.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 57
G V. Garcia Adsten TR3.5 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.3 ast Score 11
DEPBig
G L. Blocker11.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.5 ast Score 77
F A. Flagg6.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 33
DEPBig
G K. Cotton TR14.1 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 87
F Y. Bamba2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.4 ast Score 11
DEPBig
C W. Jacques TR8.9 pts · 8.8 reb · 1 ast Score 52
MaineBetterDePaul
ME offense357th of 366 · -13.7
DEPBig
DEP defense31st of 366 · +3.5
ME defense191st of 366 · -4.5
DEPSmall
DEP offense92nd of 366 · -0.3
Backcourt-6.4 · 3 players
DEPBig
Backcourt+7.2 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
DEPSmall
Frontcourt+0.5 · 1 player
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
DEPSmall
Bench+0.9 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestME betterDEP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Maine
Guards
D. Williams25 min · TRC. Crawford20 minV. Garcia Adsten18 min · TRD. LopesNewK. BedardNewH. FranzNew
Forwards
A. Flagg25 minY. Bamba12 minA. Evans8 min · TRK. Gribben3 minE. Byther2 minO. Faubert2 min · TR
DePaul
Guards
K. Holmes32 min · TRA. Popoola29 min · TRL. Blocker29 minK. Cotton28 min · TRN. Meeusen27 min · TRK. McClure19 min
Forwards
M. Gwath19 min · TRT. Pierre-Justin16 minJ. JohnsonNewA. JensenNew
Centers
W. Jacques28 min · TRF. Flores11 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MEDEP
Scoring
61.2 #364Points per game70.3 #279
0.95 #356Points per possession1.04 #280
64.9 #348Pace (possessions)67.7 #240
Shooting
49.6 #263Effective FG%49.8 #243
31.2 #3143-point %32.5 #253
37.0 #2313-point attempt rate39.0 #191
38.4 #93Free throw rate35.3 #169
Possessions
19.2 #328Turnover rate17.7 #253
19.7 #364Offensive rebound rate30.1 #197
11.8 #300Assists per game15.0 #87
Defense
68.5 #39Points allowed69.6 #57
1.05 #90Points allowed per possession1.03 #55
50.6 #136Opponent effective FG%49.3 #77
29.4 #4Opponent 3-point %35.4 #274
19.3 #38Turnovers forced18.7 #64
65.7 #322Defensive rebound rate69.0 #205
7.7 #57Steals per game6.9 #134
3.2 #194Blocks per game3.4 #152
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Maine

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ NJIT58–60
  • Lvs UMass Lowell56–67
  • L@ Binghamton67–74
  • W@ UAlbany70–59
  • W@ New Hampshire61–58

A week or more of rest.

DePaul

16-16 in 2025-26 overall · 8-13 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Georgetown56–63
  • Lvs Butler71–81
  • Lvs Villanova57–76
  • W@ Marquette62–51
  • W@ Creighton72–71

A week or more of rest.